sparky333 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z GFS ensembles say the folks north of here shouldn't throw in the towel yet. How far North? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Just so it snows Im taking the plow off the Super Duty now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 How far North? About half are north in terms of precip placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Euro is coming north and should be a great run for south of here and hopefully generous up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Euro is coming north and should be a great run for south of here and hopefully generous up this way. thanks for the mini play play T-Snow and others.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z vs 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Euro is coming north and should be a great run for south of here and hopefully generous up this way. Certainly looks more aggressive with the northern stream wave vs 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Euro is coming north and should be a great run for south of here and hopefully generous up this way. Very good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Solid shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Certainly looks more aggressive with the northern stream wave vs 00z. Somewhere around 0.70" precip for us. Better just to the south. It was a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 And euro goes for a foot right on top of me... Didn't expect such a juicy solutuon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 nice improvement on the euro...takes low to central ky then east....I'm greedy, lets get another 4mb off that low and about 25 miles north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Somewhere around 0.70" precip for us. Better just to the south. It was a good run. Indeed...that'd probably be something like 8-11" for us, factoring in improving ratios with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Went from nearly nothing on the 0z run to .40" this run. Don't like the WxBell 10:1 maps in this case. Would probably be a 5-6" event along I-88. I know it's not just 850's that decide ratios but they are between -8 to -12 here during the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Signs aren't bad. Just need a little more jump North to be back in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Solid shift output_MLYlNd.gif I cant help but feel ok where I am sitting. Seems like our insane south shifts of yesterday have stopped, with northern correction starting to infiltrate the models. Standard caveats apply (especially this season) but in Illinois I would have growing optimism if I am in between the Lasalle/Peru to Salem area (AKA the entire center swath of the state, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 nice improvement on the euro...takes low to central ky then east....I'm greedy, lets get another 4mb off that low and about 25 miles north Can you include the full scale bar with these images? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 I cant help but feel ok where I am sitting. Seems like our insane south shifts of yesterday have stopped, with northern correction starting to infiltrate the models. Standard caveats apply (especially this season) but in Illinois I would have growing optimism if I am in between the Lasalle/Peru to Salem area (AKA the entire center swath of the state, lol) Oh I like where I sit and am optimistic this comes further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Can you include the full scale bar with these images? Thanks. but those maps will be off. Ratios will be better which is why I'm posting total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 my first of the season.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Can you include the full scale bar with these images? Thanks. basically purple starts the 6" the shades of blue darken and increase up to that point. pink begins 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 And the nice LE signals continue as well....digging the trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 my first of the season.... What do we have to do to lock that in?! The teachers wear their pajamas backwards to get a day off so there has to be something we can do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 What do we have to do to lock that in?! The teachers wear their pajamas backwards to get a day off so there has to be something we can do! I'm just glad the best model run of the afternoon, inside 4 days, was the euro. Had it held serve to it's 00z run, I would have thrown the flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 but those maps will be off. Ratios will be better which is why I'm posting total QPF Yeah I like yours best of all with the interpolations to cities plotted right on there. I just wish WxBell went to the hundredths digit. But the "snowfall" maps have value too, since they tend to have a lower contour interval than standard QPF. And it's plenty east to readjust for accurate ratios in your head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah I like yours best of all with the interpolations to cities plotted right on there. I just wish WxBell went to the hundredths digit. But the "snowfall" maps have value too, since they tend to have a lower contour interval than standard QPF. And it's plenty east to readjust for accurate ratios in your head. wxbell snowfall maps usually suck, but the one instance when they may do better is a cold storm like this one...if anything, at 10:1 they might be conservative. they especially blow with mixy storms. I think they don't designate between snow vs.freezing rain and sleet, so it all shows as snow accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Wow EURO absolutely juiced from KC to Columbus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I like the trend today of nudging north, wouldn't be shocked if the models nudged north some more later today. Right now local we are on the fringe but that could easily change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 f102.gif I'd like p0001 or p0003. In all seriousness though there are a good number that are at least a hair north of op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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