weathafella Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Let the brawls begin.. I don't think a track over ack would hurt too many folks. I doubt there would be taint anywhere west of the low center. But SnowMan is not forward thnking. He'll be struck in Boston for days if he just decided to stay in town Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Here are the GFS Ensm. for Hrs 72, 78, 84 Solid agreement on all members. f72.gif f78.gif f84.gif You know its good when you can't find the New England states........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well the site I'm looking at says currently processing hour 12, so it changed from 00Z to 12Z run, map not actually visible yet. Interesting. Maybe they should not tell you till they ch can show you..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well the site I'm looking at says currently processing hour 12, so it changed from 00Z to 12Z run, map not actually visible yet. Typically its 12:45 am and pm as it has not ini on SV yet, We won't have to wait on to many panels to find out either..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 PF trying to push it east lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If there is 21 GEFS members how come most sites only post 12 out of the 21 members? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I don't think a track over ack would hurt too many folks. I doubt there would be taint anywhere west of the low center. But SnowMan is not forward thnking. He'll be struck in Boston for days if he just decided to stay in town Monday night. He also doesn't need a track over ACK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Pretty large circulation on this one if i am ripping at 41/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I don't think a track over ack would hurt too many folks. I doubt there would be taint anywhere west of the low center. But SnowMan is not forward thnking. He'll be struck in Boston for days if he just decided to stay in town Monday night. Actually I work in Nashua now . No worries about commutes lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 NAM wasn't even done, if it ran to 96 a few places in E MA would be 4' Yeah, that isn't even done, which is scary, since thats already at historic Levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Euro has initialized , Here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Big run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Big money, big money, no whammies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 One thing I learned from road tripping to NEMO in Marlboro MA was the deform zone tends to set up slightly W of modeled My rule of thumb is to expect it to setup over MPM. HAHA Nice. Well I'm sure glad I didn't come home for the 3-6 dud (Which I felt was a dud all along) but I'm supposed to come home Tuesday from the NAMM Show in LA. I'm relying on All my best weather buds to tell me if I should change flights to Monday (Currently about 200 bucks more) to not miss this. Thanks in Advance! Book it HECS seems to be on the table. (PS. Don't listen to me, I just wanted to use the emoticon mostly) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The big wheel is spinning, will it stop at a dollar or will we go over and bust? EURO's initialized, biggest run since 2/7/13 IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 You guys can have 10 inches for every 2 i get. I would say 1 but lets be fair. Best of luck to everyone on the Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Big money, big money, no whammies! "Big bucks! Big bucks! No whammies -- big bucks!" I remember that corny azz game show... Some of the members of this board weren't even born.. wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Need these GEFS members to verify, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM EVOLVING INTO A NOR'EASTER MON/TUE~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF COMPROMISE (CLOSE TO THE UKMET)CONFIDENCE: BELOW AVERAGETHERE IS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM, WITH SOME OF ITINTRODUCED BY AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE STREAKING NEAR THE GREAT LAKESAND SOME INTRODUCED BY ITS BURGEONING SIZE OF THE OVERALL SYSTEMAS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND. THE 00Z CANADIAN ISFARTHEST TO THE EAST/WEAKEST ALOFT WITH THIS SYSTEM DUE TO ITSFASTER PROGRESSION WITH BOTH THIS AND AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE WHILETHE 12Z GFS IS THE STRONGEST/MOST CONSOLIDATED ALOFT. THE 00ZECMWF/12Z UKMET/12Z NAM/12Z GFS TAKE THE SURFACE LOW MUCH CLOSERTO THE 40N 70W "BENCHMARK" (A RELIC TERM FROM THE OLD ACETATE DAYSAT NMC). WITH AT LEAST TWO NOTABLE SHORTWAVES MERGING TO CREATETHIS LARGE SYSTEM, IT COULD TAKE A WHILE TO CONSOLIDATE ALOFT, SOTHE GFS IS PROBABLY TOO DEEP ALOFT. THE TREND IN THE ECMWF ISTOWARDS A MORE SOUTHERLY SYSTEM, WHILE THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET HAVETRENDED STRONGER ALOFT OVER THEIR PAST DAY OF RUNS, WHICH HASFORCES A WESTWARD TREND AT THE SURFACE. WITH THE STRENGTHENINGTREND ALOFT/WESTERLY SURFACE CYCLONE TRACK TREND, THE 00Z GLOBALENSEMBLE GUIDANCE MAY HAVE LITTLE UTILITY TODAY. A COMPROMISE OFTHE 12Z GFS/00Z ECMWF, CLOSE TO THE 12Z UKMET, AND IS PREFERREDWITH BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE EVER-CHANGINGDETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE. THIS STORM AND MONITORING EFFORTS ARE IN HIGH MODEL FLUX AS THE TREND IS TOO FAR FROM RESOLVED TO MAINTAIN A COGENT AND REALISTIC CONFIDENCE ... CHECK BACK WITH ME LATER. ...MODEL TREND GRAPHICS ATwww.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/model2.shtml......500 MB FORECASTS ATwww.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/h5pref/h5pref.shtml...ROTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 H5 closed off over the midwest at 27 hours. Looks great to me so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 PF: That will produce as much snow as you have on the top of your little house there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Got to love WPC saying they have no idea. Kudos to them for admitting it instead of trying to BS something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I like the early look at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 we may want to do an emergency weather geek get together at Funky Murphies tonight and buy a round when the 00z NAM (eeeeh) ups the stakes even more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Slowing down the system at 39, exactly what we need to see. I don't like calling runs but I'm really really liking this look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Ya should do an impromptu G2G Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 judging by 48 euro isnt going to disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The period between the WSW expiring and the watch being issued is going to be like... six hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It looks very similar to 00z...maybe just a smidge more amplified through 48h...but this will be another hit. We can obsess over the details of the hit, but they don't mean too much yet. The important thing to take away right now is the phase/retro will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 looks almost identical to 00Z at H5 and sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.