mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 fyi, GFS gave HGR .30" qpf between 7PM and 1AM right now, they stand at .05 from 7PM-11PM and there's nothing falling have no idea what it means, if anything, but I hope it means the models are too strong on the primary and too weak on the coastal http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KHGR.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'll reach 45 tomorrow. I'm calling it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 anyone notice how there's a lot of convergence in the Gulf/Mexico south of FL along with strong pressure drops? you can get both links from this kink which is the convergence http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=qc&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 44/36 my call for my backyard for entire storm. 1.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Final call for DC proper (though I'll still update tomorrow). Confidence - LOW The Skinny - Light rain/snow/sleet in the morning hours, tapering as we head toward lunch. Dusting to 1". Then a "warm" lull with light intermittent precip. Snow redevelops late afternoon/early evening and we drop to freezing or below. Goes into late evening or after midnight. 1-2" Storm Total through Noon Tuesday. Chance of no accumulation - 25% Chance of at least a dusting but less than 1" - 75% At least 1" - 50% At least 2" - 35% At least 3" - 20% At least 4" - 10% This will be interesting as you fined tuned it and can grade it out. I think it's just too unpredictable right now. Nothing has even really happened it; call it the crawler clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 fyi, GFS gave HGR .30" qpf between 7PM and 1AM right now, they stand at .05 from 7PM-11PM and there's nothing falling have no idea what it means, if anything, but I hope it means the models are too strong on the primary and too weak on the coastal http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KHGR.html They might be at .05 now but they wont be for long. radar is growing and growing fast. http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 41/34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 37/36 Wind picking up, temp/dew point crash moving through Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 38.4* per my nearest Wunderground station. Tend to be a degree cooler than there. It's been at 38.4* for a while now. Waiting for a crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 They might be at .05 now but they wont be for long. radar is growing and growing fast. http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=LWX they have an hour and 14 minutes to get .25" and they ain't going to do that, or close to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 it's not like PA is getting crushed with snow all but one is reporting light snow that has snow PENNSYLVANIA OBSERVATIONS for Sun Jan 25 at 11:00 PM EST T TD RH WIND GUST ALSTG SLP VIS CLOUDS WX PR6 PR24 SC Station F F % deg kts kts in Hg mb mi 100ftCOV in in inALLENTOWN-BETH 30 16 55 30 at 9 29.97 1015.1 10 48 OVC ...KABE ALTOONA/BLAIR 31 30 96 40 at 7 29.80 1010.6 1.8 7 OVC S- ...KAOO BRADFORD 15 5 64 60 at 6 29.83 1013.1 10 50 OVC ...KBFD BUTLER 27 25 93 40 at 10 29.80 2.5 19 OVC ...KBTP DU BOIS 24 21 88 60 at 8 29.79 1011.1 0.8 19 X S- ...KDUJ ERIE 17 6 61 50 at 17 29.94 1014.9 10 100 OVC ...KERI FRANKLIN 21 14 73 30 at 7 29.84 3 30 OVC ...KFKL HARRISBURG 34 31 88 80 at 9 29.90 1012.9 1.5 6 OVC S- ...KCXY JOHNSTOWN 30 28 92 80 at 5 29.73 1009.0 1.0 5 OVC S- ...KJST LANCASTER 33 29 84 70 at 12 29.90 1012.9 3 12 OVC S- ...KLNS LATROBE 32 32 100 360 at 3 29.78 0.8 1 OVC S- ...KLBE MIDDLETOWN 33 31 92 80 at 6 29.89 1012.7 1.8 8 OVC S- ...KMDT MT POCONO 20 7 57 10 at 6 29.87 1014.2 10 60 OVC ...KMPO MUIR AAF 30 28 91 50 at 6 29.92 1013.9 4 23 OVC S- ...KMUI PHILADELPHIA N 36 19 50 60 at 11 29.97 1015.0 10 33 OVC ...KPNE PHILADELPHIA 35 28 75 70 at 7 29.96 1014.5 10 19 OVC S- ...KPHL PITTSBURGH 30 27 88 20 at 5 29.75 1009.1 0.8 4 OVC S- ...KAGC PITTSBURGH 30 29 96 40 at 6 29.77 1010.0 0.5 8 OVC S ...KPIT READING 31 24 76 50 at 6 29.94 1014.6 8 26 OVC S- ...KRDG STATE COLLEGE 26 24 89 40 at 12 29.87 1.8 9 OVC S- ...KUNV WASHINGTON 32 30 93 50 at 4 29.77 2.5 5 OVC ...KAFJ WILKES-BARRE 21 6 52 10 at 7 29.97 1015.7 10 60 OVC ...KAVP WILLIAMSPORT 24 16 71 40 at 6 29.98 1015.7 3 34 OVC S- ...KIPT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 fyi, GFS gave HGR .30" qpf between 7PM and 1AM right now, they stand at .05 from 7PM-11PM and there's nothing falling have no idea what it means, if anything, but I hope it means the models are too strong on the primary and too weak on the coastal http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KHGR.html According to Accuweather text I should be waking up to 3 inches and snow falling at 12z tomorrow. It had .24 falling between 0z and 6z and has another .24 falling between 6z and 12z. Not exactly solid modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 According to Accuweather text I should be waking up to 3 inches and snow falling at 12z tomorrow. It had .24 falling between 0z and 6z and has another .24 falling between 6z and 12z. Not exactly solid modeling. I'm starting to hope it all falls apart for everyone so Ma Nature can humble a few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 36/33 Temps finally starting to fall. The front is at my front door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm starting to hope it all falls apart for everyone so Ma Nature can humble a few Yeah, I'm over it now. Hopefully somebody sees something but if not that's the way it goes. On to Thursday's clipper. I'm spent from the last week. Exhaustion makes the pain go away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 3 hour pressure changes on unysis weather site show low pressure forming off of South Carolina coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 41.2 right now and temps get ready to tumblllllllllllllllllllllllleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 anyone notice how there's a lot of convergence in the Gulf/Mexico south of FL along with strong pressure drops? you can get both links from this kink which is the convergence http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=qc&inv=0&t=cur Yeah nice view of that here.... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/avn-animated.gif You would think this is the start of the coastal??? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/ft-animated.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Precipitation bands forming both east and west side of Florida as coastal starts developing. Pressure is falling in the same area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Temp has fallen to 37 degrees here 4mi due north of Leesburg. Sadly I have steady rain and can't find a flake to save my soul even though i had a period of on and off flurries several hours ago at 40 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 [quote name="eaglesin2011" post="3297282" timestamp= You would think this is the start of the coastal? Looks progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 From the water vapor you can almost see how this is gonna shaft most of 95 south and west of and including most of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Radarscope already shows snow just north of Gaithersburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kas80 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 38/38 and dry. Definitely feel that snow is coming! Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Getting some light snow now. 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 32.5 and snowing steadily. Starting to cover all surfaces after a couple hours of plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Down to 41 degrees but with a dewpoint of 35. I see now why we will bottom out in the mid 30s. i dont even want to think about tomorrow's high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 36. Light rain/snow mix. I hope I switch relatively quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 40. 7/32.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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