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Storm Disco for Manitoba Mauler 01/26/27


Damage In Tolland

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CMC has that feature too:

 

attachicon.gifcmc_precip_mslp_east_14.png

 

With both Euro and CMC, multiple pieces of vorticity swinging around the trough, one piece gets out farther east:

 

attachicon.gifcmc_z500_uv_vort_east_14.png

 

Third note of caution, probably less likely, is a fujiwara effect swinging our main bombing low south and east?

 

I also wonder, in the positive column, if that stray energy farther east is preventing this from occluding sooner and further southwest, and ultimately yielding a better result for SNE?

 

Still doesn't take away from fact that there's incredible consensus in the 12z suite for explosive cyclogenesis.

 

 

You meant west blip right?

Staff two words ..... Redundant backups

 

East blip... see the 12z CMC images I posted earlier, and Tip posted the 12z EC images... there was a runaway piece of vorticity that swung around farther east and developed a low much further east, Tip discussed how it could steal some of the show

 

In any case, have not seen any sign of that on the ensembles or 18z suite

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