SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I doubt people off the cape get under 18 inches. Writing is on the wall for this big boy.my name is Bryan by the way. Need to make one of the get togethers eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Heavier wet snow combined with high winds down near the SE ma coast could be impressive Not sure if it will be Feb 2013 there. The scars are still there with the tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 James no where to be found...did he jump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 James no where to be found...did he jump? Good question. Where the hell has he been? Better question- Where is Jim Corren with my beer from our bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 James no where to be found...did he jump? Yeah, he should still do alright? I mean, its a huge storm either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 21Z SREF mean BDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 May I suggest posting present maps of UA, radar, sat...for future reference. Never to early especially at this time-frame with kick-off >24hrs. The nowcast thread will be insane, my connection throughout vicariously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This was not supposed to be started for superstitious reasons. Mods .. Any chance we can continue the other one shut this ? Right. Because with all the factors that go into a storm, this will be the deciding factor.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 my name is Bryan by the way. Need to make one of the get togethers eventually. You. Should come Bryan. You'd get to meet Tip and realize he's as crazy as the rest of us. NAM is running. Here we go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The board has been struggling so I played with myself and decided we should have a new thread rather than contribute to letting the forum bog down with the 00z models. Kevin...I stole and split a post from the other thread so that you could still have credit for it. I'm not sure how that helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There was a great AFD from in the middle of nowhere on the late day verification. Very eye opening, tried posting it three times kept getting a blank screen...then I lost the page and cannot remember which office the AFD came from. Was just something about it being slightly faster on the northern train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm not sure how that helped. We're on 16 cores now. We'll see how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm not sure how that helped. To keep him quiet about it? Probably a little, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lowest member of the SREFs for BOS is 16.1" and the max is 40.26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 So I tried to post but couldn't. So I'll try again. The impact of 78 was largely due to a skeptical public refusing to believe the forecasts. Then when the start of the snow was delayed, they figured it wasn't happening. So lots of folks got caught on the roads. I can't ever see that happening today. Two weeks earlier that season on January 19th-20th, there was a big one ... I think that one was forecast as a rain/mix pellet fest and turned out to set Boston's 24 -hour snow record for the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 0z NAM coming in just a smidge flatter early, at 500mb the 540 is definitely flatter at 12 hours. Meanwhile the monster digs down from the Lakes. I like! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muddyrios Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 21Z SREF mean BDL? just over 25 in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20150125&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=BDL&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=41.8447600560008&mLON=-72.92122519836425&mTYP=roadmap 21Z SREF mean BDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 We're on 16 cores now. We'll see how it goes. To keep him quiet about it? Probably a little, yes. LOL I altered the quote....just messn' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 All eyes to the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Couple questions I have. Obviously this system should have quite the deformation band associated with it, however, (and this isn't a main concern but more curious I guess) is it possible the deformation band has trouble staying in tact and exceptionally strong for a long period of time? The system which will stall for a time (or move very slowly) is going to become occluded and that will eventually cut off the warm/moist flow into the system and the 700mb low seems to become a bit more disorganized after a few hours in which models show a very tight closed off circulation...is it possible we see a very healthy looking deformation band just off to our west but sort of "fizzling" as it would move east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I am actually surprised that BOX has my low total for this storm 21" and the high total noted as 33". It just seems like some very large numbers to throw out there. edit: earlier in the day the forecast totals were quite a bit lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
walthsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Almost surreal how this is. Thought the excitement of the Feb '13 blizzard wouldn't come around again for a while. The fact that this storm is approaching after a tenuous late Dec and first half of Jan makes this all the more sweeter. Best of luck to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Is Mike Wankum dumbing it down or is he dumb? Is he talking about the dry air? New GFS from 18z? What Mike... What @MetMikeWCVB 3m3 minutes ago The new and improved GFS want to drive warmer air father inland. Reducing totals near the coast. #wcvb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Actually NWS and some TV mets forecasted it quite well but some prominent OCMs pooh poohed it. You are right on. Harvey called it ahead of time and the morning of the storm all the local stations were calling for 1 to 2 feet the way I remember it. The problem was the snow didn't start as early as planned. Most people went off to work. It was a different time. There wasn't the option to work at home for so many. There was no internet but there was Shelby Scott!. I was in high school at the time. I lived in Dedham (jackpot zone Southwest of the city). I'll never forget the wind that morning even before the snow began. The destruction on the coastline was just incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 16/7 here high clouds starting to obscure the stars. Nice to finally have a system this year that has close to zero chance of tainting out here. Radar and water vapor images look like precip moves into New England a little ahead of schedule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hildy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm a long-time lurker/occasional poster, but having actually experienced '78 on the North Shore I might actually be able to contribute. We were out of school for five days. Snow was ridiculous, and it was on top of a pretty significant storm a couple weeks prior. Will attempt to compare, please excuse model run glitches due to, Um, senior moments... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Is Mike Wankum dumbing it down or is he dumb? Is he talking about the dry air? New GFS from 18z? What Mike... What @MetMikeWCVB 3m3 minutes ago The new and improved GFS want to drive warmer air father inland. Reducing totals near the coast. #wcvb He's sick. Really messed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I am actually surprised that BOX has my low total for this storm 21" and the high total noted as 33". It just seems like some very large numbers to throw out there. edit: earlier in the day the forecast totals were quite a bit lower. Euro within 48 hours...hard to bet against. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What is up with channel 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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