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Bust of the Century January 26-27 2015 model suites and discussions

Morris

By Morris,
in New York City Metro

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SnoSki14

SnoSki14

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The Nam actually makes sense verbatim because negatively tilted storms like to tuck in further west than modeled and they also end up stronger than modeled. It also has had the Euros support and both these models were the first to see this storm originally. I can't believe I'm actually taking the Nam seriously but the range is almost in real time right now. 

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RUMG11

RUMG11

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The Nam actually makes sense verbatim because a negatively tilted storms like to tuck in further west than modeled and they also end up stronger than modeled. It also has had the Euros support and both these models were the first to see this storm originally. I can't believe I'm actually taking the Nam seriously but the range is almost in real time right now.

Very much in the NAMs bullseye range. Everyone should be looking at this thing exploding up the coast on the radar the tilt is even more pronounced. Upton upped their totals for a reason PRE euro.

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Roger Smith

Roger Smith

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The heavy rain in eastern Delmarva is a good sign that this low will deepen explosively as the NAM depicts, and this will create 3-5 in per hour snowfall rates over Long Island, NYC and n NJ. Would go with higher end of estimates and expect some astounding totals in squall bands from Long Island Sound. Totals across metro NYC could be anywhere from 20 to 40 inches and I would not rule out even higher amounts in a few places in s.e. NY state, w CT and north central Long Island.

 

You can see from all radar and satellite evidence that the low is primed to develop very rapidly and will try to push towards Long Island, maybe even looping slightly at some point before heading northeast across outer Cape Cod.

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chietanen

chietanen

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The heavy rain in eastern Delmarva is a good sign that this low will deepen explosively as the NAM depicts, and this will create 3-5 in per hour snowfall rates over Long Island, NYC and n NJ. Would go with higher end of estimates and expect some astounding totals in squall bands from Long Island Sound. Totals across metro NYC could be anywhere from 20 to 40 inches and I would not rule out even higher amounts in a few places in s.e. NY state, w CT and north central Long Island.

 

You can see from all radar and satellite evidence that the low is primed to develop very rapidly and will try to push towards Long Island, maybe even looping slightly at some point before heading northeast across outer Cape Cod.

 

Your analysis the last few days has been spot on. Hopefully it continues! Thanks for stopping by the forum.

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