January 26-28 Blizzard Observations/Nowcast

[mahk_webstah]

yeah it is makingprogress, taking its sweet time, which is fine as long as it wants to take its sweet time getting through the area. i snowmobile up your way, hoping to get out on the trail next weekend!

good trails up here, went with my neighbors last year.  You know right where I am?  127 near Webster Salisbury line?

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Well the Nam and Rgem both performed badly. HRRR is correcting itself and Elvis is still the king it appears

 

I'm going to disagree with you on the RGEM.  NCEP kept tossing it...I think it's surface low positions come tomorrow may not be all that bad.  Probably a bit NE of reality, but on the same magnitude of error that the accepted models were W and SW.

 

Run through the loop on this - not bad really with reality today/tonight.  The low is definitely skidding still NE..   RGEM may have been too extreme...but like I said compromise....

 

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

[Bostonseminole]

measured about 10 minutes ago 

 

20.6F 1"

[moneypitmike]

My DP's are climbing out here so that is a good sign that the cold dry air is starting to give in.

 

Most forecasts didn't have us rocking out here until after 11pm so no worries.

 

Once the better banding pivots in snow growth will improve and we're off to the races.  Of course Mike may be asleep by then but he'll be up for the 4am shellacking.

 

And if I wake up and it's like it is now, I'm going to try and book a reservation to Iowa. 

 

Winds are picking up.

[Ginx snewx]

Woah ACK gusto 67

[dan123]

After this storm is over, I don't want to hear you weenies complain anymore this winter you hear me.

[ROOSTA]

i noticed the same thing on radar, looks like it is hitting a wall. the guy on WMUR said it would take a few hours to get through the virga. i laughed and thought no way, it will happen fast. turns out that the guy who gets paid to predict the weather was right, and i was wrong.

Steve do me a favor please. Run up to Turkey Hill when you get a chance check on my old house, maybe take a pic if you can. The contractor was biting at the bit to tear off roof, add a second story and expand to the tune of 800k.

 

You guys, I'm so friggin jealous, pissed and frustrated. A balmy 49F here...

 

Wishing all luck and be safe! 

[TalcottWx]

That band is moving towards BOS... Slower and slower as it progresses... Man.. Come to papa

[SnowMan]

Not feeling good about things up here. Especially with latest model trends.

[TalcottWx]

700mb is just closing off this hour. Winds are starting to rip more now. Should be on the increase until things get really windy past midnight.

[Bostonseminole]

I think just for during the worst winds

 

I think it's just city lights.. not homes

[nhweather]

We look fine in southern NH so far. The heaviest is not expected to get here till after midnight. 

[weathercoins]

That band is moving towards BOS... Slower and slower as it progresses... Man.. Come to papa

Slow ain't bad, once it gets here

[bobbutts]

Well the Nam and Rgem both performed badly. HRRR is correcting itself and Elvis is still the king it appears

NECN bullseye Tolland

[jamesnichols89]

Snow is accumulating quickly, about 6"

[SouthCoastMA]

3" moderate snow. That band to my north was a thrill while it lasted.

[mahk_webstah]

Not feeling good about things up here. Especially with latest model trends.

what are these trends you refer to and how do they affect snh?

[SnowMan]

what are these trends you refer to and how do they affect snh?

people were posting about models continuing to move east. Has me worried.

[Bostonseminole]

buzzards bay

 

http://www.maritime.edu/live/parade.html

[jamesnichols89]

More bands moving in from the southeast, most snow over SNE is over Cape Cod right now, approaching 6" now.

[SouthCoastMA]

Snow is accumulating quickly, about 6"

Damn..was that a drift?

[weathercoins]

Measuring this thing is going to be so tough. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Not sure well see 40" euro totals in this area. 24" should be a good number

[Hoth]

Went for a little walk. Light confectioner's sugar snow amounting to an inch or so. Not too windy yet, but brutal walking over Mass Ave. Bridge. Beautiful night.

[weathercoins]

I love how all the TV Mets say stuff like "going to get worse" and "the worst part is coming" and "unfortunately, only going to get heavier".... when actually inside they are like     

[jamesnichols89]

Bands are intensifying rapidly to the southeast of CHH and ACK.  Winds are increasing here. 

[mahk_webstah]

I wonder if I might have a problem up here due to DS from NNE winds?  I need ne or ene.  Maybe that is why the snow is getting eaten up while it tries to advance.  This doesn't happen when it comes in from the sw

[N. OF PIKE]

^{Question for mets/anyone}

 

^{I know it's not my imagination , almost always on radar with precip pin wheeling in from the Atlantic , I see these sort of "anti-bands' of lighter returns cutting into precip shield (NE to SW ) over Essex county especially the northern 1/2 . I am guessing that the Dryer N winds draining down from E NH/ Maine sort of feed down thru Merrimack valley into Essex county and dry the column out a bit?} 

 

^{http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=New_England-rad-12  If you look at cape ann and up in Merrimac valley you can see good returns in both areas sort of get eroded away ...I assume good lift eventually overtakes this but I was wondering if a MET could answer that.}

[SouthCoastMA]

Not sure well see 40" euro totals in this area. 24" should be a good number

3 down. 37 to go? That run was absurd

[mahk_webstah]

people were posting about models continuing to move east. Has me worried.

shifts to the ne would help us I think.  later capture and stall near nantucket would be good I think.