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Storm Disco for Manitoba Mauler 01/26/27


Damage In Tolland

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Too much worrying about details right now.

 

isn't it funny that in a small storm weenies are usually the overly bullish ones and you have to throw the SCF's out to reel them in

 

Now there is the "pressure" of a biggie and we are looking for caution flags under our futility winter posts from a week ago

 

I am looking forward to the board posting crazy pics of huge drifts wether it's in SW Ct, Kev's hood where he probably uses generator to have a jackpot party while the rest of the neighborhood is without food or water, or Scott's house where his snow is 2x the Height of Bryce. I just want to see it dump good for a while. I mean wether I get 20" or 30" is sort of beside the point. what will I do with 20" as opposed to 30" inches .....not struggle as much putting my ruler in the ground? Oh I def wanna be under the heaviest echos and sometimes I get caught up in that, but man this board has been waiting for this and I don't know many adults that still can get this euprhoric  excited feeling (w/ out drugs lol) just like it was like being a 5 year old kid, waking up on xmas morning and weather can do that for me and most of us and this board is seriously a gift

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I forecast one of the biggest meltdown storms since Boxing Day. Easily 1-2' for all of SNE but the shredded radar and snow grains when ML drying works in if this starts to occlude in LI Sound after the front end thump is still going to send many to the Tobin.

 

Unless we get a NAM-like solution.

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It is but it's a very sizeable jump ENE from the same positions at 0z when you look at 40-54 hours.

 

I think we're now going to see that throughout the suite potentially.  Like I said this seems to happen often.

 

The jump west on the NAM was also, Tough to buy into that extreme tuck look, Not that it can't happen if the trough is slightly further west as the Nam had

 

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The jump west on the NAM was also, Tough to buy into that extreme tuck look, Not that it can't happen if the trough is slightly further west as the Nam had

 

 

For all the complaining we do about the models - they've become predictable in themselves quite often.  NAM working west, UKMET will come west, the west models will come east.

 

I've just had this come out from under me a few times in the last 12 or 18 months post "upgrades" to most newer models.  We seem to be developing our own "tuck rule" for KU's......the period from 45-72 hours is often over-tucked.

 

Will see, but it's a dramatic change in this run of the RGEM and IMO it was telegraphed in the 6z RGEM too.

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I would go near Foxboro (were the Pats play) might be better with more things around you

 

not a bad spot

 

Or go to somewhere near 1K around ORH (thou many hotels are lower near 500' blah) , I think the insane easterly inflow will guarantee they aren't shafted if you are elevated there. Temps will stay cold, drifts will be crazy.

 

Are you taking public transport, or driving/flying?

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I justh ave a feeling CT will get into that sweet deform zone. Still have a day to decide. CT is obviously closer to me, but any suggestions would be great

If we take 80/20 euro forecast that's puts western half of CT in the jack zone do anywhere from danbury to Tolland and in between. Ull be fine..... Actually, anywhere in CT is perfect.can't go wrong.

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not a bad spot

 

Or go to somewhere near 1K around ORH (thou many hotels are lower near 500' blah) , I think the insane easterly inflow will guarantee they aren't shafted if you are elevated there. Temps will stay cold, drifts will be crazy.

 

Are you taking public transport, or driving/flying?

 

Driving. 

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Man I would be really mad if we ended up with only 6" of snow, after NAM and GFS have a range of 15-23" of snow.

 

I hope you do stay all snow, and I'm not sure where specifically on the Cape you are, but Nemo, '78 and similar storms were mostly rain on ACK and down by the elbow. I want to say they only managed about 6" in those events, right?

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isn't it funny that in a small storm weenies are usually the overly bullish ones and you have to throw the SCF's out to reel them in

Now there is the "pressure" of a biggie and we are looking for caution flags under our futility winter posts from a week ago

I am looking forward to the board posting crazy pics of huge drifts wether it's in SW Ct, Kev's hood where he probably uses generator to have a jackpot party while the rest of the neighborhood is without food or water, or Scott's house where his snow is 2x the Height of Bryce. I just want to see it dump good for a while. I mean wether I get 20" or 30" is sort of beside the point. what will I do with 20" as opposed to 30" inches .....not struggle as much putting my ruler in the ground? Oh I def wanna be under the heaviest echos and sometimes I get caught up in that, but man this board has been waiting for this and I don't know many adults that still can get this euprhoric excited feeling (w/ out drugs lol) just like it was like being a 5 year old kid, waking up on xmas morning and weather can do that for me and most of us and this board is seriously a gift

About a good a post you have ever made.
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So in general Windsor doesn't get screwed in events like this because of its elevation or anything? I am not familiar with the area obviously. Sorry to clutter up the thread.

I would say on Deep E'rly flow you have a good shot at downsloping. I would not go there or even consider it among top 20 locations. maybe bottom 10 locale. I mean whether banding sets up there would be a crap shoot I don't think you want to depend on (if your driving)

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