Lava Rock Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GYX map update coming as they took it down Looks like the 18-24" came north a tad. I am right on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 RPM completely disagree's with Euro. Interesting that some of there other hires models have also gone significantly East. If the RPM's right I only get 8", if the Euro is right 18-20"... Can't believe such a big difference at this late stage. What are the Hires models picking up ???!!?? They should be able to handle convective feedback right? Initialization errors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 BOX's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 BOX's StormTotalSnowRange.png Lots of color #11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That's pretty much the Euro without an extra area for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Haha, yeah like the RAP at 18 hours out. I would've expected a much better H7 presentation than wrapping dry air in and split omega. That should be a wall of high RH and omega jamming from NYC through New England up into Maine. I've been slammed all day just settling.. first impression based on water vapor is oh fu** here comes the 7 9 split.....there's a big dry punch opening up as this system winds up. Can see where the model battles have originated. This is going to get very interesting in the next 6 hours. I really don't think the east solutions can be entirely discarded yet... http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20150126&endTime=-1&duration=6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 BOX's StormTotalSnowRange.png -That map is Unreadable- REV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Box is going to be way off with Cape Cod accumulations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like the GFS vomited right up to go time once again....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 They should be able to handle convective feedback right? Initialization errors? No idea. Perhaps Scott knows. Either that or it's going to score a huge coup !! I mean NWS has my whole area at 18-24... massive difference to 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Interesting new BOX map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Box got me in the 24 to 36 zone now how I pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS is the opposite of the BOX map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Scott thoughts on the HRRR and RPM so far east ? I was expecting it to start coming back. But it's held steadfast and looks much different to the global models. What is it picking up ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 BOX's StormTotalSnowRange.png L-O-V-I-N-G I-T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 We toss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Interesting new BOX map An 18z NAM rip and read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 L-O-V-I-N-G I-T Wow, upping our totals rather than lowering. What East trend? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I hate the BOX map, we aren't turning to rain at 12am EST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I went to undergrad in the Boston area, so I always root for the city for huge snowstorms. Any idea why the NWS latest warning text (1 to 2 ft, locally more) is completely out of range from the latest snowfall map (24-36", 29" being the "most likely" amount for Boston)? They were released at almost the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS loves the I-95 screwjie lol. I have no idea..maybe convection processes is causing meso models to tuck lows to the east. Sometimes it's right, sometimes not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 BOX's StormTotalSnowRange.png Haha! Thats ridiculous. Congrats guys. Enjoy and please post lots of pics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like the GFS vomited right up to go time once again....lol. When I look at the models quickly vs 21/22z....I think and this was a very fast glance...that the Euro was still too far west and probably too slow with the systems movement. The next hour is really critical as everything comes together, but I'd have liked to see that striated band of precip east of ACY actually right on the coast to confirm the Euro and some others western edge. JMHO.... looking at the radar the orientation of the developing bands etc - I mean at least right now they appear to be originating outward from a center that is a bit SE. Maybe it hooks up and in over the next few hours, don't know beats me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Plenty here hoping its wrong.............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS loves the I-95 screwjie lol. I have no idea..maybe convection processes is causing meso models to tuck lows to the east. Sometimes it's right, sometimes not. GFS has really backed off QPF in general. Meh. Thankfully - it's the GFS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like the GFS vomited right up to go time once again....lol. This is one the most fascinating nowcast I can remember. The stakes are huge. There's the EURO/NAM, and RGEM/GFS/HRRR/RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Box is going to be way off with Cape Cod accumulations. How so? they have 14 to 18 on W part of cape then 10-14 down the spine of cape thru N Harwich (Along route 6) to almost CHH, seems like they tried to put as much detail into that as they could We are all pulling for you James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spoons56 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Maybe wishful thinking on my part, but I like the looks of the radar right now out here in central MA. Some moderate to heavy bands rotating into the area from the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS is like 5-10" for NYC. This will be fun to see how it performs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS was already wrong for NYC. NYC reporting 4.5" as of 5:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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