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January 31st-February 2nd overrunning snow event


Thundersnow12

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Solid shift 

 

attachicon.gifoutput_MLYlNd.gif

 

I cant help but feel ok where I am sitting. Seems like our insane south shifts of yesterday have stopped, with northern correction starting to infiltrate the models.

 

Standard caveats apply (especially this season) but in Illinois I would have growing optimism if I am in between the Lasalle/Peru to Salem area (AKA the entire center swath of the state, lol)

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I cant help but feel ok where I am sitting. Seems like our insane south shifts of yesterday have stopped, with northern correction starting to infiltrate the models.

 

Standard caveats apply (especially this season) but in Illinois I would have growing optimism if I am in between the Lasalle/Peru to Salem area (AKA the entire center swath of the state, lol)

 

Oh I like where I sit and am optimistic this comes further north. 

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but those maps will be off. Ratios will be better which is why I'm posting total QPF

 

Yeah I like yours best of all with the interpolations to cities plotted right on there.  I just wish WxBell went to the hundredths digit.

 

But the "snowfall" maps have value too, since they tend to have a lower contour interval than standard QPF.  And it's plenty east to readjust for accurate ratios in your head.

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Yeah I like yours best of all with the interpolations to cities plotted right on there.  I just wish WxBell went to the hundredths digit.

 

But the "snowfall" maps have value too, since they tend to have a lower contour interval than standard QPF.  And it's plenty east to readjust for accurate ratios in your head.

 

wxbell snowfall maps usually suck, but the one instance when they may do better is a cold storm like this one...if anything, at 10:1 they might be conservative.

 

they especially blow with mixy storms. I think they don't designate between  snow vs.freezing rain and sleet, so it all shows as snow accums.

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