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January 26-28 Blizzard Observations/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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After an hour break, stepped back out. That initial band means business. Probably 2-3" in Cambridge in the last hour. Gorgeous floating dendritic delights out there. Great snow growth. After a slow start, winter is back and its heart is in the trim! I advise anyone tired of parsing model outputs to step away for a few and just enjoy some fabulous weather.

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Just finished shoveling...only a hair over 3". Not all surprising since snow growth has been marginal at best. Trends are pretty clear that we're not gonna approach 2 feet back this way. I'm thinking 10-18" is starting to look reasonable. Not trying to be a debbie...just realistic. Still a nice storm and it was certainly nice to spend a bit of time out there in it this evening and take a walk down the street. I simply don't understand how anyone can't enjoy a night like this. Their loss I suppose. Headed to bed shortly...best of luck everyone!

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0044

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1032 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND...AND

MASSACHUSETTS

CONCERNING...BLIZZARD

VALID 270432Z - 270900Z

SUMMARY...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP/EXPAND THROUGH THE NIGHT.

DISCUSSION...04 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A STRONG

ARCTIC HIGH CENTERED OVER SOUTHEASTERN QUEBEC...EXTENDING EASTWARD

OVER TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. TO THE SOUTH OF THIS ARCTIC

HIGH...A LOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 STATUTE MILES SOUTHEAST OF

NEW YORK CITY WAS RAPIDLY DEEPENING /AS EVIDENCED BY 03 UTC 2-HOUR

PRESSURE FALLS IN EXCESS OF 7MB AT BUOY NUMBER 44008 SOUTHEAST OF

NANTUCKET/. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES...A STRONG PRESSURE

GRADIENT WAS ALREADY IN PLACE...AND WILL ONLY INTENSIFY AS THE

SURFACE LOW DEEPENS. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE

REGION ARE ALREADY IN EXCESS OF 20 KNOTS /WITH GUSTS NEARING 50

KNOTS ALONG THE COAST/ WILL ONLY INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

ADDITIONALLY...STRONG LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC THETA-E ADVECTION AND

FRONTOGENESIS WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE AN EXPANDING AREA OF SNOW IN

EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR. GIVEN THE INCREASING LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC

FRONTOGENESIS...BANDING STRUCTURES WITHIN THE BROADER SNOW AREA WILL

PROMOTE SNOW RATES WELL IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR...LOCALLY

APPROACHING 4 INCHES PER HOUR...OR GREATER. THE COMBINATION OF

STRENGTHENING SURFACE WINDS AND INCREASING SNOW RATES WILL RESULT IN

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE AREA WITH GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF

PROLONGED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FROM EASTERN LONG ISLAND

NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND NORTHWARD INTO

THE BOSTON METROPOLITAN AREA.

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I can imagine it was a little different then usual haha

Seeing the Euro come out on AWIPS was the highlight of the day lol, even if its too far west.

 

For an actual ob, still moderate snow in Haverhill. Radar looks pretty solid for E MA.

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