BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Uh oh! BOOM!!!! getimg.png Wow, simply speechless. Lock it in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Still a little disconcerting to see model differences like this. I think Kev-Will_ray still get into the def band for a time. Does it make its way up here? Do you envision it more of a N/S orientation or SW to NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 My plow friends have been calling. I was really ready to downgrade here in the Lakes Region of NH to a 8-12" type storm. Now the Euro is insistent in these heavy amounts up here too. I would guess the Euro will cave unless we start seeing a west trend at 18Z Yeah, Everything to day has brought the heavier precip up this way as this one looks like its closing off slightly NE of where it was yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 is anyone concerned that it still corrected somewhat northeast and that the trend may continue?not to be a Debbie Downer it looks like an absolutely beautiful run I just want to make sure it can hold. running out of time for that, storm gets underway within 12 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Bonkers. that's 30 inches for us? I still can't grasp that. Even 20 would be amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It does get captured later, but throws back much more precip back this way than any other model right now. Euro did cave towards eastern guidance last night and today. Hopefully it stays right there tonighT tho7gh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Still a little disconcerting to see model differences like this. I think Kev-Will_ray still get into the def band for a time. Yeah it's not normal to see this on a 24 hour forecast...esp with good models like the RGEM. I can understand the GFS being junk in these large storms because it usually is, but seeing other guidance further east is a head scratcher. Euro did tick east just a shade though this run...so we'll see how we look over the next 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Still a little disconcerting to see model differences like this. I think Kev-Will_ray still get into the def band for a time. Thanks. Winds right now would have me thinking CF is going to be an issue. I'll say this - we WILL chase the NE thing on the Euro even with the 0z model tonight. It doesn't stop..just a function of the model where it slowly adjusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Still a little disconcerting to see model differences like this. I think Kev-Will_ray still get into the def band for a time.Maybe that band is just wider than we think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Does it make its way up here? Do you envision it more of a N/S orientation or SW to NE? Yeah you too. It should get to you and then orient itself N-S and then rot. That's my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah it's not normal to see this on a 24 hour forecast...esp with good models like the RGEM. I can understand the GFS being junk in these large storms because it usually is, but seeing other guidance further east is a head scratcher. Euro did tick east just a shade though this run...so we'll see how we look over the next 12 hours. will be interesting to see if the 18z runs shift closer to Euro...even some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GYX map update incoming i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Urgent , i can switch my reservation mansfield instead would that be better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 wx bell maps show snow totals of low's 20's for the max in W CT and low 30's in SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Urgent , i can switch my reservation mansfield instead would that be better? That's a great spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This is a now cast. I can see clinch hedging toward a continued E tick but as this thing explodes it may surprise Gotta SAVE these images. Just a MONSTER http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Does it make its way up here? Do you envision it more of a N/S orientation or SW to NE? Euro gets it way north. It should be more SW-NE at our lat when arriving and then N-S before pivoting out. Dryslot...close to 1.50" I'd say for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro is 40" in my backyard. May never see a map Luke that again That's the most insane Euro output I can remember. Significant society disrupter if that plays out verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The Euro brings a foot to BTV. I would have to say I am skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Urgent , i can switch my reservation mansfield instead would that be better? I'd say so, I mean you can't KNOW FOR SURE....but Mansfield looks golden. I mean euro gives Mansfield 42-48 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Urgent , i can switch my reservation mansfield instead would that be better? I'd go to Mansfield. Taunton holiday inn wouldn't be bad either. Right off the highway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There is an archive thread I created yesterday. Post anything you have there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Does EURO dry slot CC and Islands, or does it mix with and changeover to rain on its run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 So as I see it for up here... NAM...0.2" GGEM...0.15" GFS...0.4" UKMET...0.1" ECMWF...1.0" The King is either a hero or it falls really hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Does EURO dry slot CC and Islands, or does it mix with and changeover to rain on its run? It flips to about the canal for a time in the aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro gets it way north. It should be more SW-NE at our lat when arriving and then N-S before pivoting out. Dryslot...close to 1.50" I'd say for you. EURO rots the deform band up here. That's ridiculous and I toss. You can see how it lingers QPF up here for several panels. Anyway, hard numbers are 1.4" for Lewiston and 1.7" for Laconia, 1.0" for MVL. I'll eat my hat if Dryslot only gets 0.4" more QPF than up here. That was a bizarre run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Those are similar to this area too. Incredible differences this close to gametime. So as I see it for up here...NAM...0.2"GGEM...0.15"GFS...0.4"UKMET...0.1"ECMWF...1.0"The King is either a hero or it falls really hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro gets it way north. It should be more SW-NE at our lat when arriving and then N-S before pivoting out. Dryslot...close to 1.50" I'd say for you. Thanks Brian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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