40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like metro west is under the gun at the moment, but that could tic east. ORH CO and e CT look great, as well as the canal area now. OBSESS AWAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Getting close here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like metro west is under the gun at the moment, but that could tic east. ORH CO and e CT look great, as well as the canal area now. OBSESS AWAY as long as it extends into this area I'm good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What's there to debate? Eastern NE is going to get crushed, & it's practically impossible to predict where banding will set up at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Come on, come on, shift away! Shoo! Can anyone in here address my earlier inquiry regarding the root cause? Is subsidence owing to proximity to the deform band, or more to wind direction, coastal front? Appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Come on, come on, shift away! Shoo! Can anyone in here address my earlier inquiry regarding the root cause? Is subsidence owing to proximity to the deform band, or more to wind direction, coastal front? Appreciated. When you get a huge mid-level frontogenesis band on either side of it there tends to be a bit of subsidence due to the vertical circulation of air in the band. It rises rapidly but then has to have somewhere to go to so it falls on each side of it kind of like a thunderstorm...though not nearly as intense. This can also be more noticeable if we have a lot of CSI (conditional symmtric instabilty) because CSI promotes a wave like motion fo the air where it rises, then falls, then rises again...if you line up some of the rising waves with the ML fronto band, then you get an extremely enhanced/intense band and the subsidence might also be more noticeable too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'll bite. I'm gonna wishcast that deform band to rot right over my head. Sure, many models have shifted east, but we know that the western edge of these storms are often poorly modeled and usually end up overperforming. For me, it's the difference between 18" and 2 feet+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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