Spoons56 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The Euro Ens still show that sucker hole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 EPS mean for the weens. I'm pulling this in a few mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Man, the RGEM might have actually ticked east again...hard to see, but it definitely didn't go west from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I never know what to make of the p/c---I rely more on zfp. But, my latest p/c has just upped the ante out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 sorry it's probably me that's melting down the most, I just need to take a step back and see how it unfolds Think most of us get paranoid right before the event when a sucker hole is likely. It's one thing to have a storm whiff one way or another...but when everyone around you gets nailed and you can't manage persistent heavy snow, it's the worst IMO. We've all been there. But if you get lucky things break your way. I remember being paranoid about getting sucker holed in the Feb 2013 storm...most of the models had this area in the screw zone...I was pretty pessimistic up until the deform band moved ashore from LI around 5-6pm. 30" later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 EPS mean for the weens. I'm pulling this in a few mins. image.jpg Love it--thanks for showing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks Dendrite And thanks to you and Wow and Eell keeping this running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Man, the RGEM might have actually ticked east again...hard to see, but it definitely didn't go west from 12z. Poor Nammy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Think most of us get paranoid right before the event when a sucker hole is likely. It's one thing to have a storm whiff one way or another...but when everyone around you gets nailed and you can't manage persistent heavy snow, it's the worst IMO. We've all been there. But if you get lucky things break your way. I remember being paranoid about getting sucker holed in the Feb 2013 storm...most of the models had this area in the screw zone...I was pretty pessimistic up until the deform band moved ashore from LI around 5-6pm. 30" later... Yeah--they do suck. I think me, Chris, Lurker and Dave dealt with that in the Boxing Day storm. Still was decent but disappointing compared to all the reports on here. At least when you're missing wide-right, you can be better prepared for it. Looks like we'll need to do some saturating before anything of not. 16.7/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks Dendrite And thanks to you and Wow and Eell keeping this running Wow and Eek are the tech guys. I just pass along what I can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 RGEM is a tad slower also. Great run for so many of us. Today was the day I finally felt good about getting close to 2 feet. I knew it was 18+ most likely but today some of the deets got ironed out. We'll see if there are surprises. I don't care if I get 14 inches as long as BOS gets 2 feet....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Nice Brian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Outside of ene there is just too much disagreement among models for so close in, its so unnerving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 RGEM is a tad slower also. Great run for so many of us. Today was the day I finally felt good about getting close to 2 feet. I knew it was 18+ most likely but today some of the deets got ironed out. We'll see if there are surprises. I don't care if I get 14 inches as long as BOS gets 2 feet....lol. Long duration right into 18z wednesday up here on some of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks Brian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm unpacked and ready to go here in Mainsfield....Right before NEMO the NAM had a crazy run that brought even 12+" to Philly. It tends to do this right before events. It is probably well overdone. I'd imagine it will go NE at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 any more details on the rgem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Long duration right into 18z wednesday up here on some of the models Spin and churn, baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah--they do suck. I think me, Chris, Lurker and Dave dealt with that in the Boxing Day storm. Still was decent but disappointing compared to all the reports on here. At least when you're missing wide-right, you can be better prepared for it. Looks like we'll need to do some saturating before anything of not. 16.7/6 A lot of people were screwed with that one...myself included. I was recovering from a stomach bug however and don't remember be too bent out of shape. This one seems like it'll be more like Feb 2013...screw zone will still be 18" of snow. But I don't buy into the idea of one giant deform ban like Kevin is suggesting. Subsidence will set up somewhere...will it be central CT or a bit further east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ditto on the thanks to Dendrite/Wow/Eell for keeping us running Question: Why would the GYX snow forecast graphic have me (Yarmouth, ME) at 18-24", while p&c (adding up the low range and high range for Mon night/Tues/Tues night) is 13-21"? Believe me, no complaints here, just curious as to why the totals differ so much. Let it dump!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I can't buy the 12z euro op/ens losing that badly to the 18z RGEM. I've tossed the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 2.5km HRDPS Canadien model had the BOS/PVD/LI corridor jackpotting with a secondary jackpot on the cape at 12z. East like rgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The HPC surface analysis at 18z actually shows a stronger Low that is NW of where the 18z NAM initialized. I think that bodes well for the western crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I can't buy the 12z euro op/ens losing that badly to the 18z RGEM. I've tossed the RGEM. I think the RGEM is too far east also...but I think the Euro might be too far west by a little...I am still envisioning some sort of compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 I think the RGEM is too far east also...but I think the Euro might be too far west by a little...I am still envisioning some sort of compromise. Compromise is perfect for all of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I think the RGEM is too far east also...but I think the Euro might be too far west by a little...I am still envisioning some sort of compromise.I was thinking a tick SE of the ecens.I think Kev may have gottenmore from the NAM...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 First big coastal since I moved to Newburyport. Should be a fun one to watch unfold. Plum Island is going to get hammered with the high tide tomorrow. 2-4 Ft surge + astro high tide and 20+ foot surf! Tides been high last few days even without a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 any general ideas of QPF on the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I was thinking a tick SE of the ecens. I think Kev may have gottenmore from the NAM...lol Interesting that the HRRR/RPM etc are wayyyyyy southeast. I wonder what's doing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 RGEM is a tad slower also. Great run for so many of us. Today was the day I finally felt good about getting close to 2 feet. I knew it was 18+ most likely but today some of the deets got ironed out. We'll see if there are surprises. I don't care if I get 14 inches as long as BOS gets 2 feet....lol. You bring the good juju Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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