N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 No love for me? haha I edited my answer BEFORE seeing your response right now. You are directly under that CMC jackpot (not that it matters too much) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 No love for me? hello it says NECT, crushed bro just crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Starting to think western CT will have a foot while eastern CT could have 30+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS is an absolute beauty again for us as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Tough to be a NYC weenie right now. Probably tougher to be an NYC met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What a shellacking on the gfs! I wish it were a more reliable model because for mby it's epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 if we can get deform band over ORH with the Upslope of that deep easterly flow as well..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It actually tucks in west of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Probably tougher to be an Upton met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Tough to be a NYC weenie right now. really not necessary though, spiking footballs sucks and rubbing it in worse, talk to me at 1255 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Clinch, Tip, 0z RGEM showing a dual-lobe system that GGEM depicted 24-36 hours ago. I posted a map of this from the CMC, Tip posted a map from the Euro. All resulting from a stray lobe of vorticity that shoots out farther east. Interesting the RGEM is now showing the same. And still not ready to call this the final outcome. Two points wxsniss as I know you understand I've got no motives behind what I'm saying. I really believe the lean here was convective feedback was the reason the euro was right and the growing consensus of the others wrong. May still be the case, but for the reasons I outlined above I'd actually think if the experts were so sure feedback was involved in this particular case DUE to the capture and hook, it would discount the western most solutions to some extent. I'm not sure this lobe of vorticity is invalid. I think we're just seeing a slightly delayed capture because the initial impulse (as Phil and an AFD mentioned earlier) is running a wee bit fast. So as a result instead of this thing spinning up from 70 or 71, it's more like 69 or 69.5. GFS/RGEM/NAM are all in very solid general agreement. Wxniss, lastly...it's unlikely this bobble is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Man, I'm so emotionally invested....Euro is all alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It actually tucks in west of 18z. Yup but the path it takes to is wider right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just want to be under a deform band. But it is slipping away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 looked like it would be west at first ended up being a tic east doesnt really matter for us i think most of SNE does great if i lived in nyc i might be a little concerned It's not west, it's east. It's also coming up along/east of the 70. For the same reasons as the NAM/RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yup but the path it takes to is wider right Yeah it is, probably helps a bit with the mid level lows. There is going to be a relative min somewhere in ern MA, but overall a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yup but the path it takes to is wider right Oh yea Pickles regarding your sig, awft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just want to be under a deform band. But it is slipping away. I wouldn't say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I wouldn't say that.shifts east have me nervous. So close to being part of the haves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It actually tucks in west of 18z. It's forming a little later, a little further ese than the 18z, rides up towards the Cape from a position a bit further ESE (36/39 vs 42/45 18z) it's most obvious. Same theme as the other two. But as a consequence of finally catching on, the capture occurs faster, and by 42-54 it's much further SW on the stall than earlier runs (not the same but in the area of the others now) and it's a much bigger hit in Eastern New England. If anything all three models in argue for a much more severe hit in eastern New England. I'm not excluding the other areas, just not commenting as it's not my area. 0z GFS just pounds everything from Worcester east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm folding early....If euro holds, I'll be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm folding early....If euro holds, I'll be shocked. "folding"???? You're under probably one of the most intense bands of the storm tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lots of NYC weenies spotted on the George Washington... clasping deflated balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 really not necessary though, spiking footballs sucks and rubbing it in worse, talk to me at 1255 AM What are you kidding, how is that spiking footballs or rubbing it in? They just crashed the board for pete's sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 "folding"???? You're under probably one of the most intense bands of the storm tomorrow evening. Nah, my call for NJ/NYC. My brother lives in Hunterdon county and I'm gonna bust big there apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Tolland Worcester snh deform band would be perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It's forming a little later, a little further ese than the 18z, rides up towards the Cape from a position a bit further ESE (36/39 vs 42/45 18z) it's most obvious. Same theme as the other two. But as a consequence of finally catching on, the capture occurs faster, and by 42-54 it's much further SW on the stall than earlier runs (not the same but in the area of the others now) and it's a much bigger hit in Eastern New England. If anything all three models in argue for a much more severe hit in eastern New England. I'm not excluding the other areas, just not commenting as it's not my area. 0z GFS just pounds everything from Worcester east. Yeah agree. Would like the mid level features further SE overall, but not bad. If anything, cstl SE New England are looking better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm folding early....If euro holds, I'll be shocked. Central Ct should be fine.. it's going to be really close over here though. But who knows where the mega band will actuall form, hopefully we all cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Central Ct should be fine.. it's going to be really close over here though. But who knows where the mega band will actuall form, hopefully we all cash in. I'm not really worried for your area, sure you might get 12-18 instead of 18-24 but you're still measuring in feet not inches. I'm much more worried about NYC which is another 25 mile shift east from advisory totals. You need 100 miles east or so to take you out of 1'+ which I don't think is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Is there a stall or loop like in '78? There were postings yesterday re: this but haven't seen much today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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