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Storm Disco for Manitoba Mauler 01/26/27


Damage In Tolland

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Shift that a little further west and it will match my avatar........lol

HAHA Nice. Well I'm sure glad I didn't come home for the 3-6 dud (Which I felt was a dud all along) but I'm supposed to come home Tuesday from the NAMM Show in LA. I'm relying on All my best weather buds to tell me if I should change flights to Monday (Currently about 200 bucks more) to not miss this.

Thanks in Advance!

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HAHA Nice. Well I'm sure glad I didn't come home for the 3-6 dud (Which I felt was a dud all along) but I'm supposed to come home Tuesday from the NAMM Show in LA. I'm relying on All my best weather buds to tell me if I should change flights to Monday (Currently about 200 bucks more) to not miss this.

Thanks in Advance!

 

 

Change it to Monday

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Yeah...they can get thrown way back NW with those large mid level circulations. I'm cautiously optimistic up here.

Yeah I think you are good. I need the EURO to come in like some of the ARW members of the SREFS, lol, which had the deform zone like over Montreal with a SFC low on the coastline :lol:.

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HAHA Nice. Well I'm sure glad I didn't come home for the 3-6 dud (Which I felt was a dud all along) but I'm supposed to come home Tuesday from the NAMM Show in LA. I'm relying on All my best weather buds to tell me if I should change flights to Monday (Currently about 200 bucks more) to not miss this.

Thanks in Advance!

Change it. You won't make it in Tuesday. And how is a 3-6 a dud this winter? This is a nice event today.

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Fair enough...I wasn't following the model thread closely the last day or two so I missed that. Kudos to you and anyone who hadn't given up on this.

Sent from my iPhone

 

:)   what, give up ... a snow chance, on THIS forum?!   

 

j/k... Yeah, in fairness it was really just all about wave-length conservation/arguments, and that an east position didn't make sense with a ridge node fixed 120W over the Rockies and not progressing east and/or breaking down in doing so.  The west correction seems sort of simple now in retrospect.. .

 

Buuut, we'll see how it plays out..

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lol, You and one other may have that nightmare, If todays is and indicator, I would worry more about it going to far east

Well the concern to watch with this system will be does it bomb out like modeled. We've had a few systems this season that look like nukes in this 48-84 hour range, only to back off a bit on strength as Hour-0 approaches.

This past system did it a little bit, and our paste storm last week also trended a little weaker and east in the last 24 hours.

I'd feel good about this one on the coast, but inland will have to watch how it deepens. But that's a game time concern...one of those things where each RAP run comes out a few miles east and weaker as it approaches.

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:)   what, give up ... a snow chance, on THIS forum?!   

 

j/k... Yeah, in fairness it was really just all about wave-length conservation/arguments, and that an east position didn't make sense with a ridge node fixed 120W over the Rockies and not progressing east and/or breaking down in doing so.  The west correction seems sort of simple now in retrospect.. .

 

Buuut, we'll see how it plays out..

 

Of course...pretty self explanatory...not sure how we all missed that  :P

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