ravensrule Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 "WSW"? Sorry dumb question, but what does that stand for? (My only guess is 'Winter Storm Watch', but now with advisories out, I doubt it work into the context.) The Winter Strom Watch portion is for the Monday night Tuesday part of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Banding from the CCB? It's an intense storm. H7 is closed off and tucked into LI. Nice moisture feed and h5 is in total neg tilt phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The wackiness in the GFS map is keeping me in for the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 "WSW"? Sorry dumb question, but what does that stand for? (My only guess is 'Winter Storm Watch', but now with advisories out, I doubt it work into the context.)Winter Storm Watch. And there are simultaneous Advisories out. it changes every hour lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I don't know about you all, but I'm happy for our neighbors, even though I do also admit to a little jealousy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 maybe we're in a good spot... we've all slashed expectations to hoping it surpasses Boxing Day. that band is weird but it does happen (not here)... more models showing it. It's a very intense storm by that time and not running away. The h7 plot I just posted looks pretty good for "a chance" at some sort of weird periphery band. I'm not really sure what to think. I wish the stupid primary would just track south 75 miles and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It's an intense storm. H7 is closed off and tucked into LI. Nice moisture feed and h5 is in total neg tilt phase. Looks like our real storm is Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Shouldn't Tuesday's temps be much colder. You would think a bombing Coastal would drive cold air into region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 WSW is Winter Storm Warning. I dont think there is a Winter storm watch anymore? Thought it was just Winter weather advisory (WWA) or Winter storm Warning (WSW)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I think it's a sign that mountains get less precip as rain than valleys do... There's a lot going on with this storm, but two of the important factors seem to be the rain-snow line around hour 30 and the area of heavy snow that passes through southern MD around hour 42 A similar area was on the 06z run, but it looks like it has shifted north and intensified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Not really. It's straight up whack whack.JPG thanks - you're right, of course. Maybe it's a sign that the snow gods love Wes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I don't know about you all, but I'm happy for our neighbors, even though I do also admit to a little jealousy. Agreed. Hoping everyone does well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Its basically if you border the Bay, you have a WSWatch Yes, kinda funny in a so-sad way. Catonsville yes WSW, Columbia no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It's a very intense storm by that time and not running away. The h7 plot I just posted looks pretty good for "a chance" at some sort of weird periphery band. I'm not really sure what to think. I wish the stupid primary would just track south 75 miles and call it a day. Are we seeing a slowing down of the storms movement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Holy cow does NE get smoked this run. If I thought this was gonna be a total miss down here. I would chase this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 There are still watches and warnings. Right now it's a watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Are we seeing a slowing down of the storms movement? Yup definitely.. A stall is totally in the cards for us. SW retrograde also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Are we seeing a slowing down of the storms movement? It becomes vertically stacked, stalls, and occludes over cape cod. Keeps it from running away like most storms. The size and intensity plus the stall gives us low latitude folks a chance. I'm not really buying it because it almost never happens when models show it. But at least we have something to watch other than everyone north of us on the coast getting buried in a biblical fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Don't look now, but lwx max potential maps may have just skied our limits. http://www.weather.gov/images/lwx/winter/SnowAmt90Prcntl.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm still waiting to see what the updated morning LWX disco says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It's an intense storm. H7 is closed off and tucked into LI. Nice moisture feed and h5 is in total neg tilt phase. That is a pretty map i... do I detect a slight glimmer of increased optimism from you...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It becomes vertically stacked, stalls, and occludes over cape cod. Keeps it from running away like most storms. The size and intensity plus the stall gives us low latitude folks a chance. I'm not really buying it because it almost never happens when models show it. But at least we have something to watch other than everyone north of us on the coast getting buried in a biblical fashion. nudge teh 500 low 100 miles south and we'd do well. I'd still lean towards whatever the Euro does today. Relying on a goofy band doesn't usually work out. Could happen but usually fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I like the new LWX approach of covering all bases. They should just put out a sprinkles to 10 inches call and be done with it. If it was only so easy. It's fun to be a weather hobbyist, not so fun to have to do it for 10 million people in real life! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 NAM and GFS have been all over the place with weird banding and odd QPF totals on the last couple of runs. Curious to see if Euro follows or sticks to the big coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If it was only so easy. It's fun to be a weather hobbyist, not so fun to have to do it for 10 million people in real life! I understand, and I'm not a fan of excessive LWX bashing... but what guidance supports 3-5" Monday night for northern MD? I highly doubt that will verify... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If it was only so easy. It's fun to be a weather hobbyist, not so fun to have to do it for 10 million people in real life! I certainly don't envy what the NWS forecasters during these type of situations... and I very much appreciate all they do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 nudge teh 500 low 100 miles south and we'd do well. I'd still lean towards whatever the Euro does today. Relying on a goofy band doesn't usually work out. Could happen but usually fails. My guess is it sticks to its guns from last night. Maybe a nudge better. I suppose it could get worse but not much room for that considering how lame last night was. Big bombing storms usually have all kinds of nuances that won't be known until it's taking place. Going off the vast majority of similar storms in my lifetime, I'm not very excited at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I refuse to look because I will cry, but what the hell do you do when every model known to man gives you 1.5-2+ feet 2+ days before the event? 2/6/10 might have been close to that, but I don't believe every model was doing that consistently like they have been for ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I understand, and I'm not a fan of excessive LWX bashing... but what guidance supports 3-5" Monday night for northern MD? I highly doubt that will verify... The feature that had been referred to as an inverse trough is really a Norlun trough wanna be. As the main feature strengthens over the ocean, some energy lags behind at 500 mb and acts as a lifting mechanism. There is so much upper level vorticity in the larger pattern that we could get some accumulating snow after the surface low deepens. Not like they will in Boston, though. To know when the moisture cuts off, check out the 700 mb chart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Indeed. It is a hard job to begin with, but I can only imagine how exceptionally difficult it is when looking at a complex setup like this. Any thoughts on our battle with temps and whether we'll really see the fabled "savior" band late Monday? Predicting where banding features setup is a difficult task. Models have hinted at nova area for several runs but really all depends on the whole setup. Real tough to pinpoint these smaller features and often times the models over do wraparound precipitation. If the coastal intensifies faster, further south and pulls away slower I can see Nova and points east getting into more banding but still would be on the west fringe of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.