mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Slight improvement from last night. But all in all pretty disappointing for dc folks. NE MD should be getting a little excited as well as folks along the bay. Bob, how's it look qpf-wise around BWI, if I may ask? And even if I can't! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah it's a bit better. The wedge of omg everyone sucks shifted slightly west. Sketchy tho. I can't remember cashing in on many bands that back into the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah it's a bit better. The wedge of omg everyone sucks shifted slightly west. Sketchy tho. I can't remember cashing in on many bands that back into the bay. I lost the radar pic years ago when I got a new computer, but 1/25/00 did just that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 NYC gets destroyed. boston actually a bit fringed I'm a tad nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Bob, how's it look qpf-wise around BWI, if I may ask? And even if I can't! roughly .4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 roughly .4 thanks.....and oh yeah, meh...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Bob, how's it look qpf-wise around BWI, if I may ask? And even if I can't! .40. pretty uniform .4 up the 95 corridor but it takes forever to get there (36 hours). No good panels precip wise. ,10 is the best 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 thanks.....and oh yeah, meh...... actually more like .45 but some is wasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm still riding the RAP if I'm going to get burned, it may as w3ell be from a model I've always hated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 12Z Euro follows the trends of this morning, sending that first streak of higher QPF tonight north ohe M/D line. Last night that was aimed right at my area. That streak through central PA seems awfully far North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm a tad nervousI kinda want to go but snow isn't as cool in someone else's backyard and it's probably at least a two day affair if not more should it max out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah it's a bit better. The wedge of omg everyone sucks shifted slightly west. Sketchy tho. I can't remember cashing in on many bands that back into the bay. Few and far between. 93 and 00 come to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 actually more like .45 but some is wasted. thx again so you think the .4" qpf is the all snow? if it is, then I change my "meh" to "-meh" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah it's a bit better. The wedge of omg everyone sucks shifted slightly west. Sketchy tho. I can't remember cashing in on many bands that back into the bay. We need insurance room to feel any real confidence. It almost always slips the other way at game time. If 0z drops some heavies west of DC it may be much more encouraging. Euro basically whiffs all of us with decent precip from the initial low. I'm not really sold on that yet either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 APG ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 BWI: CODE ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BWI LAT= 39.18 LON= -76.67 ELE= 154 12Z JAN25 2 M SFC SFC 850 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP DEW PRS TMP RHU QPF HGT 500 (F) (F) (MB) (F) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK SUN 12Z 25-JAN SUN 18Z 25-JAN 43.3 31.7 1010 26.8 71 0.00 544 536 MON 00Z 26-JAN 39.1 33.0 1012 26.1 94 0.00 545 536 MON 06Z 26-JAN 36.6 30.9 1012 26.8 79 0.01 543 533 MON 12Z 26-JAN 32.4 26.8 1011 25.4 86 0.02 541 532 MON 18Z 26-JAN 33.0 29.5 1008 29.0 98 0.06 538 532 TUE 00Z 27-JAN 29.4 25.2 1007 29.6 98 0.08 536 531 TUE 06Z 27-JAN 28.5 23.2 1005 25.8 85 0.06 534 530 TUE 12Z 27-JAN 27.8 23.0 1005 23.5 97 0.11 531 527 TUE 18Z 27-JAN 31.2 21.3 1004 21.7 99 0.07 531 527 WED 00Z 28-JAN 28.8 17.8 1007 10.6 89 0.04 532 527 WED 06Z 28-JAN 19.3 9.3 1011 15.0 88 0.00 534 525 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 APG ? I can get you any station you want.....in 50 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 thx again so you think the .4" qpf is the all snow? if it is, then I change my "meh" to "-meh" Eurowx snow maps have us in a 3-5" area, fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Its now casting time men... 52 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 What says snow better tham 51 degrees the day precip starts. 51/29 in Spotsylvania, anxiously awaiting rain to knock temps down. Its too warm for January 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 We need insurance room to feel any real confidence. It almost always slips the other way at game time. If 0z drops some heavies west of DC it may be much more encouraging. Euro basically whiffs all of us with decent precip from the initial low. I'm not really sold on that yet either. I'm pretty suspect of that as well, especially considering mitch's RAP and the current radar/GFS, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It is .45 to be exact on the Euro for BWI. .11 is the greatest 6 hour panel, that is 12 to 18 Z Tuesday. The board screws up when you try to cut and paste sorry for the mumbo jumbo above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 APG- .70-.80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 thx again so you think the .4" qpf is the all snow? if it is, then I change my "meh" to "-meh" surface doesn't go below freezing until 0z Tue. Probably .3 is accumulating snow. Tues. morning would be the best period for something decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I kinda want to go but snow isn't as cool in someone else's backyard and it's probably at least a two day affair if not more should it max out. My hotel is booked till Thursday...I'm more nervous about food Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 APG- .70-.80Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 My hotel is booked till Thursday...I'm more nervous about food yeah, there's no place to eat in NYC better stop at a 7-11 on the way up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BWI LAT= 39.18 LON= -76.67 ELE= 154 12Z JAN25 2 M SFC SFC 850 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP DEW PRS TMP RHU QPF HGT 500 (F) (F) (MB) (F) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK SUN 12Z 25-JAN SUN 18Z 25-JAN 43.3 31.7 1010 26.8 71 0.00 544 536 MON 00Z 26-JAN 39.1 33.0 1012 26.1 94 0.00 545 536 MON 06Z 26-JAN 36.6 30.9 1012 26.8 79 0.01 543 533 MON 12Z 26-JAN 32.4 26.8 1011 25.4 86 0.02 541 532 MON 18Z 26-JAN 33.0 29.5 1008 29.0 98 0.06 538 532 TUE 00Z 27-JAN 29.4 25.2 1007 29.6 98 0.08 536 531 TUE 06Z 27-JAN 28.5 23.2 1005 25.8 85 0.06 534 530 TUE 12Z 27-JAN 27.8 23.0 1005 23.5 97 0.11 531 527 TUE 18Z 27-JAN 31.2 21.3 1004 21.7 99 0.07 531 527 WED 00Z 28-JAN 28.8 17.8 1007 10.6 89 0.04 532 527 WED 06Z 28-JAN 19.3 9.3 1011 15.0 88 0.00 534 525 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Being from the North Shore of Long Island I'm feeling a bit jealous right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Whoa I went from a red tag to a blue tag, how did that happen? Am I downgraded? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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