stormtracker Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Euro predictions? I'm going to go with complete DC fail....0.04" falling at 34-36 degrees and then no help from the coastal Complete dryslot. Moisture comes in from the west, stalls..dampens out right at the beltway. Transfer happens, we get some dust from the weaking low and the new one and we end up with 0.03 with 33-36 sfc temp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS ensemble mean has pretty much whole area over .5"+ -- less fredericksburg and south. Only looking because bored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Euro predictions? I'm going to go with complete DC fail....0.04" falling at 34-36 degrees and then no help from the coastal I'm going with 0.5" but we lose some to rain so a 2-3" snowfall for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm already mentally checked out of this one. I don't feel the sense of giddiness that is normally felt before a good one. Too much angst...i mean, angst is normal with us, but this one is all over the place. All I want is 1 to 3....that's the bar now. why all the angst? Because of the terrible GGEM model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I think mapgirl gets the 8" grand prize. Possible, but that's 95th percentile expectations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I almost called you out on the second too but it had been a few hours since you posted it so I held off. Euro coastal'd us......I had no choice....My hand went right for the emoticon and I had no power to stop it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Euro coastal'd us......I had no choice....My hand went right for the emoticon and I had no power to stop it.. 12z gave DCA .41 for the entire storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 Euro coastal'd us......I had no choice....My hand went right for the emoticon and I had no power to stop it.. careful in here, some would assume. But seriously, Euro? hmm, .4 for Euro in form of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 12z gave DCA .41 for the entire storm lol I know my maps were off, but I thought it was still over 0.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS ensemble mean has pretty much whole area over .5"+ -- less fredericksburg and south. Only looking because bored. its trended a little better last 3 runs though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 careful in here, some would assume. But seriously, Euro? hmm, .4 for Euro in form of snow. I didn't see or hear anything about the 12Z Euro with the board being down earlier. But from the tidbits I've caught since, sounds like the Euro went coastal (sort of). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 what are we waiting up for? We think the euro is going to go west..bomb at Hatteras and give us 8-14? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 WxBell isn't working for me so I'll just read the PBP here Edit: NVM, finally just started working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 no way i'm staying up for it after last night. i predict you will make one post like this: That face could either mean... Holy cow that's a lot! Or, Holy cow, that's a little! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 maybe the JMA will be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 250 in here, 111 in the NE thread. We're all sick. Either that or, they know the event is good to go up that way almost no matter what, so many of them figure they'll just wake up in the morning and read the news. Whereas here, we bite our fingernails to the end, staying up hoping for the big play...or otherwise go down with the ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Matt, please type NEXT as quickly as possible so I can go to bed. Already took a sleeping pill and kicking in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Out to 24 on tropical... SLP over eastern KY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 already 998 off va/nc border at 48...prob a good run for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Masco seems to be pretty happy with this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Check out mike masco's twitter...live tweeting the euro....Trough all the way down to the GULF OF MEXICO! https://twitter.com/MascoFromABC2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Hr 48, 996 about 100 miles east of the bottom of Delmarva... whatever that bit is called. No precip on the free euro version, but I would guess it started wet then got dry and then is going to get wet again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 All the way down to North Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It's similar to 12z in evolution, but not nearly as good...like 12z's little brother.....warmer and drier.....probably 0.3" ish for most of us EDIT - probably more like 0.2" for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Matt, please type NEXT as quickly as possible so I can go to bed. Already took a sleeping pill and kicking in It's not good, but not "next"....it's in between....I'm not going to next a model that gives us 0.3"+ QPF even if it is a drawn out mangled mess EDIT - probably more like 0.2"...almost a "next" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It's similar to 12z in evolution, but not nearly as good...like 12z's little brother.....warmer and drier.....probably 0.3" ish for most of us that model is carp it goes from .1-.15 2 and 3 runs ago, to .5+ last run and now maybe .3 please, no one ever tell me how great the euro is.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 looks to be around BM at 72....at 990 or lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I know its rather late, but think a peek at the EPS will be in order in a few hours... as well as wasnt the 12z EPS slightly west of its OP run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I guess I am confused. Why is this Euro run deemed "bad"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm going to bed riding the gfs it did pretty well with yesterday's storm and our clipper earlier in the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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