SleetStormNJ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Everyone is seemingly ignoring the extent to which the RGEM moved. In the 36-48 of this run it's really, really notable vs last nights 0z which was in many ways similar to the Euro and often is. We will see, I could be totally wrong but I will be curious to see if we shed a mb or two per run and a result this ends up a 978-980 ish..and subsequently tucked a little further NE. RGEM is terrible outside of short-range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 With the small ticks east on the 12z runs, especially the Rgem/Ggem, looking more and more like New England's storm... West of NYC folks getting toasters ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 We don't need the NYC weenies coming in here to battle us over east ticks. Take it to your own subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 We don't need the NYC weenies coming in here to battle us over east ticks. Take it to your own subforum. Who is that directed at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 First Nemo and now Juno. New England seems to have their big storms named after movies. Best of luck to you all. Looking forward to videos! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 Rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 RGEM is terrible outside of short-range. Yes, but the RGEM is east of it's earlier runs by even 18 or 24 hours - and notably so both aloft and at the surface. Although I pointed out the later time points...again even at 24 hours it's evident. Things slip just a bit out ahead before the development/stall/capture unfolds. Again just my opinion, i'll likely see the same amount of snow either way. I'm just relaying an opinion some of which is based on recent heartbreak with particularly the persistently west Euro on a later season system last year that phased just a smidge later run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 until I see the euro, I can't call this anything more than model noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I know Kevin showed it for obvious reasons, but it's probably this aftn and tonight where it really has its earnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GGEM for the queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Rgem/Ggem certainly pleases central Ct posters! Every model wobble sending local weenies toward mass extinctions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Rgem http://i1163.photobucket.com/albums/q560/TollandKev/Mobile%20Uploads/2015-01/99C73125-4EC7-49AE-8DBA-5E41B7B12C0D_zpsmfkdrohx.png[/ img] HFD Jack lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Well so far, The tics east look real, I think we are staring to come to a consensus here as the west trends have ceased it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GGEM for the queens. image.jpg I didn't look at last nights but that would appear to be a bit of a shift. NCEP is going whole hog on EVERY model having convective issues. I just don't buy it - I think it's totally overstated lately but who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 epic for most Rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I know Kevin showed it for obvious reasons, but it's probably this aftn and tonight where it really has its earnings. It did some waffling on a few runs on yesterdays storm, But in the end it was right here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I didn't look at last nights but that would appear to be a bit of a shift. NCEP is going whole hog on EVERY model having convective issues. I just don't buy it - I think it's totally overstated lately but who knows? It is. 00z... I've been posting too many QPF maps lately. How meteorological of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah, this is about a day away...Euro solution at 12z, take its output and there's your forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That RGEM looks noose worthy in parts of eastern mass. What gives with that intense shadow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GEM has that screw slot im worried about btwn cf and deform to west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That RGEM looks noose worthy in parts of eastern mass. What gives with that intense shadow? In between forcing. That shadow is probably real to a point, but where and how much...good luck with that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GGEM for the queens. image.jpg Devastating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 thanks I'll lock that ggem and rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That RGEM looks noose worthy in parts of eastern mass. What gives with that intense shadow? Don't know, but if it pans out, heading straight for the Tobin. Reminds me of that subsidence band Ginxy got stuck under in March '13. Brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah, this is about a day away...Euro solution at 12z, take its output and there's your forecast. I think that's the smart play. Nam went west and gfs went east, cant trust those two when the euro has been steady.....though I do expect it to tick NE somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Congrats to the losers. Min snow potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That RGEM looks noose worthy in parts of eastern mass. What gives with that intense shadow? Now I know why you guys get mad at us when we are getting a storm and start to worry a bit. You guys are getting crushed. No worries. I'd gladly take your solution on the RGEM, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 When BOX posts those stupid min graphics, they should have an icon for a noose and weenies can just click that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Sup y'all? It's gonna snow. Enjoy your pedestrian KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 When BOX posts those stupid min graphics, they should have an icon for a noose and weenies can just click that. I don't get that map? Will Drag and Ekster come and personally fill my yard with that much snow if it doesn't happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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