Rjay Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I think TWC might be off the deep end......they forecast 9 - 11 for Staten Island, while Upton has me at 18 - 24. Just as a side question, living in Staten Island, is it safer to use EWR or NYC, there have been times (like Saturday's storm) where we measure vastly different numbers (I think NYC registered 2.5ish while here in Staten Island an official measurement was 4.8 or 5) Use a ruler...or yard stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Is that H5? Sorry about that, when I edited the post I accidentally deleted that it's the H7 Another view from a different source Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Usually EWR works best. With borderline temp events we will do better than NYC because we are usually cooler. Nyc has that heat island factor. For this event I expect snowfall to be between EWR and JFK I think TWC might be off the deep end......they forecast 9 - 11 for Staten Island, while Upton has me at 18 - 24. Just as a side question, living in Staten Island, is it safer to use EWR or NYC, there have been times (like Saturday's storm) where we measure vastly different numbers (I think NYC registered 2.5ish while here in Staten Island an official measurement was 4.8 or 5) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Sorry about that, when I edited the post I accidentally deleted that it's the H7 Ohh okay, all good. I don't think even the NAM closed off at H5 until 3, 4, or 5z anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I think TWC might be off the deep end......they forecast 9 - 11 for Staten Island, while Upton has me at 18 - 24. Just as a side question, living in Staten Island, is it safer to use EWR or NYC, there have been times (like Saturday's storm) where we measure vastly different numbers (I think NYC registered 2.5ish while here in Staten Island an official measurement was 4.8 or 5) DT opened fire on them on Facebook a few hours ago about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 18z NAM between 06-09z Ohh okay, all good. I don't think even the NAM closed off at H5 until 3, 4, or 5z anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Any possibility of a Christmas 1969 type changeover? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 If you want to see why UPTON went with the NAM please put the 18z NAM @ 0z next to the 12z Euro @ 0z and look at what has fallen by 7pm and you tell me who is closer . Its not close ... 4 to 6 is already down right where the NAM said it would . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 18z NAM between 06-09z You're right! Though I mean there was still essentially full counterclockwise rotation around the isopleths by 3 or 4z, even if it wasn't actually technically closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-rad-48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-rad-48 wow great post...looks like were about to get smashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-rad-48 You can see the bands start forming behind the mega one. Classic look to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The band pushing in from the ocean is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherdude888 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 It appears to not be snowing in Staten Island at the moment....was there a dryslot progged anywhere....or perhaps it's so fine I can't see it....snow was clearly visible about 30 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 It appears to not be snowing in Staten Island at the moment....was there a dryslot progged anywhere....or perhaps it's so fine I can't see it....snow was clearly visible about 30 minutes agoIt's because the coastal has taken over and now the back building is beginning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherdude888 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 It's because the coastal has taken over and now the back building is beginning ahh that make sense. Thank you for answering...I'm a long time lurker and not versed in meteorology so I apologize if my questions seem a bit newbish. Thanks again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 ahh that make sense. Thank you for answering...I'm a long time lurker and not versed in meteorology so I apologize if my questions seem a bit newbish. Thanks again! We're all here to learn and discuss my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Whatever is happening off Ocean City is impressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 just got a special weather statement for 2-3 inches an hour and 40 mph gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Well, it looks like it's crunch time. Between now and 1am I'm forecast to start picking up a decent amount of snow, and right now any meaningful snow is a ways out. Lets see how this plays out. If things aren't going by 10pm, then this forecast is going to take a big hit west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indiedj Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Hi - wunderground has Nutley, NJ for 6 to 11 inches but still shows us in Blizzard warning with 20 to 30 inches? How is that even possible. I had thought they were reliable source. Thanks for any insight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 look at the area around central LI - its about to go BOOM http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 IF IN FACT THE STORM IS MOVING SLOWER THEN EXPECTED,THEN YOUR TIME FRAMES,etc for the storm will need to be adjusted...to account for slower movement I'd imagine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 IF IN FACT THE STORM IS MOVING SLOWER THEN EXPECTED,THEN YOUR TIME FRAMES,etc for the storm will need to be adjusted...to account for slower movement I'd imagineThere is no indication that it's moving slower. The question is will it move east and spare us from major totals. All will depend on the 500mb low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 There is no indication that it's moving slower. The question is will it move ears and spare us from major totals. All will depend on the 500mb low There are indications that it is moving slower as stated by ForkyFork... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Someone posted it's going slower or something, so i went off of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 There are indications that it is moving slower as stated by ForkyFork...Or after looking at spc analysis also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Snow is picking up in times square. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Gotta say if someone randomly showed me the current 500mb setup (00z) I would be very happy for us..... But right now I'm so damn nervous for the next several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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