40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I was looking for all the Debras, where fore art thou? This clipper looks very energetic on radar and sat, congrats ORH to Down east MaineHere tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 BOX just seems high IMO. You really need that low to tuck in closer. Backside very high ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Here tho You know exactly who jumps in this forum when the pattern sucks its like clockwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Met after met Dave Epstein @growingwisdom 3m 3 minutes ago Snow begins Boston pre-dawn Friday, ends pre-dawn Saturday. 2 bursts give 1-2" Friday & another 2-4" Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The CT Rain of MA If we can get the 700 low to tuck in, it's gonna rip. But west of that, you're sucking a tail pipe. I like Essex county though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Backside very high ratios? Yes there will be, just not sure 4-6 to RI. It's not a big deal, Just trim and inch or two further SW. 2-3 with spot 4 total looks good in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 If we can get the 700 low to tuck in, it's gonna rip. But west of that, you're sucking a tail pipe. I like Essex county though.I'm going 3-6"....I'm aftaid of smoking exhaust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'm going 3-6"....I'm aftaid of smoking exhaust. You are probably in a decent spot for both ends. That's what she said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The CT Rain of MA hahaSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 RGEM shifted east again. Another reason why as well. If it tickles east..see ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 You are probably in a decent spot for both ends. That's what she said. I have a hard time seeing more than 6"....I'll wait for 00z to make a final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 RGEM shifted east again. Another reason why as well. If it tickles east..see ya.Not good. Big red flag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Not good. Big red flag I'd wait until 00z too. All I am saying is that it's a tight QPF shield tomorrow night, so any shifts west or east will really matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 How much total QPFdoes the RGEM give me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 RGEM shifted east again. Another reason why as well. If it tickles east..see ya. Gfs?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Oe of the best on the AFD..so you've got to believe it. May even have to shift west AMPLIFYING NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT LATE FRI AND THEN EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED MID LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.THIS STRONG FORCING ALOFT RESULTS IN PARENT LOW OVER NY STATEFADING/FILLING AND GIVING WAY TO CYCLOGENESIS ALONG OR JUST OFF THESOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST FRI. THIS ROBUST MID/UPPER TROUGH RESULTSIN SECONDARY LOW PRES DEEPENING TO ABOUT 985 MB OVER THE WESTERNGULF OF MAINE 12Z SAT. IN ADDITION THE MID/UPPER LOW CAPTURES THESURFACE CYCLONE AND PULLS IT BACK BRIEFLY TOWARD EASTERN MACOASTLINE LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT. THIS SLOWS THE SYSTEM DOWN ANDRESULTS IN A ROBUST COMMA-HEAD DEVELOPING FRI NIGHT OVER NORTHEASTMA POSSIBLY WESTWARD INTO WORCESTER COUNTY.AS MID LEVEL TROUGH TRANSITIONS FROM AN OPEN WAVE TO A CLOSEDCIRCULATION FRI NIGHT OVER EASTERN MA A MODEST SNOW BAND WILL LIKELYDEVELOP. ALSO UNCERTAINTY ON EXACTLY WHERE THESE BANDS SETUP ANDINTENSITY. HOWEVER MODEL CONSENSUS QPF YIELDS 0.5-0.6 INCHES OVERNORTHEAST MA...POSSIBLY WESTWARD INTO WORCESTER COUNTY. THEREFOREHAVE UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR ESSEX AND MIDDLESEXCOUNTIES. LATER SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO EXPAND THE WARNING WESTWARD INTOWORCESTER COUNTY PENDING 00Z MODEL TRENDS. GIVEN THE BANDINGSIGNATURE AND MODEL CONSENSUS QPF EXPANDED ADVISORIES INTO SOUTHERNWORCESTER/NORTHEAST CT/NORTHERN RI INTO NORTHERN BRISTOL COUNTY OFMA FOR 2-4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL.THOUGHT PROCESS WAS SNOWFALL MAY FALL JUST SHORT OF WARNING AND/ORADVISORY CRITERIA BUT REALIZING ANY ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL BEPROBLEMATIC REGARDING SNOW REMOVAL ESPECIALLY IN THE URBAN AREASTHAT RECEIVED 30+ EARLIER THIS WEEK. ALSO ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL MAYRESULT IN SNOW LOAD/STRESS TO ROOFS. THEREFORE OUR WARNINGS ANDADVISORIES ARE SOMEWHAT BASED ON IMPACTS TOO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Surprised by the warning, this intrigues me. BOX seems awfully bullish on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 18z GFS is very good for eastern MA. Its just a tick away from something bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 How much total QPFdoes the RGEM give me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Surprised by the warning, this intrigues me. BOX seems awfully bullish on this one. Well it's impact based too I guess. Might not normally issue one. Peabody on NE is probably in a decent spot. It wouldn't shock me if you grabbed 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Gfs? Sent from my iPhone Maybe 3-5 for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Well it's impact based too I guess. Might not normally issue one. Peabody on NE is probably in a decent spot. It wouldn't shock me if you grabbed 6. Yeah, given how much is already otg it's understandable lol. 5-6" would be a great refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Man, RGEM on. only gives me 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Harv goes 3-5"....I like my 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Harvs best guess on Monday is Heavy on CC, little or none N MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 RGEM shifted east again. Another reason why as well. If it tickles east..see ya. May not be the type of system that falls in the wheelhouse of the rgem. My biggest concern isn't qpf I just think we may be too warm here. It actually looks really good to me overnight tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 May not be the type of system that falls in the wheelhouse of the rgem. My biggest concern isn't qpf I just think we may be too warm here. It actually looks really good to me overnight tomorrowIt looks good based upon what? Why.isn't this in the RGEM's wheelhouse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 May not be the type of system that falls in the wheelhouse of the rgem. My biggest concern isn't qpf I just think we may be too warm here. It actually looks really good to me overnight tomorrow How would this be different than the one we just saw? It seems a stretch to say the last system was a RGEM type system and this one may not be in its wheelhouse. Its the same deal of how quickly the low gets going once it gets out over the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Well it's impact based too I guess. Might not normally issue one. Peabody on NE is probably in a decent spot. It wouldn't shock me if you grabbed 6. Is the impact because of the snow on the ground? I'm not sure how this system is impact based. Everyone just got out of a blizzard, they can deal with a few inches of snow. Its not like its November and they play the "impact" card of people aren't used to snow yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Is the impact because of the snow on the ground? I'm not sure how this system is impact based. Everyone just got out of a blizzard, they can deal with a few inches of snow. Its not like its November and they play the "impact" card of people aren't used to snow yet. Because 4" of snow would currently strain infrastructure more, since it coming on the heels of a blizzard. Large urban areas are clogged with snow...this isn't ski resorts and picnic tables. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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