IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 8-10" for the city. Central and Southern NJ over a foot. 4-6" for the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 0z GFS shows 12+ for NYC for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 0z GFS shows 12+ for NYC for Monday Nice run for sure. Wonder if it creeps north over time. Looks to hit dc area hard too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 0z GFS shows 12+ for NYC for Monday That actually looks quite similar to the 0z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 0z GFS shows 12+ for NYC for Monday ANT that's your bubble don't get greedy here http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015012900/gfs_apcpn_neus_20.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Since we all learned our lesson from the last storm, we are all asking ourselves what could go wrong to make this not happen, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015012900/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_17.png thing of beauty This is a doorman special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Since we all learned our lesson from the last storm, we are all asking ourselves what could go wrong to make this not happen, right? Unpsossible RW http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015012900/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_20.png the pattern maximizes snow rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Unpsossible RW http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015012900/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_20.png the pattern maximizes snow rates We should be asking ourselves can this thing get too amped up? Could it get sheared out and go South? Could the track take it too far North and West? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Since we all learned our lesson from the last storm, we are all asking ourselves what could go wrong to make this not happen, right? The clipper bombs out too much or not enough, I did not look closely but at a glance I think the 00Z runs so far have not blown the clipper up quite as much, so that may have decreased the confluence...also the timing of the disturbance in the SW, really alot can go wrong, more likely though a miss than a cutter I think at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Temps are going to really cold during the storm if this occurs so the ratios will be high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The clipper bombs out too much or not enough, I did not look closely but at a glance I think the 00Z runs so far have not blown the clipper up quite as much, so that may have decreased the confluence...also the timing of the disturbance in the SW, really alot can go wrong, more likely though a miss than a cutter I think at this point. Thank you for your unbiased response Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GFS 850 s minus 10 BL 10. That's 1966 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 We should be asking ourselves can this thing get too amped up? Could it get sheared out and go South? Could the track take it too far North and West? It's already a thread the needle scenario in terms of temps. why cant we sit back ...just a bit this go round over analysis will not increase your snow totals in the end the blueprint is drawn the subcontractors will need to work together the mods will be the foreman on this job dm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GFS has a temp of 10 with heavy snow on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GFS has a temp of 10 with heavy snow on Monday. Anthony, your enthusiasm is awesome brother. Just keep it a cautious optimism. None of us want another heart break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 why cant we sit back ...just a bit this go round over analysis will not increase your snow totals in the end the blueprint is drawn the subcontractors will need to work together the mods will be the foreman on this job dm Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GFS 850 s minus 10 BL 10. That's 1966Can you elaborate on 1966 .I agree with Anthony ratios will be great. Could easily beat last weeks storm in the city. Eastern LI could be looking at a snow pack usually not seen outside of the north woods of Maine. I don't want to break out the jump to conclusions mat however. A nice 6" event gets me extra money without being stuck in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Right now the only thing people should be looking at is the pattern, models are going to continue to show different solution until the Friday clipper passes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Hello ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GGEM is a big coastal storm. Miller B. A lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Wow, heavy snow and 10* Is it too early to speculate what the winds would be or no? I know the last storm the high winds curtailed our ratios on the Island. Thinking this wouldn't be an issue this go around. I would sacrifice an inch or two for high winds and a another blizzard warning. (Not saying that is even remotely possible with this system.) -Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GGEM is a MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GGEM is a MECS. I only have it to 72 hours, is it a thump for Philly and NYC to rain or all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Is this storm a wind event, or not really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GGEM is a big coastal storm. Miller B. A lot of snow. Could also be another heartbreaker. I must temper my enthusiasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Is this storm a wind event, or not really? Would likely be a low wind event except for coastal regions that could see like 30-35 mph gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 My personal opinion is that a storm like this will be less trivial for a model to handle. I'm not saying to put all your eggs into the basket , but I'd get a tad excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I only have it to 72 hours, is it a thump for Philly and NYC to rain or all snow? It's almost all snow. Don't worry about p type. Few things one DMs point was a valid one we don't grab this until Friday its in the middle of the PAC so stay conservative. The GGEM is much colder than its 12z run so it and the GFS like the threat. Again 4.5 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 10-12 on the GGEM for NYC. SNE gets crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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