smoof Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 That 00Z NAM run looks a lot like the last 2 GGEM runs at 84hr. Of course it's the NAM at 84h so :weenie: lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Glanced at the 21z SREFs at 87. Pretty meh. Some hits, but a lot of misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I believe the NAM gets its boundary conditions from the GFS. Since the energy of interest is still out over the Pacific, I'm guessing the GFS is going to dig the northern wave more than it did with the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Glanced at the 21z SREFs at 87. Pretty meh. Some hits, but a lot of misses. Those run off the 18z NAM data which was a supressed turd storm so the 03Z SREFs will go way north when they come out, not that it really means anything at that range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I believe the NAM gets its boundary conditions from the GFS. Since the energy of interest is still out over the Pacific, I'm guessing the GFS is going to dig the northern wave more than it did with the 12z run.Actually I believe that's the DGEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Glanced at the 21z SREFs at 87. Pretty meh. Some hits, but a lot of misses.SREFS are pretty much useless at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 SREFS are pretty much useless at this range. Anything to do with the NAM at this range is useless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Everyone @ 00z today: :D Everyone @ 12z onward today: :( lets see where tomorrow takes us... I vote for + = Perhaps the GEM can pull out a victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 SREFS are pretty much useless at this range. so is the NAM. edit: Roy beat me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 00z GFS is definitely digging the northern wave more. Great heads up analysis by OHweather a little while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 00z GFS is definitely digging the northern wave more. Great heads up analysis by OHweather a little while ago. Yep was just going to post it should be an improvement from the last two runs looking at 54hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 00z GFS is definitely digging the northern wave more. Great heads up analysis by OHweather a little while ago. Thanks. Yeah watching it come in now, let's see what this run does. Agree it's digging a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 00z GFS is definitely digging the northern wave more. Great heads up analysis by OHweather a little while ago. Yup, looks the the phase potential is a lot better this run so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Very pronounced differences across Montana at hour 66 when compared to the old 72hr. PVA stronger and further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Where are you guys getting the GFS so fast? I'm stuck at 42 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Where are you guys getting the GFS so fast? I'm stuck at 42 lol instantweathermaps is out to 78h now, it's almost always the fastest lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Actually I believe that's the DGEX. The NAM uses the GFS for its boundary conditions. I'm not sure exactly what the DGEX is or how it operates, except that it's generally not trustworthy, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Very pronounced differences across Montana at hour 66 when compared to the old 72hr. PVA stronger and further south. Yeah this run should be an improvement over the 12z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Pretty big difference from the 18z run. Nrn wave is in western/central WY at 72hr on this run compared to eastern MT on the previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Where are you guys getting the GFS so fast? I'm stuck at 42 lol COD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Southbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'm flowing now. GFS does look quite a bit better than 12z/18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 From I-80 last night to I-70 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'm flowing now. GFS does look quite a bit better than 12z/18z. A lot better than the 12z/18z just misses the full phase by a little bit though, much better for just about everybody in the forum though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 6"+ for most of IL/IN/OH on the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 0z showing nearly 1in QPF for us Ohio folk. All frozen as I see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 00Z GFS Snow Map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 This run shows another 10" blast for NY and Boston... South of Chicago this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 6"+ for most of IL/IN/OH on the 0z GFS. it's a sweet run...best of all we still have a decent buffer to allow for a potentially stronger, further north trend. that being said, I'm not buying anything tonight.....just like I didn't buy this afternoons suppressors....or last nights rainers. I'm not investing anything until after tomorrows 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 it's a sweet run...best of all we still have a decent buffer to allow for a potentially stronger, further north trend. that being said, I'm not buying anything tonight.....just like I didn't buy this afternoons suppressors....or last nights rainers. I'm not investing anything until after tomorrows 12z runs. I would think that Fridays 12z runs would be the go to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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