Bust of the Century January 26-27 2015 model suites and discussions

[jm1220]

Why oh why wouldn't they wait a couple of days? Ridiculous.

There will be very heavy traffic here tomorrow and Tuesday when the storm is happening, and many in the broader community monitor this site during weather events. They need to make sure the site doesn't crash again during the storm. 

[RUMG11]

Hmm, I don't see any mix issues possibly coming close to happening, in my opinion

The rain/snow line is well out to sea. This is an all snow event.

[jm1220]

Are winds going to be a major part for Brooklyn? Really don't want to lose power.

Gusts should easily reach 50 mph, maybe 60 mph. 

[rossi]

The site being down helps me get some stuff done before the 18z gfs lol

Allsnow what does Thurs/Friday look like on Euro?

[IsentropicLift]

winds aren't that strong West of the city on the Euro

[IsentropicLift]

Allsnow what does Thurs/Friday look like on Euro?

Wrong thread!

[wthrmn654]

Therefore,that latest snow map with the lower amount through Connecticut and parts of long island I see not being accurate lol

[Allsnow]

Allsnow what does Thurs/Friday look like on Euro?

Clipper 2-4

[SACRUS]

1/25 12z Summary

NYC area : QPF (Snow)

 

 

SREF: 1.50 - 1.75 (>16")

NAM: 1.50 - 1.75 (>18")

GFS: 0.80 - 1.00 (>10")

RGEM: 1.00 (>12")

GGEM: 0.75 - 0.95  (>10")

UKMET:  1.65 - 1.80  (>20")

GEFS: 1.25 - 1.50  (>20")

ECM:  2.00 - 2.50 (>24")

[SnowDemon]

There will be very heavy traffic here tomorrow and Tuesday when the storm is happening, and many in the broader community monitor this site during weather events. They need to make sure the site doesn't crash again during the storm. 

 

Point taken.

[RUMG11]

This is really insane. O_Ohttp://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/WxBriefing_FB.pdf

They really put out a PowerPoint presentstion hahaha

[bluewave]

The jet looks to get further west than 2/8/13, so the heavy banding should have no problem making it to NYC and west. That right there screams huge snow rates-tremendous amount of moisture being pulled west. 

 

Yeah, the phase with the February 2013 blizzard was too far east for Nassau and NYC

to get into the best banding which we won't have to worry with this track and evolution.

[ILoveWinter]

1/25 12z Summary

NYC area : QPF (Snow)

 

 

SREF: 1.50 - 1.75 (>16")

NAM: 1.50 - 1.75 (>18")

GFS: 0.80 - 1.00 (>10")

RGEM: 1.00 (>12")

GGEM: 0.75 - 0.95  (>10")

UKMET:  1.65 - 1.80  (>20")

GEFS: 1.25 - 1.50  (>20")

ECM:  2.00 - 2.50 (>24")

 

 

Nice to see the Euro with the highest amounts! Also, good to see the GEFS with those amounts considering the GFS run.

[The Plowsman]

Monmouth/ocean over 30

Can you pls back this up somehow?

Also while I'm at it, can anyone pls provide storm info etc for CNJ at least, along with the NYC info you always report on? Thanx all n pls keep up the great work here! Long live the Euro!!

[hazwoper]

They really put out a PowerPoint presentstion hahaha

They always do. Hazardous weather briefings. I actually sat in meetings for an overland oil spill cleanup project several years ago in MI and the NWS folks would call in and report the daily briefing. It was and EPA oversight project, and a big one.

[bluewave]

The groundhog is going to need Polartec.

 

 

 

[BxEngine]

New thread up for 18z suite.

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45505-hecs-january-26-27-2015-18z-suite-and-discussions/

We're only at 13 pages. Its fine here for now.

[WeatherFox]

Bookmark the Storm Prediction Center to follow the evolution of the upcomng storm Mesoscale Discussions:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/

Good luck to all you in the New York forum!

[USCG RS]

Idk if anyone put this up but.. Blizzard watches now include all of NYC, E NJ and S CT

[Wannabehippie]

1/25 12z Summary

NYC area : QPF (Snow)

 

 

SREF: 1.50 - 1.75 (>16")

NAM: 1.50 - 1.75 (>18")

GFS: 0.80 - 1.00 (>10")

RGEM: 1.00 (>12")

GGEM: 0.75 - 0.95  (>10")

UKMET:  1.65 - 1.80  (>20")

GEFS: 1.25 - 1.50  (>20")

ECM:  2.00 - 2.50 (>24")

 

 

 

that is with low ratios/. with the cold air in place the ratios probably will be 15:1 or higher.  

 

[stlirish]

Is there a reason why the Tapatalk app is suddenly no longer hooked to this forum? Anyone else having issues there?

[WintersGrasp]

Is there a reason why the Tapatalk app is suddenly no longer hooked to this forum? Anyone else having issues there?

It was due to issues with americanwx, not TapaTalk. They are taking their servers offline soon to repair it so it's back soon

[NYY_2]

Idk if anyone put this up but.. Blizzard watches now include all of NYC, E NJ and S CT

those were issued late this morning i believe 

[pstar3182]

those were issued late this morning i believe 

@the 10am discussion 

[redbanknjandbigbasslakepa]

Srefs a little east and drier

[IsentropicLift]

SREF mean is a bit drier. It's still pretty useless and uses 12z NAM data

[USCG RS]

SREF mean is a bit drier. It's still pretty useless and uses 12z NAM data

They're not useless, however it is sad that foreign models are so far superior to ours, even our mesoscale models. The srefs in this range are normally a good guide, however, with this dynamic a storm, the Euro is far superior.

[Dan76]

Back up!

[Dan76]

Blizz warning now.

[SACRUS]

NAM looks good for 1.25 - 1.50 QPF NYC