Zeus Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 OES saves us I think. This is why I'll be riding it out in Southie, not Andover. That and there is food in the fridge at my parents and not at school. I've already resolved to work from home Tuesday at the least, where I have two pounds of boneless beef short ribs waiting to go into the slow cooker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro is going to answer a lot of questions tonight. I'm waiting till then for a snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just contemplating a storm of this magnitude is exciting in of itself, but when comparing it to last week when I was enthralled with the idea of getting maybe 4" from the weekend storm makes this 0 to 60 scenario that much more exciting. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Why do people keep mentioning Chartreuse? This is Chartreuse.Lol it was a joke. A snow map was posted for yesterday's snow the 24-36 color bar was there. I made a post and said I was going to go out on the biggest limb of my life and predict we would see a 24-36 chartreuse map before the year was up. Of course me being color blind it was pointed out 24-36 was a purple pinky thingy. Now running joke but hey not a bad call eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ugh. What a year to go to college in Oklahoma. 60's every day this week... I feel like BOX isn't quite on the banding bandwagon (so to speak) quite yet, which makes sense due to the bouncing about. The widespread 24-36 must be them guessing at that screw zone. But remembering Nemo, someone is going to pull 40+ out of this, with such banding and moisture. I'd bet good money its somewhere on a line from ORH to Nashua, down to the CT coast. Sheesh. lol yup. My first semester I was extremely homesick for cold and snow. And then I played frisbee on a 70 degree day in the middle of January, and I was okay with it haha. And taking the Oklahoma perspective on weather everywhere -- check out the SCP from the 15z SREF. Can't upload for some reason, but just go check it out. Median > 12 in the Gulf of Maine at 15z Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I need that fronto to take one more tic. Man, seems like all of the huge events have the cf near Bermuda. I wish the high had less of an influence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I've already resolved to work from home Tuesday at the least, where I have two pounds of boneless beef short ribs waiting to go into the slow cooker. Very nice. I'm most excited about the fact this major storm has it's height during the day. I feel like our recent biggies are often at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South Shore Slop Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Any ideas on how intense flooding will be? Any storms to compare to? The first high tide is 10,5 ft. The second is 9.5 ft. Last I saw the surge will be 3'+. The Blizzard of 78 and 91 no name had 16'+ tides (11' tide, 5' surge) so there should be only moderate flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 And ... I think we are getting collectively (not you per se...) caught up in the drama of the thing. I mean really, half those numbers with winds gusting to 40 is paralyzing enough. I'm just saying, if something less than histrionic verifies, I hope to god that those that like to visit the site won't have to wade through a festoon of meltdown meaninglessness... Also, guys, if you go and check out the satellite wv and radar loops in the TV, that is a ginormous rotational entity. It's a like a big meso it's torque is that obvious. I really think that much rotational dynamic settling into an erstwhile amplifying longwave trough .. it really seems "backing off" solutions should be very suspect at this point in time. I won't worry about these 18z solutions is all - Add the 12z to those too. We will probably continue to see wobble until after the point the convection fires which is when the feedback seems to mute...like 24 hours from now. It's a beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lol it was a joke. A snow map was posted for yesterday's snow the 24-36 color bar was there. I made a post and said I was going to go out on the biggest limb of my life and predict we would see a 24-36 chartreuse map before the year was up. Of course me being color blind it was pointed out 24-36 was a purple pinky thingy. Now running joke but hey not a bad call eh? That was good, Ask and you shall receive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 My guess for maxs are somewhat north and west of the 1978 axis--NE CT, NW RI, ORH, LWM--and maybe 20-30 miles either side. Secondary max on the east slopes of the Berks if storm ticks west or does loup de loups. We are all gonna do better than a foot in this NWS region except maybe the outer Cape and Nantucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Seems like 2-4 inches already OTG in CT by this time tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Definitely thinking this area will be in the good banding based on current modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Very nice. I'm most excited about the fact this major storm has it's height during the day. I feel like our recent biggies are often at night. Day storms are better. I'm shirtless atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Pretty impressive forecast from the NWS...widespread 2 feet or greater for SNE. They really had some great collaboration between the various offices though, overall pretty seamless transitions between WFOs, straight down through the NWS offices covering ME/NH/VT/NY/MA/RI/CT/NJ/PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Pretty impressive forecast from the NWS...widespread 2 feet or greater for SNE. They really had some great collaboration between the various offices though, overall pretty seamless transitions between WFOs. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I can see why NWS broad brushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Very nice. I'm most excited about the fact this major storm has it's height during the day. I feel like our recent biggies are often at night. This. I can't remember the last big one that peaked during the day. Pulled an all-nighter with 2/8/13; ditto for 1/12/11, 12/20/09. Will be refreshing for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 My guess for maxs are somewhat north and west of the 1978 axis--NE CT, NW RI, ORH, LWM--and maybe 20-30 miles either side. Secondary max on the east slopes of the Berks if storm ticks west or does loup de loups. We are all gonna do better than a foot in this NWS region except maybe the outer Cape and Nantucketthats pretty close to where 78 was, unless I get 4"qpf this ain't hitting 78 totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Pretty impressive forecast from the NWS...widespread 2 feet or greater for SNE. They really had some great collaboration between the various offices though, overall pretty seamless transitions between WFOs. I think they're worrying too much about contamination just to my west up to Rte 24, there should be a max zone right in there with OES contribution that's pretty epic. Really only the Euro and some early other runs would introduce issues back that far...and I still think those extreme west solutions were bogus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 lol yup. My first semester I was extremely homesick for cold and snow. And then I played frisbee on a 70 degree day in the middle of January, and I was okay with it haha. And taking the Oklahoma perspective on weather everywhere -- check out the SCP from the 15z SREF. Can't upload for some reason, but just go check it out. Median > 12 in the Gulf of Maine at 15z Tuesday Excellent point. Still sucks to miss such a biggie, but I'm sure April will make up for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Day storms are better. I'm shirtless atm.I'm totally naked, laptop on the ceiling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 15z SREF mean is 28" @ BOS 22" @ LGA 24" @ BDR 26" @ ISP 19" @ GON 25" @ OXC 28" @ BDL 21" @ IJD 26" @ CEF 18" @ PSF 24" @ ORE 24" @ ORH 26" @ FIT 25" @ SFZ 25" @ PVD 27" @ EWB 27" @ PYM 17" @ HYA 20" @ PVC 27" @ BVY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm totally naked, laptop on the ceiling lol....I'm saving the nudity for the event...Don't want to jinx it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN 5m5 minutes ago Gaining clarity on potential maximum snow amounts and locations: http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2015/01/gaining-clarity-on-potential-snowfall-maximum-locales.html … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 You flying out of BDL on Tuesday? If so, I'd say you'll more than likely get cancelled. BDL stands to be a somewhat better position than us. I have higher confidence of 18"+ totals east of the CT River in MA and south of the CT/MA border than I do west or north of those points. The 00z suite should hopefully help to pin down the position of the low better. Is it south of ACK or MTK? Makes a big difference in these parts. No--the flight's tomorrow. I'm hoping I get bumped leaving me stranded. Yup on that placement.....Do you mean MTP? Give me that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 thats pretty close to where 78 was, unless I get 4"qpf this ain't hitting 78 totals How about Feb 2013 amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN 5m5 minutes ago Gaining clarity on potential maximum snow amounts and locations: http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2015/01/gaining-clarity-on-potential-snowfall-maximum-locales.html … Keeps it sane, insofar as you can call 2 feet sane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Are the SREFs useful at this (or any) time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Congrats everyone Noyes says! Spent several hours at NECN today, preparing for extensive coverage in the coming days. As best I can tell, a one to two and a half foot snowstorm for New England, overall, but there are a few areas that stand out as potential zones for locally higher maximums. One is from the immediate northern Hartford suburbs northeast through the CT hills into Southern Worcester County MA. The other area should be north coastal Massachusetts in Essex County southward through Boston Metro to interior Southeast MA, particularly focused on Norfolk, Northern interior Plymouth and Northern Bristol Counties. In both of these highlighted areas, localized amounts of 30-36" cannot be ruled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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