TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That RGEM looks noose worthy in parts of eastern mass. What gives with that intense shadow? That is quite a screw zone.I would hope thats overdone. I doubt anyone sees less than 1" LE in that area. Also, impossible to nail down where that sets up. Similar to banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 ukmet is west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 ukmet is west... It was the east outlier so that makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If anyone wants to tie themselves a noose over 10-12" of snow, let them. No one south or east of Mount Washington should be worried about anything right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The RGEM only goes till 7AM Tuesday, which is like half-way through the storm. Even the shadow zone would get well over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That RGEM looks noose worthy in parts of eastern mass. What gives with that intense shadow?That band over the interior is insane. Off the charts VVs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Two feet looks good here if we can get in good banding. No idea if I need a shift west or east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm not worried about the RGEM. We won't know the exacts until the storm is over. Until then, there'll be subtle differences from run to run and model to model. I'm very happy where I'm sitting for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It was the east outlier so that makes sense. yea but i believe its even further west than the ggem and gfs now lol...the gefs are west of the op as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I don't get that map? Will Drag and Ekster come and personally fill my yard with that much snow if it doesn't happen?Neither of them work at BOX anymore so probably not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The UKMET is pretty far southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Congrats to the losers. Min snow potential. A week ago I'd have sold my soul basically for a forecast map showing 8" IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Ukmet is an absolute crushing of eastern New England. Lingers long and deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The RGEM only goes till 7AM Tuesday, which is like half-way through the storm. Even the shadow zone would get well over a foot. Thank You Hopefully anyone jumping got their shoe lace caught on the tobin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Question for the Mets. In big storms like this there is usually a secondary maximum in the deformation areas well NW of the center. Why do models not pick up on this. Seems the QPF amounts just slowly fall off as you go N and W from the path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 This is for anyone out there who wants to join in. Butterfish55 and Myself are going to meet up at the Stoneforge in Raynham at 8pm tonight. Drinks and 00z Model bliss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Ukmet is an absolute crushing of eastern New England. Lingers long and deep. The "fairer" sex must enjoy your use of words describing that models output. Any maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The UKMET is pretty far southeast. The guy from Long Island is saying it's the furthest west? Everyone looking at the same maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The GEFS are not west of the op. Please get your sh*t straight if you are going to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If anybody on here is worried about "only" getting 15", I really don't know what to tell you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Question for the Mets. In big storms like this there is usually a secondary maximum in the deformation areas well NW of the center. Why do models not pick up on this. Seems the QPF amounts just slowly fall off as you go N and W from the path. See that image that Brian posted. In this storm, the big NW deform band looks to be somewhere in central New England down into western SNE. I could see it arcing from like Dryslot to Dendrite and down into CT. There probably won't be some jackpot band going from like BML to MPV to GFL in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The guy from Long Island is saying it's the furthest west? Everyone looking at the same maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The ukie closed off earlier to the south, but it isn't west per se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If anybody on here is worried about "only" getting 15", I really don't know what to tell youNothing. Dont respond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 With yesterday, this event, and possible bonus on Friday, the winter's trying to pull itself up from a D grade toward a B-. I just started the snowblower for the first time since Thanksgiving, thankfully it worked. For sh*ts and giggles, fired up the John Deere, too. Was shocked the battery survived the cool temps we've had this season. Only 40 minutes to go until the King. 27.9/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The GEFS are not west of the op. Please get your sh*t straight if you are going to post. Some are smoking something, I looked and they are basically the same and the uncle looked east to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The ukie closed off earlier to the south, but it isn't west per se. P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif P1_GZ_D5_PN_048_0000.gif It could be better for the NJ crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Thanks for fhe clarification guys. Pretty good agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 00z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Question for the Mets. In big storms like this there is usually a secondary maximum in the deformation areas well NW of the center. Why do models not pick up on this. Seems the QPF amounts just slowly fall off as you go N and W from the path.To some extent the models underestimate the banding...it's mesoscale. The higher res models can sniff it out though.Another thing is that the QPF can be less, but the ratios are sky high in those bands with deep saturation and strong lift in the max dendritic growth zone. So although the QPF may drop off...the ratios and amounts climb. We won't have the winds that they'll have closer to the center and along the coast so there will be less crystal destruction via BLSN/DRSN too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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