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Storm Disco for Manitoba Mauler 01/26/27


Damage In Tolland

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Haha, some on here will need to be smacked if they are disappointed with anything in this storm. This wasn't even here like 24-30 hours ago.

I just can't believe the "afraid of only getting 16 inches" type comments when 5 days ago they were crying in their cheerios.

these people PF are the types who are never ever satiated.
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This winter was on a futility run a week ago. Two days ago, we were getting 3-6 tainted mush followed by watching another clipper whiff south.

Everybody just stfu with the whining.

Thanks.

Agreed! Two days ago, we were getting ready to count down to May! What a turnaround. Savor every moment.

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I thought the 6z rgem looked better in that regard. If I had to forecast for mby it'd only be 4-6". History of events this strong isn't great nearest the water in the euro-gfs type development. However i am not at all sold the pieces come together as quickly as the models indicate. The last season or two the tucks always seem to come progressively later inside of about. 48 hours per-event and I just have a feeling that'll happen this time too.

I agree. We saw that w NEMO, which acted as a slight detriment to us. In this instance, we would avail of it.
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The 06z GFS has minimum omega values right within the dendritic growth zone. Lapse rates between 550 and 500 mb are around 7 deg/km so bands that develop should realize some very good vertical motion and therefore have excellent growth conditions for dendrites.

 

For Boston:

 

attachicon.gifScreenshot from 2015-01-25 08:15:05.png

 

Desturctive, dendrite-destroying winds for the ratio loss.

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ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN MA/NORTHERN CT HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM

WATCH FOR 12 TO 24 INCHES OF SNOW. ITS POSSIBLE WE MAY HAVE TO

UPGRADE SOME OF THAT REGION TO A BLIZZARD WATCH/WARNING...BUT WAS

UNCERTAIN HOW MUCH WIND WOULD MIX DOWN ACROSS THAT REGION AND ITS

STILL A LATE 4TH AND 5TH PERIOD EVENT. WE ARE ALSO LEANING TOWARDS

THE WESTERN ENVELOPE OF SOLUTIONS AT THIS TIME LED THE CONSISTENT

ECMWF. IF THE STORM TRENDS EAST A BIT...WE MAY BE OVERDONE WITH OUR

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS OUR WESTERN ZONES SO SOMETHING FOR LATER

SHIFTS TO WATCH.

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He's right for folks down here..but that's besides his point. I don't like the tucking trend. probably means we get a dryslot or flip

The only model that would even come close to tainting you is the gfs. I had a bit of concern about that as well, but ultimately, I find it hard to believe taint makes it much further than the canal

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me and 10 other posters and it wasn't just you, it's all good

Yea, I was catching up. People need to understand that stakes are high in an extreme event like this....there is going to be a bit more consternation over relative mins and maxes than there is in an ordinary storm. That being said, there should probably be a seperate thread for that.
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