SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Very nice, right on the border of the 24-36" zone. Two feet, ripping winds and, ideally, widespread damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Fwiw NAM looks great for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Saw a post on the accuweather forum that recon was sent out this afternoon. Not sure where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Should I b**ch about not being in the jack zone.....At least you will get a blizzard. Enjoy that part and your 23.9" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Could it be that ratios are lower b/c of a wetter snow? Probably. Looks like that is based off the euro as well. I doubt anyone off the cape sees anything other than snow, some may have condo crusher type snow though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 TWC still hasnt update to blizzard warnings. They should go to a "breaking news" cut and put out the warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Could it be that ratios are lower b/c of a wetter snow? Yeah seems most likely, the blizzard warning mentioned both wetter snow and strong winds affecting costal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowciopath Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 RGEM ticked east once again, puts the deformation band through eastern CT up through ORH and into SE NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 This. I never ever watch TWC anymore, except when there's a historical weather event about to unfold or is unfolding. The fact that from NYC to BOS is forecast to get 24-36", and The WEATHER Channel is playing old episodes of random shows is just ridiculous. Shows how far they've fallen. That's what happens when you get taken over by NBC. They have a different agenda- ratings. But the foolish execs don't realize that their ratings would be a lot higher with live current info right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 lolol....never been in the 24 plus...i doubt it but we will see...im in it by 3 miles!!! i still worry about an east trend though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS is subsidence hell NW of Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS is subsidence hell NW of Boston Does it matter what the GFS is showing right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS is 6-10 for NYC. The model is a pos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS matches the box map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 18z GFS ticked ~20 miles southeast... RGEM as well... correcting for convective issues Messenger and others discussed? (absolute worst time for board to be acting up... real issues or just volume looking like DDos?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 18z RGEM, We don't toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS pulled the same crap in the close in lead to 2/13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS matches the box map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS and RGEM look great down this way. Keeps it all snow and cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS is 6-10 for NYC. The model is a pos. It is turrable. This close and it's totally whiffing for NJ/NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS is subsidence hell NW of Boston How do you figure? Looks the same as interior SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah, BOX saying with their map that Euro is too far west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I have been out of the loop with modeling but I'm definitely keeping an eye on a couple of different things. One is obviously mid level dry slots working their way through the area throughout the duration of the storm. It could affect many east of ORH. Low level lift with the CF could help overcome that in portions of eastern mass. There will be no massive screw zones by any means and a widespread burial but there will certainly be jackpots. I think one in interior SE MA and the south shore anywhere from BOS to the Canal depending on track and nuances. Also the secondary jack where the deformation sets up which could be Kev to ORH to portions of S NH. I'm not sure NYC will see as much snow as some expect right now and I think some of the totals for that area may be overdone. I like Kevin, ORH more for the good banding on the NW flank. Very curious to see how the banding and the stuff in eastern mass works out. I think no one should really be worked up about subsidence or anything of that nature. We are all getting 1-3 feet of snow in the end except for few on the cape and islands. The other impacts are tremendously more impressive in terms of coastal flooding and winds. This is truly a historic situation unfolding before our eyes and no one should be overly concerned about missing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I didn't agree with BOX. GFS did GFS east with the 700 low but as if now, banding may be west and CF is more SE mA not 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 12z / 18z RGEM with sharp subsidence zone depicted over North Shore / Boston, ~12" flanked by 20-30" in southeast MA and central MA... all of this subtle bouncing around won't be sorted out before 0z tonight imo, and might even be a nowcast similar to Feb 2013 given difficulty in handling multiple intense pieces of vorticity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The issues with the board seriously suck right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hambone Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 How does this compare with the setup from 1978? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Euro has been so steady, im going with it to my grave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Man the RGEM is a CT Blizz wet dream... definite cut-back on the RGEM and GFS to the west though on these runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I don't buy such a widespread swatch of 24"+. No doubt those places places that get into the best banding are going to get hit hard...but huge bust potential, especially back toward NYC. Kinda surprised Upton went ballz to the wall back that way. Seems like they're setting themselves up for some backlash should NYC only get 12. For CT I'm thinking 16-24", with 24-30" east of the river. Certainly some 30"+ amounts a very real possibility, but I don't think it's wise to try to nail those down until things really get underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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