CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:27 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, that would be a break, will talk about that if we get a blizz next week. Scott, doesn't matter gow much we missed by, we missed. All that matters That's different. I'm referring to the other comments about a pattern change to milder wx and no nor'easters. Of course we have to get a break at some point. And as far as missing by 60 miles, nobody can claim that 8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Lets see how the public feels about "no nor'easters" when we have 7" turned to rain and then flash frozen. I'm sure they'll love that change. The op euro is in fact advertising a swfe with front end snow to rain and flash freeze in the d6 range with serious cold and snow chances to follow. Pete better hope it's not right (probable). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Lets see how the public feels about "no nor'easters" when we have 7" turned to rain and then flash frozen. I'm sure they'll love that change.some odd posts in face of todays modeling. But I will sit it out less Pickles accuses me again. Suffice to say listen to Scooter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It really doesn't seem that complicated when you read what he said and take in to effect the retro of the trough if you take him out of context it sounds ridiculous the statement just says a break from 1' nor'easters , not really going out on a limb , could still get a foot from over-running blah blah , NBD really. Just wouldn't make the post something it wasn't. Did he get lucky with this Storm tomorrow, I don't know did it ever have 1' + potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Cutter on the Euro this weekend. That would suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:31 PM, weathafella said: The op euro is in fact advertising a swfe with front end snow to rain and flash freeze in the d6 range with serious cold and snow chances to follow. Pete better hope it's not right (probable).this morning I made this post. An ice storm would be devastating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:31 PM, N. OF PIKE said: It really doesn't seem that complicated when you read what he said and take in to effect the retro of the trough if you take him out of context it sounds ridiculous the statement just says a break from 1' nor'easters , not really going out on a limb , could still get a foot from over-running blah blah , NBD really. Just wouldn't make the post something it wasn't. Someone said he it true no Nor'easters anymore on air. Very dumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Lol euro torches cape cod to 60F on Sunday I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Well the public cares. If you say no more nor'easters..it sounds like winter is done. If you say we may potentially relax (which is what I said for two days), that is different. Everything I see points to a continued active pattern, minus 850 temps of -30C. Sure we may not get 20" every week..but it looks active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Classic euro, Probably won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:33 PM, UnionWeatherGuy12 said: Lol euro torches cape cod to 60F on Sunday I believe. It brings 40+ to the cape. Hey what's 20f among friends... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Euro over amped? Seems to be the case this year.Ens looked icy to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:35 PM, Ginxy said: Euro over amped? Seems to be the case this year.Ens looked icy to me The majority of the 00z Euro Ens members had some kind of a cutter but we'll see. I wouldn't take the Euro solution to the bank yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:33 PM, CoastalWx said: Well the public cares. If you say no more nor'easters..it sounds like winter is done. If you say we may potentially relax (which is what I said for two days), that is different. Everything I see points to a continued active pattern, minus 850 temps of -30C. Sure we may not get 20" every week..but it looks active. He kind of walked it back later saying he felt there was a pattern change but others in the office had differing opinions, I didn't stay around to hear him elaborate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Euri is already weaker than the 00z run. I wouldn't sweat a cutter yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:34 PM, CoastalWx said: Classic euro, Probably won't happen. Agreed. However, it will happen at some point, I just doubt its this weekend. But that cutter is coming at some point, haha. On 2/16/2015 at 6:44 PM, CoastalWx said: Euri is already weaker than the 00z run. I wouldn't sweat a cutter yet. No one should sweat anything, even if it were to rain. Historic run down there, no one should complain even if winter ended today (not happening, just for example). Like Ginxy said, if it ended today, its still an A+ winter for SNE due to the incredible 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Lets see how the public feels about "no nor'easters" when we have 7" turned to rain and then flash frozen. I'm sure they'll love that change. Hey, it only rained on us by 50 miles.....if it had tracked 50 miles further east, it would have stayed snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: That's different. I'm referring to the other comments about a pattern change to milder wx and no nor'easters. Of course we have to get a break at some point. And as far as missing by 60 miles, nobody can claim that 8 days out. No, you said that regarding tmw's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:44 PM, CoastalWx said: Euri is already weaker than the 00z run. I wouldn't sweat a cutter yet. I agree. I'm not worried about that yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 6:59 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, you said that regarding tmw's event. That is referring to a comment made earlier last week about no nor'easters. We got buried yesterday and then just miss tomorrow. It's just a silly comment to make. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Have to remember how cold the ocean is, too..at least the parts that aren't frozen. It's going to be tough to advect much warmth off of the ocean on the heels of this stretch. Hopefully we can have a CJ of a different variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 7:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Have to remember how cold the ocean is, too..at least the parts that aren't frozen. It's going to be tough to advect much warmth off of the ocean on the heels of this stretch. Hopefully we can have a CJ of a different variety. Yes. BDF should be awesome in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 7:04 PM, CoastalWx said: Yes. BDF should be awesome in May. I'll gladly suffer through that if it buys me the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Chances of a warm cutter are 0. Tomorrows snow was initially a cutter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 7:03 PM, CoastalWx said: That is referring to a comment made earlier last week about no nor'easters. We got buried yesterday and then just miss tomorrow. It's just a silly comment to make. Just seems like a semantics sword fight. But if the ridge axis has shifts, something has changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 7:03 PM, CoastalWx said: That is referring to a comment made earlier last week about no nor'easters. We got buried yesterday and then just miss tomorrow. It's just a silly comment to make. not to beat a dead horse (seriously I don't mean to) lol , but I keep seeing this mis-quoted, he said no more nor'easters after Sunday's 1'+storm "in the pipe line" not for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Heights look better (higher) in South West over to SanFran toward end of euro 12z compared with last nite's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 7:07 PM, N. OF PIKE said: not to beat a dead horse (seriously I don't mean to) lol , but I keep seeing this mis-quoted, he said no more nor'easters after Sunday's 1'+storm. Still a dumb comment. Why not just say it looks like it will relax and we may be done with getting 30" every week. That's an awful statement to make to the public. As someone who has to communicate to the public, it's a horrible statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 7:05 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll gladly suffer through that if it buys me the record.I'm with you on summer. It sucks and I will gladly take drizzle through July 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 7:12 PM, CoastalWx said: Still a dumb comment. Why not just say it looks like it will relax and we may be done with getting 30" every week. That's an awful statement to make to the public. As someone who has to communicate to the public, it's a horrible statement. I think what it comes down to is that they get lax with terminology when addressing the public....like during the blizzard they were attributing the heavy band n and w of Boston to the cf, despite it being along he immediate coast. It was due to the deformation band, but they just generalize and do not pay attention to detail. It doesn't matter to anyone but us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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