IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 You can see the bagginess at hour 72 on the EPS mean. A lot of members look like the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Correct. .75"-1" for everyone. And they also got colder. No threat of mix at all. to be fair, that's not true either. The 0.75"+ contour hangs around the Parkway and then juts out to Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 to be fair, that's not true either. The 0.75"+ contour hangs around the Parkway and then juts out to Philly. I apologize. I should've specified. But it's still close to .75" for everyone with a little more for KNYC and LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I apologize. I should've specified. But it's still close to .75" for everyone with a little more for KNYC and LI. The precip looks pretty far North just like the Euro, in my opinion the QPF should have been similar. Who cares anway, still somewhere between the useless and worthless range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 New QPF map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 New QPF map Impressive. This is going to catch alot of people off guard. Weather forecasting trust with the public is at a historical low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Nam updates plz for us at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Nam updates plz for us at work looking similar through 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Correct. .75"-1" for everyone. And they also got colder. No threat of mix at all. NYC on track for the first two 6 inch plus events only a week apart since 2005 and 1994. Nice payback for the crummy pattern during the first 8 weeks of winter. We couldn't even pull that feat off in the recent 50" winters. http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/sixplussnow.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 17Km UKMET is looking pretty juicy. Nice agreement with the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z nams further north than 12z through hr 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z nams further north than 12z through hr 60 agreed with this analysis - looks to be a transfer solution at 66... will definitely move the snow axis north a bit from its previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The mixing line is at the George Washington Bridge at 66hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z nams further north than 12z through hr 60 nam is going to be a monster hit for north jersey, coast goes over to sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Nams really amped up this run, heavy snow through hr 63 for all LI, NYC NNJ NEPA AND LHV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Pops a secondary almost right over the area. Mega hit NNJ and LHV. Mixing issues Central NJ, NYC and LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 nam is going to be a monster hit for north jersey, coast goes over to sleetThe energy over the Atlantic is exploding through hr 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 YAWN at the NAM . Does not look like the guidance . Does not fit the pattern. Y A W N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 1.00-1.50" QPF Sharp cut off in snow accumultions right over the city. Could be 6" in the Bronx and nothing in Coney Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 17Km UKMET is looking pretty juicy. Nice agreement with the 12z runs. For us newbies, anyone have current snowfall tot map pls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 YAWN at the NAM . Does not look like the guidance . Does not fit the pattern. Y A W N. I don't think we should disregard anything at this point. We do so at our snowpack's peril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 why do people still look at the nam...i really just dont get it...its odds of verifying are so low its not even funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 YAWN at the NAM . Does not look like the guidance . Does not fit the pattern. Y A W N. and is out of range Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This will be a widespread snowstorm from 195 N . NYC and LI included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NAM is a foot plus north and west of the city, probably anyone that lives west of the GSP and Northwest of the Thuruway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Boom... 18z NAM @ 66 Thing of beauty.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Shore snow Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Pops a secondary almost right over the area. Mega hit NNJ and LHV. Mixing issues Central NJ, NYC and LI. Primary to Pittsburgh, secondary right on central NJ coast...way north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 everyone's discussing the model runs, no one is saying the NAM is right. Relax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 call me a weenie idc lol...the nam had 40 inches 12 hours out for nyc on monday...the fact that people even do pbp for it is kind of pointless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 And the NAM bashing continues because it doesn't show the most snow for the coast. It's just a slightly warmer version of both the GFS and the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.