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1/25-1/27 Clipper-Miller B Obs/Nowcasting


WxUSAF

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Wrong thread, but yikes if NYC ends up with less than a foot of snow out of this. Upton and the other mets should have just went with a forecast of 10 to 20 inches and went up from there, as storm formed and radar obs became clear  Unless it's a Miller A staring you straight in the face, East Coast Mets really should use more caution when throwing out totals for Miller B's that haven't even formed yet. I sort of see why Upton was so aggressive. Don't forget it was only 2 or 3 years ago that stranded motorists almost froze to death on the Long Island Expressway, and the same year NYC was paralyzed after hundreds of cars and buses became stuck on streets when Bloomberg forget to dispatch enough plows. But a better forecasting formula may be like what mets did in Baltimore/DC for PD11 in 2003. I recall initial forecasts for that storm were 8 to 12 up until the first flakes fell. They then kept adjusting upward once it was clear there really was going to be a storm. But guess that approach is far harder now that the general public also has access to each model run, etc.

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I've been under this band for a while now.  I don't believe I have ever seen such a narrow continuous band over Howard  County like this before. Just unreal. Up to 3.5" over an hour ago, but it's been snowy steadily since then. Should get to at least 4" or maybe even 5" by the looks of radar. Quite a bumpy ride over the last week with this storm, but satisfying in the end. :sled:

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MDstorm

Thats awesome, great to hear. I've been hoping it shifts a bit to the east for myself :snowing: 

 

Ive got about 1.75 maybe 2" here, what a difference 10-20 miles makes

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

227 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

MDZ004>006-011-503>508-VAZ505-506-271500-

/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-150127T1500Z/

FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-

NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY-

NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-

SOUTHEAST HARFORD-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...PARKTON...

REISTERSTOWN...COCKEYSVILLE...BALTIMORE...DUNDALK...CATONSVILLE...

GERMANTOWN...DAMASCUS...ROCKVILLE...LISBON...COLUMBIA...

ELLICOTT CITY...JARRETTSVILLE...ABERDEEN...PURCELLVILLE...

LEESBURG...ASHBURN

227 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS

MORNING...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 5

INCHES IN WESTERN CARROLL COUNTY...EASTERN FREDERICK COUNTY AND

NORTHWEST HOWARD COUNTY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY WITH

VISIBILITIES BEING REDUCED TO BELOW ONE-HALF MILE AT TIMES IN

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW COVERED ROADS AND

LOW VISIBILITY WILL MAKE TRAVELING DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW

WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW

COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE

DRIVING.

&&

$$

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http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-200

 

Crazy to watch it all develop from 200 frames back. Never seen anything like that before.

 

Cant imagine Carroll or Howard counties opening schools tomorrow

thanks, this explains how I woke up to 3.5 inches just now.

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If these snows continue to intensify they could have a major effect on rush hour this morning

 

Fredericksburg should be getting in on some of this snow

 

It is as though a streamer is coming out of the mountains to my northwest and it is streaming snow right down to me. This is really entertaining

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http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-200

 

Crazy to watch it all develop from 200 frames back. Never seen anything like that before.

 

Cant imagine Carroll or Howard counties opening schools tomorrow

Thats pretty cool.... nice view of the whole storm and the back edge still trying to develop here down in NC/VA border

 

rb-animated.gif

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