Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 nam is actually similar to euro. its gfs/rgem vs euro/nam.Nah .. Nam is closer to Rgem . It's not as far west as Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 TWC still doesn't have live coverage of this. What a joke. What exactly should they cover live right now Maybe an interview w joe the plow guy at D&D about his fav type of jelly donut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Nah .. Nam is closer to Rgem . It's not as far west as Euro Nam crushes NYC like euro while rgem and gfs dont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Accuweather has Taunton at 12-18 inches. Hoping for more, but wouldn't be upset about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
17iceman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 this seems like every other classic storm... huge snowfall amounts that get readjusted to more modest amounts as the storm approaches... still going to be a great storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 Is it possible we see a band like nemo with 6 inches per hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 Nam crushes NYC like euro while rgem and gfs dont.I was referring to our area as we don't live in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 lol, We don't live in NY, And what may happen there does not usually translate up here, If this happens to take a wider swing to the right before it gets tugged back, There would be suicides, Some of the runs early on showed this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 A little worried about the dry slot in pvd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm pretty confident BOS does really well. Not worried about all these maps and model runs. At this point it's just semantics Yeah. Some seem to be like 'wtf it's a historic storm just enjoy it, don't worry about jackpotting' - I disagree. I think of course I would like to be in a jackpot. Everyone does at heart. But my true interest lies in trying to find out where the banding and localized jacks will occur. These massive storms don't happen often. This is an opportunity to study many different things right now. Trying to nail down the heavier jacks is extremely tough and I'm very much mesmerized by the situation. This is alarmingly similar to 78' in some ways. The winds will be high, snow totals will be off the charts, there will be coastal flooding. I actually think the snowfall total map from that storm will not be far off from the impending blizzard coming tomorrow. I was naturally not even close to being alive for 78'. How does the impacts compare from that storm to this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah, agreed. It's tough to get 24"+ over suhc a large area. I'd want to see almost uniform 2.5-3"+ qpf over the whole region. The storm does stall in a great spot for SNE which helps but I'm not confident enough to forecast those amounts. And ... I think we are getting collectively (not you per se...) caught up in the drama of the thing. I mean really, half those numbers with winds gusting to 40 is paralyzing enough. I'm just saying, if something less than histrionic verifies, I hope to god that those that like to visit the site won't have to wade through a festoon of meltdown meaninglessness... Also, guys, if you go and check out the satellite wv and radar loops in the TV, that is a ginormous rotational entity. It's a like a big meso it's torque is that obvious. I really think that much rotational dynamic settling into an erstwhile amplifying longwave trough .. it really seems "backing off" solutions should be very suspect at this point in time. I won't worry about these 18z solutions is all - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I was referring to our area as we don't live in NYC Yea but thats model noise for us mainly. I'm interested in which model wins the NJ/NYC forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 nam is actually similar to euro. its gfs/rgem vs euro/nam. nam is not on the euro boat. I'm generally ignoring qpf versus mid level track and rh right now. This is why I think euro is on an island. Mid levels is why I think NYC sees only 10-20". The fact I said only is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 lol, We don't live in NY, And what may happen there does not usually translate up here, If this happens to take a wider swing to the right before it gets tugged back, There would be suicides We in SW CT live fairly close to NYC so it does matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Would anyone be able to comment on the prospect of OES in eastern MA tomorrow? Is that still a possibility with an eastern fetch? Many thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Accuweather has Taunton at 12-18 inches. Hoping for more, but wouldn't be upset about it. That seems underdone based on most guidance. I'd say 18-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elektricshock Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 A little worried about the dry slot in pvd Think theres a chance PVD gets burned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Thanks to all for the definition of Eastern Mass. I always thought it was east of the Fenway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Old school stuff but the gathering cirrus I. The sw sky at sunset warmed my heart like pre storm times of my boyhood. It's coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Would anyone be able to comment on the prospect of OES in eastern MA tomorrow? Is that still a possibility with an eastern fetch? Many thanks. Models seem to think so, and Harvey Leonard mentioned light stuff over the cape/south shore. Not much, all things considered, until the main energy starts dominating the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Also, great news for you all! Reed Timmer's chasing this one! Watch out for a real pro in a red shoe with a plow on the front that says "dominating" on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah there could be weenie OES tomorrow , perhaps north shore where winds may be more North just inland vs northeast at shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Does it even make any sense to have such massive margins? I mean, 1-3 or 3-6 versus 24-36... I feel like one of these is not like the other. It will be very difficult to accurately measure snow in this storm. With winds as high as they are forecasted and temperatures in the teens and 20's away from the immediate south shore your going to have bare ground in some places and snow to car roofs in others. Your going to hear of all kinds of amounts. Best place for a snowboard is probably 100 feet downwind of a forested area to your north east. In urban areas with houses close wind funnels will give you all kinds of amounts. Also with a long duration storm the board must be measured and cleared every 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Kevin to ORH is going to just get absolutely crushed I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 wouldn't we want more widespread 2.5"+ qpf on the models now for widespread 24" amounts? it seemed like nemo had some serious qpf with it before hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Would anyone be able to comment on the prospect of OES in eastern MA tomorrow? Is that still a possibility with an eastern fetch? Many thanks.I see light snows on hi res nam but i would assume run of the mill oes e ma prob starting early pm.Some models hit nj fairly hard w oes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It will be very difficult to accurately measure snow in this storm. With winds as high as they are forecasted and temperatures in the teens and 20's away from the immediate south shore your going to have bare ground in some places and snow to car roofs in others. Your going to hear of all kinds of amounts. Best place for a snowboard is probably 100 feet downwind of a forested area to your north east. In urban areas with houses close wind funnels will give you all kinds of amounts. Also with a long duration storm the board must be measured and cleared every 6 hours. Makes sense in those terms, I'm just worried about how the public reacts to such huge margins. Maybe introduce a "drift index?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Kevin to ORH is going to just get absolutely crushed I think. Agreed. I think there's a relative -- emphasis on relative -- screw zone between there and a coastal front which may be where snows also linger strongest and longest. A little nervous, but whatever. Looks like a fun storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 lol, We don't live in NY, And what may happen there does not usually translate up here, If this happens to take a wider swing to the right before it gets tugged back, There would be suicides, Some of the runs early on showed thisYep, not banking on the 20-25" per local met, but would be nice if it verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.