lsukev Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like the mesoscale analysis is already showing the coastal forming south of OBX. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like the mesoscale analysis is already showing the coastal forming south of OBX. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17 yeah, I was going to post this map http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=3p&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chaydaw Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like the mesoscale analysis is already showing the coastal forming south of OBX. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17 What does that mean for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What does that mean for us? I guess it means we get screwed, but usually a low in that position is good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It will be interesting to see where the coastal forms. I learned from tropical storms that the models have trouble until there is an actual low center. Maybe we'll be lucky and it'll form closer to the coast? That will probably just shutoff out precip even faster though, I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like the mesoscale analysis is already showing the coastal forming south of OBX. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17 Yeah, 3 hour pressure change shows it starting to form as well; greatest pressure falls are centered off the SC coast. http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=3p&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 39.9/33.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chaydaw Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah, 3 hour pressure change shows it starting to form as well; greatest pressure falls are centered off the SC coast. http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=3p&inv=0&t=cur If south does that bring higher potential precip south as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 If it were to form in that position, i imagine a lot wpuld change for us Yeah, 3 hour pressure change shows it starting to form as well; greatest pressure falls are centered off the SC coast. http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=3p&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Any improvement in the 0z NAM soundings would be appreciated. I'm still holding out hope for a cartopper, and I want Jeb to get a good Jebwalk in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 44.7. Barely falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 44.7. Barely falling. I've been getting about 1F/hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 40.9 balmy degrees on light NNE winds of 3mph. With all the warm air, the frozen ground is weeping like my bitter tears of disappointment about this clipper turned Miller B screw job... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 00z HRRR has DCA at 33 with snow at 7am. I'll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 42/34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 37 with light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 39.2/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 00z NAM looks okay through 12 Yeah, but you can see the screw job starting. We'll be left in the gap as the energy transfers to the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 lol Justin Berk @JustinWeather 21m21 minutes ago Those giving up on clipper part bringing snow- compare radar in SE US to latest models and they don't line up. Models get it wrong too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 7am is a snow sounding at DCA on 0z NAM fwiw, and the Sim radar has light/mod precip over most of VA at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Great, weenies have broken amwx and the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 NYC gets screwed on NAM run. It's the 3/5/13 convective center thing again I think. It screws us also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 39.6/34.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 45! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Winds have turned northerly and breeze is picking up here. 925mb freezing line a few miles above the Mason-Dixon Line and sagging south. Should be frozen precip with the next batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 45! I'll trade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 NYC gets screwed on NAM run. It's the 3/5/13 convective center thing again I think. It screws us also.A foot = screwed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 When the euro was giving them 2-3 feet, a foot would be a major let down. Especially for anyone wanting to chase. No chance in hell I'm driving 4 hours for a foot. A foot = screwed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 When the euro was giving them 2-3 feet, a foot would be a major let down. Especially for anyone wanting to chase. No chance in hell I'm driving 4 hours for a foot. just get on the train at BWI it's actually pretty cheap round trip to NY and back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Winds have turned northerly and breeze is picking up here. 925mb freezing line a few miles above the Mason-Dixon Line and sagging south. Should be frozen precip with the next batch. 36 here, light rain still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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