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Storm Disco for Manitoba Mauler 01/26/27


Damage In Tolland

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That was facetious. It cut down a lot in se NH....and into far NE MA....

Based on the maps and some that DT posted too...clearly the euro shifted the max NE in the mid at Atlantic region, and sw from NE Ma.

Imo it is the smoothing out of the dual lows that we are seeing and will continue with each successive run. Models always seem to be a little too far Sw? At this stage with the stalled low.

So I wouldn't worry too much in your hood, I will bet that nudge continues

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Idk, it's late, maybe I read the map wrong, but it looked like a pretty significant trend to cut down in to the ne from 12z

It looked to be more like 20-24" rather than the 30" it was showing earlier, but I'm not sure I'd really call that too extreme a change all things considered. Plus, if this is a matter of death banding, I doubt we can nail down where that'll end up just yet.

Just my opinion, I very well may have read it wrong myself lol.

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It looked to be more like 20-24" rather than the 30" it was showing earlier, but I'm not sure I'd really call that too extreme a change all things considered. Plus, if this is a matter of death banding, I doubt we can nail down where that'll end up just yet.

Just my opinion, I very well may have read it wrong myself lol.

It's not going to be east of projections...never is
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Continues to look epic -- I suspect most models are not deepening the storm quite as much as it will end up going -- 975 mb seems plausible, and as high is also building to north, gradient will be enough to produce some gusts above 70 mph in most exposed coastal locations. My current estimates include 24" BOS, 30" ORH, 18" PVD, 15" CON, 12" PWM. 20" BDL, 17" BDR, (35-45 Berkshires) 25" for ISP (local 30-40 n LI), 24" NYC, 32" EWR, 20" TTN, 12" PHL, 6" ACY, 8" BWI, 4" IAD, 3" DCA, 7" SBY. Local variations in e MA from 15 to 40 inches. Tolland 18" (exclusive poster point forecast) 4' drifts.

Frequent thunder-snow will develop Tuesday p.m. evening, some drifts could exceed 15' and temps will fall from near 30 F at start of snowfall to 18 F or lower end of snowfall.

I'm going to enjoy this and forget all about the 60 deg sunshine outside, in fact that might be fun too.

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Congrats on the win you guys! Everyone down my way is having a pity party. Feel free to join... :cry:

These kind of storms are never DC's to cash in on, they almost always turn into Philly being the razor edge and northeast from there being the party. 

 

Next time there's a massive 2/6/10 type STJ Nino storm, that's your party.

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Continues to look epic -- I suspect most models are not deepening the storm quite as much as it will end up going -- 975 mb seems plausible, and as high is also building to north, gradient will be enough to produce some gusts above 70 mph in most exposed coastal locations. My current estimates include 24" BOS, 30" ORH, 18" PVD, 15" CON, 12" PWM. 20" BDL, 17" BDR, (35-45 Berkshires) 25" for ISP (local 30-40 n LI), 24" NYC, 32" EWR, 20" TTN, 12" PHL, 6" ACY, 8" BWI, 4" IAD, 3" DCA, 7" SBY. Local variations in e MA from 15 to 40 inches. Tolland 18" (exclusive poster point forecast) 4' drifts. Frequent thunder-snow will develop Tuesday p.m. evening, some drifts could exceed 15' and temps will fall from near 30 F at start of snowfall to 18 F or lower end of snowfall. I'm going to enjoy this and forget all about the 60 deg sunshine outside, in fact that might be fun too.

My forecast is 74 and sunny in Austin on Tuesday. My eyes will be glued to the Long Island webcams.

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