Thunder7842 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Euro has the .5-.75 gradient covering most of the area. There's a nose of .75-1 in central Connecticut. By most of the area, do mean NJ as well? I hope we're not gonna miss out again. Getting tired of the significant snow staying east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 By most of the area, do mean NJ as well? I hope we're not gonna miss out again. Getting tired of the significant snow staying east of here. I'm sure someone else can share the picture, but I can't. Here's a VERY rough drawing of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 thats pretty decent but is it even snow? It is, the only areas it had rain was parts of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'm sure someone else can share the picture, but I can't. Here's a VERY rough drawing of it. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 That's always the question, isn't it. At it's warmest hour (78), the 0 line at 850 crosses western LI. Hard to tell on the maps exactly where. Then at 84, it's crashing East. Boston is above 0 at 84 while we are below. Surface freezing line is NW of the city at 78 and crossing through at 84. I know that's hard to pinpoint at this point though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The 21Z SREFs made a nudge west on the precip shield, not a big one but something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 0z Euro has a clipper to a miller B for Monday which gives the whole area 12+ with 15+ for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 3, 2015 Author Share Posted February 3, 2015 0z Euro has a clipper to a miller B for Monday which gives the whole area 12+ with 15+ for NYC.you mean New England right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 you mean New England right Weenie maps paint 10-14 across the metro. GFS has a similar storm. Edit: maybe you're thinking of the miller a on friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Weenie maps paint 10-14 across the metro. GFS has a similar storm. Did someone say weenie map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 you mean New England rightNYC..and with ratios..20+ inches..really cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 you mean New England right No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 that map had me at 40 plus inches 12z and 8 inches 00z lol and the jackpot for 12z in nh with 50 plus is now lucky to see a foot .....plus a totally different look to the axis of snowfall lol......not that those maps mean anything lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 A very nice day 7 storm signal-imo NAO -may not help although it might be creeping back down a bit-maybe http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif WPC QPF day-7prog -again not a bad look this far out http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1422963463 links http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/ens.html#us http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/prec_f168_us.html 06z GEFS has it http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2015020306/gfs-ens_z500_mslp_us_28.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 0z Euro has a clipper to a miller B for Monday which gives the whole area 12+ with 15+ for NYC. How far south & west does that extend? Edit- nevermind I just saw the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 How far south & west does that extend? You're in the 12"+ area not that it matters since we still have 11 more Euro runs to go before game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 EURO has had the Feb 9 event going on 5-6 runs now. Doesn't mean much, but the threat is real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Some of the 00z EPS members are absolute bombs but they are delayed until day 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 EURO has had the Feb 9 event going on 5-6 runs now. Doesn't mean much, but the threat is real. That event is so fickle on track, the positioning of the high in Canada means everything but there will be major overrunning with that due to the high to the north, whoever is positioned right will do well but that could still easily end up mostly a DC or Boston threat with slight shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 You're in the 12"+ area not that it matters since we still have 11 more Euro runs to go before game time. Oh i know, im just jonesin' for a threat to track. These storms are like crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd ...SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS...IN THE WEST...THE 00Z ECMWF AND 06Z GFS SHOW A LARGE AREA OFMODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN FRI AND SAT FROM CENTRAL ANDNORTHERN CA UP TO WESTERN WA/OR...WITH A SECONDARY MAXIMUM IN THENORTHERN ROCKIES...WITH HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWS. WITH RECENT DRYCONDITIONS...MUCH OF THESE RAINS IN CA WILL BE WELCOME. CONTINUINGPOCKETS OF MOISTURE AND 700 MB VERTICAL VELOCITY MAXIMA PERSISTSOVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES SUN AND MON WITH ABREAK POSSIBLE TUE AS THE EAST PACIFIC 700 MB RIDGE BUILDSONSHORE. TEMPERATURES RUN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DAYS 3-7THROUGHOUT THE WEST.IN THE EAST...WITH THE INITIAL WAVE MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST DAY3...SNOW IS LIKELY FOR EASTERN NEW ENGLAND BEFORE THE STORMDEPARTS BEYOND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. WITH THE AMPLIFYING TROUGHAND SFC FRONTAL WAVE...SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINSTO UPPER MS VALLEY SAT TO THE GREAT LAKES SUN AND THEN THE CENTRALAPPALACHIANS TO MID ATLANTIC LATE SUN TO MON. BEYOND THAT THEPOTENTIAL IS THERE FOR MON-TUE SNOW FOR THE MID ATLANTIC TO NEWENGLAND.TEMPERATURES ARE PERSISTENTLY BELOW NORMAL DAYS 3-7 IN NEWYORK/NEW ENGLAND AND DOWN IN FLORIDA. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=6&fcolor=wbg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Something coming around the backside . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015020312/gfs_apcpn_us_23.png Someone's in the kitchen with Dinah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 We have a thread for Sunday Gents http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45613-late-weekend-storm-threat/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015020312/gfs_apcpn_us_23.png Someone's in the kitchen with Dinah gfs_apcpn_us_23.png Off Topic... that is some serious snow in the mountains of CA and for Mt. Rainer in Washington State!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 With that cold along with an active pattern we are bound to receive more snow. It may not be a major storm but something along the 6-10" variety is certainly likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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