JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Science board lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 No .. this is impractical guys. And also embarrassing if you really think maintaining an impractical course some how bears any on events. whether kidding or not -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 just relaying what he requested lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Let's leave it as is. The bb is working ok now but at least we know where to refresh to get this one when it burps again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 No .. this is impractical guys. And also embarrassing if you really think maintaining an impractical course some how bears any on events. whether kidding or not -- I enjoy your thoughts a lot, but I would never forgive it if you started a new thread and something terrible happens with the system. Stay the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not sure if posted yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not sure if posted yet Where is this from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not sure if posted yet Man. There is the trend I have been hoping for. Here's to the machines following suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not sure if posted yet LOL Upton says wagons west, BOX says not so fast. Euro versus the World at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Semper911 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 chartreuse, that is allPretty sure you mean magenta. I only knew what you meant because I used to think chartreuse was purplish too.Check it out: http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chartreuse_(color) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Good evening everyone...yes today's NWS forecasts were heavily weighted toward the 12Z NAM/ECMWF...no secret there if you read the WPC QPF discussion. Seeing 850 winds whose u-component was I think +6 SD's beyond the mean (to say nothing of a fetch from almost beyond Nova Scotia, something I have not seenGood evening everyone...yes today's NWS forecasts were heavily weighted toward the 12Z NAM/ECMWF...no secret there if you read the WPC QPF discussion. Seeing 850 winds whose u-component was I think +6 SD's beyond the mean (to say nothing of a fetch from almost beyond Nova Scotia, something I have not seen since Sandy) tends to make one think big on snowfall. My forecast of 24-30" (the graphics showing 24-36" are a little misleading) may be a little broad-brushed, and depends on where the most intense banding sets up. As usual I think it'll be west/north of model forecast and more along a line from Danbury to NYC than from Hartford to Huntington. Will probably be widespread 18-24" with a band of at least 24-30". GFS was totally discounted due to its more progressive solution...no loop-de-loop near or inside the benchmark late Mon night-Tue from a Miller B storm of this magnitude? C'mon now. Met from Upton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Couple of thoughts nice map runaawayiceberg but there is going to be a secondary max somewhere to the NW. Berkshires to C NH? If everything holds serve the Governor will declare a state of emergency and put up a travel ban for Tuesday. Years ago this probably would not have happened but in today's world it seems more likely especially with Blizzard warnings over such a large area. I was 13 during the 1969 storm. Rt 128 was closed. Not plowed. Hundreds were stranded at the Howard Johnson's at Rt 16. No school for 5 days. I know this storm is going to be intense but its a 980mb storm not a 965mb storm. Wonder if its being overplayed a bit? One of the big ones but not historical. We shall see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Where is this from?I believe it is the NWS forecasts that go to the point and click Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Couple of thoughts nice map runaawayiceberg but there is going to be a secondary max somewhere to the NW. Berkshires to C NH? If everything holds serve the Governor will declare a state of emergency and put up a travel ban for Tuesday. Years ago this probably would not have happened but in today's world it seems more likely especially with Blizzard warnings over such a large area. I was 13 during the 1969 storm. Rt 128 was closed. Not plowed. Hundreds were stranded at the Howard Johnson's at Rt 16. No school for 5 days. I know this storm is going to be intense but its a 980mb storm not a 965mb storm. Wonder if its being overplayed a bit? One of the big ones but not historical. We shall see.... It isn't all about the minimum central pressure, it's about the ambient pressure field. How potent was the high in the '69 event, and where was it positioned?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 LOL Upton says wagons west, BOX says not so fast. Euro versus the World at 0z. How is it vs the world... Nam/Ukmet/SREFS have an idea of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Couple of thoughts nice map runaawayiceberg but there is going to be a secondary max somewhere to the NW. Berkshires to C NH? If everything holds serve the Governor will declare a state of emergency and put up a travel ban for Tuesday. Years ago this probably would not have happened but in today's world it seems more likely especially with Blizzard warnings over such a large area. I was 13 during the 1969 storm. Rt 128 was closed. Not plowed. Hundreds were stranded at the Howard Johnson's at Rt 16. No school for 5 days. I know this storm is going to be intense but its a 980mb storm not a 965mb storm. Wonder if its being overplayed a bit? One of the big ones but not historical. We shall see.... Gene, 78 was something like 984. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 OKX busts too high in literally every single snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 In the CT zones, I should specify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There's going to going to be a subsidence zone from hell associated with the CCB...whoever has to deal with that is going to want to jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not that it means much, but the 21z SREF mean is pretty close to 15z...maybe a bit less "juicy". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It isn't all about the minimum central pressure, it's about the ambient pressure field. How potent was the high in the '69 event, and where was it positioned?? Preach brother, I've been trying to explain this today as they all remember the storm Saturday had a similar pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 No--the flight's tomorrow. I'm hoping I get bumped leaving me stranded. Yup on that placement.....Do you mean MTP? Give me that. Oops, yes I meant MTP. Volunteer yourself to get bumped, and if you're flying Delta there's a good chance the flight will be oversold. Delta does this all the time it seems. Depending on the timing of your flight and the airline, there's a chance it could get preemptively cancelled as they try to get their aircraft out of harms way and rearrange crews and planes to minimize ripple effects. Late day flights have a better chance at being scrapped than early or midday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not that it means much, but the 21z SREF mean is pretty close to 15z...maybe a bit less "juicy". SREF already out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 SREF already out? Yup...NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Please continue in this thread . We discussed this yesterdayi tried to spread your message. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I started the next thread anyway, seeing as I am sane ... and don't rely on irrational superstition that detracts from the value of all this. Geesh... as people wake from their primality in matters, feel free to venture on over to where it is soooo much easier to follow content... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There's going to going to be a subsidence zone from hell associated with the CCB...whoever has to deal with that is going to want to jump. I know....it's going to be near me, hopefully not over me. Preach brother, I've been trying to explain this today as they all remember the storm Saturday had a similar pressure. The Saturday event had zero high pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 How is it vs the world... Nam/Ukmet/SREFS have an idea of this. I posted a paragraph answering this question a page or two ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I started the next thread anyway, seeing as I am sane ... and don't rely on irrational superstition that detracts from the value of all this. Geesh... as people wake from their primality in matters, feel free to venture on over to where it is soooo much easier to follow content... It doesn't make it easier to follow....Actually, this thread is pretty easy to follow and packed with epicosity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 sorry tip but im with kevin lets keep this going nothing has disappointed yet in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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