weatherlogix Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Again go look at 850s and surface temps for this storm.. They are PERFECT for snow growth only snow growth doesnt usually happen at 850 or at the surface...look between 700-750...ideal temps are between -12-18C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The UKIE is way north at 72, the low is practically to Cleveland, it was also north on its 12Z run...but there is baggyness south of the low indicating it may be about to transfer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Assuming this includes tonight/tomorrows clipper in the 93 hour totals. Appears NYC is boredering 0.15 -0.25 with more south into cnj Sacrus, my bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The GGEM was better but not there yet Still looks like 4-6 for most ..less north more over central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It was a monster near and south of Boston, a mega band formed and places saw over 12 inches 7" here from that one. The totals were helped out with some ocean enhancement in eastern Mass: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/snowrpts/FE080319 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Midnight Round-Up “There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all arguments, and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance —that principle is contempt prior to investigation.” - Herbert Spencer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 That map is total on ground. Then where did all the snow in NNE go, including tomorrows blast in Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 GEFS looks about the same as the Op GFS to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 That map is total on ground. It says total snowfall, not snow depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 1/30 00zZ Summary : Sun (2/1) - Mon (2/2) Storm potential NYC area : QPF SREF: Looked like a subsequent hit NAM: projected hit GFS: 0.75 GEFS: 0.50 - -0.75 GGEM: 0.10 - 0.25 UKMET: ECM: ECM Ensembles: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The cold following this storm on Monday night/Tuesday morning looks quite impressive. Looks like a substantial part of the region may go below zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 1/30 00zZ Summary : Sun (2/1) - Mon (2/2) Storm potential NYC area : QPF SREF: Looked like a subsequent hit NAM: projected hit GFS: 0.75 GEFS: 0.50 - -0.75 GGEM: 0.10 - 0.25 UKMET: ECM: ECM Ensembles: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 From the looks of things... a handful of GEFS members have mixing/rain very far north. FWIW 2 are sheared and 2 look like CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Ukie wayyyy north and ampped 986 off coast of Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Any idea what happens between 72 and 96 hours on the UKIE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It ain't snow that's for sure, atlantic ridge pushing hard this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Any idea what happens between 72 and 96 hours on the UKIE? I'd guess a transfer over south central jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It ain't snow that's for sure, atlantic ridge pushing hard this run.That's fantastic. Coldest air of the season and we still might taint. Lol. Euro about to start....what a week for forecasters huh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 That's fantastic. Coldest air of the season and we still might taint. Lol. Euro about to start....what a week for forecasters huh... Until better sampling tomorrow night, we're going to still see a lot of run to run variability, mid atlantic hit nyc scraper, GGEM, GFS hit to Ukie solution are still all on the table. I still have a very good feeling about this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 That's fantastic. Coldest air of the season and we still might taint. Lol. Euro about to start....what a week for forecasters huh...and as we all go chasing the next mecs moderate snow falls outside the window. Life's too funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Brutally cold air follows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 and as we all go chasing the next mecs moderate snow falls outside the window. Life's too funnyA half inch of snow doesn't cut it for me.A half a foot however....I do generally like this setup. IMO 4" is a lock for the greater area, supressed we get ratios, amped we get rates... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Euro coming in more amped and further north through 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 ive heard time and time again about ratios. we rarely get higher than 12-1 in these parts. i wouldnt count on high ratios So no high ratios just bc we usually don't get high ratios? Look at the soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Euro looks beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Big snowstorm on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Euro is essentially GFS, what can go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Big snowstorm on the euro Could you be more specific? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Could you be more specific? 8-10ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 12+ with ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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