BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 NAM kinda looks like the EURO was looking before this 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 According to mesoanalysis the storm center has dropped from 1004 mb to 996 mb in the last 4 hours. Bombing out has commenced. Has any model caught this right time/location? Trying to read the tealeaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro is def a bit east of the 18z nam. I think the nam is probably too far west. It is quite a bit further west than even the rap only 12 hours out. It doesn't make a huge difference for most of us in here but the western fringes it might. 18z RGEM time shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Jay you've made your point clear..you think this area of Ct is going to get dry slotted while areas east and west don't. You're entitled to your thoughts. If the NAM had any support ok..but when the serf's jumped east..that should probably tell us something. But again..we don't know..and probably ..it's time to put down the models anyway and just watch what unfolds I don't think that at all necessarily I'm being honest too. But it seems undeniable NYC will get involved in the burial, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm upping my BOS estimate to 26.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 4+ QPF for NYC lol Either the Euro and Nam are going to bust or else your city is fooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm upping my BOS estimate to 26.1. You dumped didn't you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro is def a bit east of the 18z nam. I think the nam is probably too far west. It is quite a bit further west than even the rap only 12 hours out. It doesn't make a huge difference for most of us in here but the western fringes it might. Some of us really care a lot about the western fringes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Tim Kelly is driving around posting pictures of his favorite snow spots on twitter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 18z NAM QPF... two large metro areas just destroyed. A Tolland County nightmare. The NYC battle is amazing... EURO and NAM going big, a lot of other models going quite low. Thanks, You left some qpf on the table for your brethren to the east here, Take it to hr 54 please, Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 honestly I wouldn't be shocked if it setup right on the valley floor, subsidence downsloping and shadowing FTL call me Debby downer but I've seen it too many times in this area me too man, i am super nervous.....i just camnot handle another boxing day or jan 05.....both storms promised the world and both were remarkably unimpressive back this way....i mean every forecast i saw this morning including the 3 normally conservative local news stations all forecasted 18 plus....it seems like the window for heavier snows getting shorter and shorter according to necn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looping the WV images, it looks to be moving right toward RI. I guess it'll begin kicking to the NE soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GYX map update coming as they took it down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm not worried one bit by that garbage.LOL..every other piece of useable guidance shifted east and it goes even farther west. There's going to be some disappointed folks to the west of SNE if they are hanging hats on NAM Haha you seem worried when you are trying to pass off negativity/disappointment on others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Nice to see the 4k NAM cave towards it's lower res brother. Night and day from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks, You left some qpf on the table for your brethren to the east here, Take it to hr 54 please, Thanks It was only out to that at the time, haha. don't worry, we know you guys are getting big snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 RGEM seems to hold its ground. Black and white maps suck though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Any chance we see a 36-48 spot on BOX updated map at 4 if they do update it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 HRR lightning threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Op Euro is also a touch west of the ensemble cluster/mean too. So it is possible the Euro is a bit too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 And take time lapse vids, please I setup a couple cams for every 20 seconds, going to try 1080p 60fps youtube when it's over, too bad I'm slim to none on jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Snow started early here in BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
summerthyme Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I can't believe I'm missing this potentially historic storm. Cannot get over it. Enjoy guys and take lots of pics and vids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Any chance we see a 36-48 spot on BOX updated map at 4 if they do update it? No. You're being silly, go sit in the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That new GYX map looks almost identical to the old one - actually pulls the 24+ line back south a bit, despite references in the AFD to increased totals. Obviously splitting hairs at this point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Op Euro is also a touch west of the ensemble cluster/mean too. So it is possible the Euro is a bit too far west. Th Euro ens is perfect for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Th Euro ens is perfect for us It appears to be good for GC, too. If ever I want the King to be right........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I can't believe I'm missing this potentially historic storm. Cannot get over it. Enjoy guys and take lots of pics and vids I feel your pain. I missed many. Too late to come to town I guess given that the meat and potatoes, the franks AND the beans if you will are coming in as I speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Recent lightning in vicinity of bombing low. http://thunderstorm.vaisala.com/explorer.html She's a comin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That new GYX map looks almost identical to the old one - actually pulls the 24+ line back south a bit, despite references in the AFD to increased totals. Obviously splitting hairs at this point... Well, in fairness, 24-36 is a ludicrous range. Generally speaking, forecasting that 24"+ of snow will fall in any given storm is usually on the safer end of the betting spectrum. This one certainly has duration on its side in certain areas, but beyond that it's really difficult to set 24" as the "at least" part of your range. 18"-24"? Sure. I mean, down by me, I don't think I belong in the 24-36 shading either. I should get 48+, if for no other reason than how good I look in that particular shade of purple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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