Violentweatherfan Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Who is local Jb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Lets see if the 0z suite continues the north trend. Will it stop? Will it reverse? Its go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 1:46 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Lets see if the 0z suite continues the north trend. Will it stop? Will it reverse? Its go time. SREFS are north, 850 line clears NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 1:44 AM, Violentweatherfan said: Who is local Jb?John bolaris I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 1:46 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Lets see if the 0z suite continues the north trend. Will it stop? Will it reverse? Its go time. Must assume they tick north. Nothing seems to deny the north trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 1:51 AM, GD0815 said: SREFS are north, 850 line clears NYC Not a good start at all. We need to get a south bump early... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 1:52 AM, PSUHazletonWx said: Not a good start at all. We need to get a south bump early... Forky mentioned this in the NY thread and I agree with him, with these types of storms once they start moving north on the models they usually dont come back south. Heck of a cold air mass though, we could have a very nice front end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Srefs are a good general indicator of where the nam is going. Fully expecting another nudge north on that piece of guidance tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 1:51 AM, AlexD said: John bolaris I believeOK, got it Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 11:43 PM, blinkers88 said: question from a newb: why is freezing rain not a threat with that high pressure to the north? It may be a threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 1:54 AM, GD0815 said: Forky mentioned this in the NY thread and I agree with him, with these types of storms once they start moving north on the models they usually dont come back south. Heck of a cold air mass though, we could have a very nice front end And a nice ice storm too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:14 AM, Kevin Reilly said: And a nice ice storm too not impossible, especially just NW of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NAM is a tick farther north with the surface low at 39 at 500mb there is more digging of the plains sw and clearly more interaction with the southern jet already. more ridging out ahead. pv nudged north this will be as far n as 18z if not a hair farther n Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:19 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: NAM is a tick farther north with the surface low at 39 at 500mb there is more digging of the plains sw and clearly more interaction with the southern jet already. more ridging out ahe i guess i can see what you are saying but it kind of looks similar to 18z to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:21 AM, GD0815 said: i guess i can see what you are saying but it kind of looks similar to 18z to me. It appears as if the whole precip shield is more east/west oriented on the 0z as opposed to a bit of a NW/SE orientation on the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:26 AM, Voyager said: It appears as if the whole precip shield is more east/west oriented on the 0z as opposed to a bit of a NW/SE orientation on the 18z. Like the 1040 high to start off with anyway... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Noticable difference in the snow coverage at hr48 on the 0z as opposed to hr54 on the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 45 hrs lt snow over most of PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:32 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: 45 hrs lt snow over most of PA Using the 24 hr snowfall, look at the southern edge of the snow shield in IL, IN,and OH. It's noticably north of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 57 hrs moderate snow most of eastern pa....southeast pa and south jersey have mixing issues already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The north trend isn't stopping. Subtle changes from 18z to 0z once into PA, but still more north this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:39 AM, Voyager said: The north trend isn't stopping. Subtle changes from 18z to 0z once into PA, but still more noth this run. Yep, we are cooked where I'm at. Quick 2-4" thump then meh per nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Sh*t. Simple as that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 850's at hr60 go above freezing on this run even up at my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The late week storm will rock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:49 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: The late week storm will rock! cmon man, not already with this stuff. let's at least see how the 0z model suite plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 This storm is over for just about everyone south of I-80 at this rate...it is time to look at the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 Latest Wxsim for NW Chesco continues to increase the winter storm impact....now up to 2.00" all frozen. With 8" to 10" of snow then to a mix and back to snow....temp never gets above 31.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 you guys need to see what all the 0z and 12z runs show. mixing will be close by thats for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I wondering if we end up seeing a sleet fest like the one that shut down 78 in Berks a few years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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