ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 If anything, snowfall west of HYA may be not high enough IMO. Yeah that area near PYM-Bridgewater-GHG triangle could be a sneaky monster total...everyone is focusing on the deform band, but that area is gonna get firehosed and get CF enhancement too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Tappan zee swan dives that run *splash* Euro will be interesting... again.. For the nine billionth time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There will be winners here, and there will be Powerball type winners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 AWT That area rocks in these. Foxboro/TAN over to Dedham or so will be crushed Nice little hill over there in Sharon will get a sapling snapper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Water vapor loop is pretty classic. Live link http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html God that is hawt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah that area near PYM-Bridgewater-GHG triangle could be a sneaky monster total...everyone is focusing on the deform band, but that area is gonna get firehosed and get CF enhancement too.. Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There will be winners here, and there will be Powerball type winners I think somewhere near you. Hope that's not the kiss of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'd feel pretty good on the south shore right now...they will avoid any screwzones I think. Yup, Scooter can sit back count his snow and hand out his "you'll be fine" posts to others sucking subsidence exhaust ( I know Scott likes to keep those from melting lol) but as I posted earlier, it is easy to make that post when you are in particular not failing to meet your area's forecast amounts (whether it is zero or 20). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah that area near PYM-Bridgewater-GHG triangle could be a sneaky monster total...everyone is focusing on the deform band, but that area is gonna get firehosed and get CF enhancement too. There's even hints of nice enhancement into BOS too really. Could care less about all the subsidence worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 My only real worry down here is a dryslot. Otherwise, should be able to come close to 24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GYX all over the road, my totals up and down by a foot every update it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Water vapor loop is pretty classic. Live link http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html Frikkin awesome to see what is happening just off the NC coast. Love the south to north motion and explosion of cloud tops. BTW if you didn't know, there is an awesome pinned thread in the NYC subforum with every conceivable radar, satellite pressure falls, etc link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 honest assessment Mets please, how concerned should we be from the Connecticut River Valley points west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Congrats eastern folks, this is an all timer for you guys out there. Hope I see 40" amounts there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There's even hints of nice enhancement into BOS too really. Could care less about all the subsidence worries. Yeah I think BOS will be fine..."fine" in terms of I don't think they will be a local minimum. Everyone is going to do fine in this storm from an absolute standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GYX all over the road, my totals up and down by a foot every update it seems. That map over night was pretty much Euro, I think there will be more adjustments before all said and done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Nice little hill over there in Sharon will get a sapling snapper Yeah. Moose Hill should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There's even hints of nice enhancement into BOS too really. Could care less about all the subsidence worries. On mobile ao can't post it, but I think we're good in boston points south. The OE will help,us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Frikkin awesome to see what is happening just off the NC coast. Love the south to north motion and explosion of cloud tops. BTW if you didn't know, there is an awesome pinned thread in the NYC subforum with every conceivable radar, satellite pressure falls, etc link. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There's even hints of nice enhancement into BOS too really. Could care less about all the subsidence worries. On mobile ao can't post it, but I think we're good in boston points south. The OE will help,us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 could there be thundersnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 honest assessment Mets please, how concerned should we be from the Connecticut River Valley points west? I wouldnt be that worried in the CT River Valley...I might be a bit concerned from Mitch's area in the western Berks down to interior SE NY and maybe far NW CT...that's kind of a wildcard. I probably would be less concerned if the RGEM didn't come in as far east as it did. It's not a crappy model in coastals like the GFS often can be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I think somewhere near you. Hope that's not the kiss of death. If the banding sets up as some modeling shows (yeah, right) it could be my biggest since moving to my house. But Iam locked onto the area around OWD, TAN as my call for biggest winners. Plus they should do well with the winds Gonna be hard to get good measurements in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Great discussion by Ryan and Bob Maxon on NBC CT about the storm. Their best guess of the deformation band is somewhere between Hartford to Waterbury or NW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 could there be thundersnow? most definitely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I kinda like the color enhanced WV loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html It makes the clouds pop.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah that area near PYM-Bridgewater-GHG triangle could be a sneaky monster total...everyone is focusing on the deform band, but that area is gonna get firehosed and get CF enhancement too.Noyes has that whole triangle as his other jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm a longtime lurker, infrequent poster. As we get set to kick this storm off, just curious from the veterans how you see this storm evolving from a "historic storm" perspective. It seems like a hard thing to do heading into a storm - eg I'm sure nobody would have predicted the Blizzard of 78 to be historic. New England is hard to make broad-brush generalizations about for the reasons inherently obvious to this group. That being said, where do folks see this one stacking up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm scared we dryslot instead of turn to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That map over night was pretty much Euro, I think there will be more adjustments before all said and donei dont think they wanted to put the 24-36s up but they had to mesh it with BOX. We can analyze all of the model runs until we're blue in the face, but it's hard to pin down those deformation bands until the event gets cranking. I still think it looks best for that ORH-LWM-PSM corridor, but we'll see how it plays out. I liked 10-14" here last night and GYX has me in that now. High bust potential either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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