Chrisrotary12 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Just for sh**s & giggles take a look at the precip depiction.....it starts snowing at about hour 63 and really shows no sign of stopping at hour 84. Daddy likey! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Nemo was supposed to stall and it didn't? That is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well the NAM showing it increases confidence by about 1%....lets see what the real model guidance says in about 2-3 hours. Wait.....isn't there a rule of thumb about the Euro and the NAM being similar. Looking quickly at 500....they are nearly identical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 71 mb PG....Blizz of '78 had a 64mb PG. HP also centered over SE canada this time, as opposed to central Canada. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Oh the nam. Let's see what the sane models do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Nemo was supposed to stall and it didn't? That is insane. No, nemo stalled a bit later than it was expected to.......that change in modeling didn't take place until about 12 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 QPF queens' ultimate fantasy.. 2"+ qpf for almost the entire board, and..... .. Its still snowing to beat the band at 84 hr when the run cuts off, with the low being stationary.... Doesnt get much better than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I'd take a picture and show you but.....you'll just have to trust me, I value quality over quantity. lol, As well, I have my card and the qty to go along with quality...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well, now that the NAM is a winner in the game of "Finding Nemo"....lets see if the viable segment of the 12z suite would like to play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
walthsnow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If even half the NAM happened I would be thrilled. Hoping gfs/euro/canadian continue this look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yea, that one was kinder to you than the like of '78, etc. 78 did not do much here, I mean 8-10" was pedestrian considering other totals, But i will take this one to match my sig....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well, now that the NAM is a winner in the game of "Finding Nemo"....lets see if the viable segment of the 12z suite would like to play. The thing with this one its not out in the long term if its real it should start getting hit hard on modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 12z RGEM was looking ready to pop the coastal at the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If the major league models show this, the honking will begin. Two days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The thing with this one its not out in the long term if its real it should start getting hit hard on modeling I think it's on....not to this degree, but..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Seems like the colder more se solution verifying with the current system will lead to a better Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If the major league models show this, the honking will begin. Two days away Do we even dare to lump the GFS in with those? Has it behaved like a major leaguer lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Seems like the colder more se solution verifying with the current system will lead to a better Tuesday. Seems like the colder more se solution verifying with the current system will lead to a better Tuesday. We had this in the karma bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I think it's on....not to this degree, but..... Agree, no one expects the nam solution to verify but I'm growing confident we aren't a total whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Do we even dare to lump the GFS in with those? Has it behaved like a major leaguer lately? No better than double A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 RGEM looks almost identical to the NAM at 48 hours...can't really extrapolate another 24-36h, but it has to be a good sign. You want that first shortwave to really kind of dig itself a hole in the southeast US because that is how it slows down and lets the fast one behind it catch up, phase, and retro this sucker back NNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I think it's on....not to this degree, but..... It has been out on the models, Just been wide right, Today's is actually helping as its weaker SE which is what many hoped for, Gladly sacrifice this one for mon-tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 RGEM looks almost identical to the NAM at 48 hours...can't really extrapolate another 24-36h, but it has to be a good sign. You want that first shortwave to really kind of dig itself a hole in the southeast US because that is how it slows down and lets the fast one behind it catch up, phase, and retro this sucker back NNW. 100% agree, get that energy to keep digging and give the trailing energy time to catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Looks like a hecs wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 While we wait for the 12z GFS I went back and looked at the last 6 runs of the GFS using Tropical Tidbits which has 10 days of runs archived on it's model page. Each run over the last 6 has brought the potential Tuesday system back west by a significant amount. Starting with 00z Friday's run where the storm is off the page through the 06z run where it is in the gulf of Maine. If that isn't a trend, then I don't know what is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 RGEM looks almost identical to the NAM at 48 hours...can't really extrapolate another 24-36h, but it has to be a good sign. You want that first shortwave to really kind of dig itself a hole in the southeast US because that is how it slows down and lets the fast one behind it catch up, phase, and retro this sucker back NNW. I think it's on. Man, this is 2005 all over again....minus the boxing day CC crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The 12z GFS is digging the shortwave farther south, good early sign... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 pretty good changes on the gfs so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 gfs really digging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Modeling starting to indicate a very intense Noreaster will impact the entire region starting Monday.Euro and NAM currently are progging a storm of historical nature. An explosive slow moving Miller B held in place by a transient block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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