Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 1:55 AM, Hoosier said: 21z SREF mean just under 8" for LAF with several plumes of 12+. And it's pretty tame with ratios. Looking at areas farther north, there are some clowns in there, like 1 plume over 20" for ORD. not surprising on the amped solutions as the euro ensembles had some, not 20" but double digits. Mean of near 6" at ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Some early signs at hour 30 that the 0z NAM may nudge North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:06 AM, Thundersnow12 said: not surprising on the amped solutions as the euro ensembles had some, not 20" but double digits. Mean of near 6" at ORD JOT with 5.6 on .46 QPF for the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 1:55 AM, Hoosier said: 21z SREF mean just under 8" for LAF with several plumes of 12+. And it's pretty tame with ratios. Looking at areas farther north, there are some clowns in there, like 1 plume over 20" for ORD. That one loon shows about 18" here (but it's still snowing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 Yeah the nrn wave across BC is def a bit south of the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:13 AM, Powerball said: That one loon shows about 18" here (but it's still snowing). Could be an indicator of a possible north shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 We have one at 15" at KDAY, don't worry, you aren't alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Wondering if we might end up with a wetter run (sim reflectivity looks a bit more impressive). May also end up with a bump north as was mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NAM comes out so slow on NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:28 AM, Hoosier said: Wondering if we might end up with a wetter run (sim reflectivity looks a bit more impressive). May also end up with a bump north as was mentioned. Yeah looks both of those to me at 45hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 00z nam looks further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 PVA coming out of the four corners gyre is clearly more aggressive compared to 18z. Snow swath is well north at hour 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:33 AM, Thundersnow12 said: Yeah looks both of those to me at 45hr. Should be a very nice run about I-80 southward with decent amounts north of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:36 AM, blizzardof96 said: PVA coming out of the four corners gyre is clearly more aggressive compared to 18z even though the N stream disturbance actually ends up further North. Snow swath is well north at hour 60. Yup. But still a lot of work to be done at our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:36 AM, blizzardof96 said: PVA coming out of the four corners gyre is clearly more aggressive compared to 18z even though the N stream disturbance actually ends up further North. Snow swath is well north at hour 60. Eh. Nrn wave def looks a bit south to me at 54hr across western SD and entering NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:38 AM, snowstormcanuck said: Yup. But still a lot of work to be done at our latitude. Agree. It's a long shot at this point but worth monitoring considering the propensity for NW movement at this range when S branch energy is involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:40 AM, Thundersnow12 said: Eh. Nrn wave def looks a bit south to me at 54hr across western SD and entering NE. After taking another look, you are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Per instantweathermaps, nearly 1" precip here on this run but snow map not as impressive as you'd think. Must not like the ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:23 AM, Ajdos said: Could be an indicator of a possible north shift. By itself, no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 About .65" liquid and .,70" near the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 KC to INDY 1-1.2" QPF pretty impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 2:51 AM, Thundersnow12 said: About .65" liquid and .,70" near the lake. Signs of enhancement beginning already at H57 / 9Z 01FEB ... and then this is still there as the synoptic shuffles off to the east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 A good result even if the ratios are low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I want to see the GFS come in like it did 2 nights ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 0z 4km NAM total precip ending at 12z Sunday so lots place have many hours of snow after this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I like the bump north on the NAM, maybe an indication of the theme tonight, especially with more sampling of the southern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Radar will be fun to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 00z RGEM really digging the northern stream. That would probably be quite interesting beyond that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 00z GFS is coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Shortwave definitely farther SW over MT at 45 hours compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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