Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 FSU Banding Site http://moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 According to mesoanalysis the storm center has dropped from 1004 mb to 996 mb in the last 4 hours. Bombing out has commenced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 what time does this really pick up going to bed around 5 going to set my alarm for 11? i dont want to miss anything lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 18z NAM QPF... two large metro areas just destroyed. A Tolland County nightmare. The NYC battle is amazing... EURO and NAM going big, a lot of other models going quite low. Just like the E-E rule of the old days. For those who don't know, the predecessor to the NAM was the ETA model, and when it was in agreement with the Euro, look out. BTW, I wish they'd bring the ETA back. A lot more consistent with predictable biases that most could account for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I want to jack pot so bad! Hopefully I get under deformed band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 15z SREF plume means: Norwood: 31.0" Boston: 30.8" Plymouth: 30.5" New Bedford: 29.2" Warwick (PVD): 28.8" Providence (SFZ): 27.9" Hyannis: 24.4" SREF mean between 9z and 15z went from 28 to 22 for KCON EEN 25 to 20 LCI 23 to 18 AQW 16 to 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 SREF mean between 9z and 15z went from 28 to 22 for KCON EEN 25 to 20 LCI 23 to 18 AQW 16 to 12 Would you mind posting KPWM and KLEW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 DIT jumping off the Q bridge after seeing the NAM? He still gets 15", but holy subsidence there. It looks like the I91 corridor or just east is the favorite right now to get that local min, but you never know where the bands form... I'm not worried one bit by that garbage.LOL..every other piece of useable guidance shifted east and it goes even farther west. There's going to be some disappointed folks to the west of SNE if they are hanging hats on NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I don't see that really. Euro pretty much crushes e Ma and all of Ct with w ct getting a little more . It's east of nyc NAM persistently showing nothing but disdain for central Ct/Ma.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm not worried one bit by that garbage.LOL..every other piece of useable guidance shifted east and it goes even farther west. There's going to be some disappointed folks to the west of SNE if they are hanging hats on NAM I think it's certainly a possibility. Not everyone will jackpot with 2 feet of snow. There will be an ugly zone of subsidence east of the super-band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 that sucker hole on the NAM better be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 I think it's certainly a possibility. Not everyone will jackpot with 2 feet of snow. There will be an ugly zone of subsidence east of the super-band. What if the Nam had shifted east? Would you still think it's possible? That's my point. It's always been possible for all areas except SE Mass noone has a clue where it will set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Going lower than 983, I say 975 According to mesoanalysis the storm center has dropped from 1004 mb to 996 mb in the last 4 hours. Bombing out has commenced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Any threads for predicting snow totals in the big cities. Would be fun to see who wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 infrared and wator vapor looking awesome this thing is blowing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm not worried one bit by that garbage.LOL..every other piece of useable guidance shifted east and it goes even farther west. There's going to be some disappointed folks to the west of SNE if they are hanging hats on NAM You seem worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 You seem worried Jay you've made your point clear..you think this area of Ct is going to get dry slotted while areas east and west don't. You're entitled to your thoughts. If the NAM had any support ok..but when the serf's jumped east..that should probably tell us something. But again..we don't know..and probably ..it's time to put down the models anyway and just watch what unfolds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What if the Nam had shifted east? Would you still think it's possible? That's my point. It's always been possible for all areas except SE Mass noone has a clue where it will set up. Exactly. No one knows. Is the NAM a possibility with the heavy snow from the Berks/NYC - absolutely. Could be be 50 miles too far west - absolutely. Not sure why you're melting down over it. Of course it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 honestly I wouldn't be shocked if it setup right on the valley floor, subsidence downsloping and shadowing FTL call me Debby downer but I've seen it too many times in this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Here it comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Someone in the triangle between Boston Worcester and Prov is going to exceed three feet. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Exactly. No one knows. Is the NAM a possibility with the heavy snow from the Berks/NYC - absolutely. Could be be 50 miles too far west - absolutely. Not sure why you're melting down over it. Of course it's possible. Well it was nice to see you raise totals statewide after it came out. That actually reassured me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 4Km nam floater over Bos has a 3.97 qpf max directly over NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The radar already looks to be setting up nice for boston.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well it was nice to see you raise totals statewide after it came out. That actually reassured me! We did it before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 sorry it's probably me that's melting down the most, I just need to take a step back and see how it unfolds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro is def a bit east of the 18z nam. I think the nam is probably too far west. It is quite a bit further west than even the rap only 12 hours out. It doesn't make a huge difference for most of us in here but the western fringes it might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well it was nice to see you raise totals statewide after it came out. That actually reassured me! what does his map show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 4Km nam floater over Bos has a 3.97 qpf max directly over NYC 4+ QPF for NYC lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 what does his map show? 18-30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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