Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 as I said my Blog on thursday night MANITOBA MAULERS are rare but extremely dangerous or dynammic. 8-10 FEB 1969 and FEB 5-7 1978 both MM.... I dont know if NYC LI and se third of New England are going to get crushed like this BUT it might Once this MM reaches the coast ...with its severe negative tilt...it is going to go BOOM Perhaps it drops further south .... Models brought it back in a big way overnight. Hopefully it doesn't end up south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 A lot can happen. I wouldn't bet on the euro blizzard yet, but at least some decent snows look possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 One other point... we wont know how far south the MM will " dig" until this current Low gets up into SE Canada ... and becomes the 50/ 50 Low... in fact the whole god damn pattern has changed as the PV has finally left Baffin island and is coming south ... NOW its winter ... maybe 60 days of it coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Looks like more of a Saskatchewan Screamer to me? Responsible s/w crossed Canadian border near Regina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 One other point... we wont know how far south the MM will " dig" until this current Low gets up into SE Canada ... and becomes the 50/ 50 Low... in fact the whole god damn pattern has changed as the PV has finally left Baffin island and is coming south ... NOW its winter ... maybe 60 days of it coming Judah Cohen delayed but not denied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Will wait for 12z runs to really jump in on euro like potential. This is only a few days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Will wait for 12z runs to really jump in on euro like potential. This is only a few days away 48 hours till start time..alot to iron out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 This has nothing to do with snow cover 4 months ago though. You can get a +PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What the f just happened here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Euro ensemble mean was around 7" at BOS last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 This is looking better now of course with the NAM, EURO and GFS showing something big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Euro ensemble mean was around 7" at BOS last night. What was it for Cape Cod, MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 What was it for Cape Cod, MA? Oh Jimmy ...you cracked corn and we don't care This one is just for you buddy. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Thanks Kevin, I hope you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 DT, great post illustrating the changes displayed in the MJO outlook. The MJO is kind of a void in my knowledge base, so it was good to see that ironed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Euro ensemble mean was around 7" at BOS last night. Why are people saying 12"+, and even 18" in the other thread? Is that relegated to the cape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Why are people saying 12"+, and even 18" in the other thread? Is that relegated to the cape? The op run showed huge amounts well west..so you'd think the ens are moving in that general direction with the big increase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Why are people saying 12"+, and even 18" in the other thread? Is that relegated to the cape? That was the OP run. It went nuts. Threw 12+ back well West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Why are people saying 12"+, and even 18" in the other thread? Is that relegated to the cape? That's the op euro. And I should have stated it more clearly, it's .7" QPF at BOS on the ens, which could easily be 10" with ratios. James, the ens are around 1" QPF for you give or take a tenth or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It was a hr 96 OP run, don't get too latched onto it. 2-4 on Tuesday is another win for anyone here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The op run showed huge amounts well west..so you'd think the ens are moving in that general direction with the big increase I wouldn't assume that. I'd take the ens mean at this range. All the op implies is that there is some room for upward mobility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Excellent development last night on the Euro and even more heartening to see significant ensemble support. I'm cautiously optimistic. Interesting coincidence: I night-skied Pat's Peak one week before the Feb '13 blizzard and, in an effort to appease Ullr and get the juju flowing this year, I did the same last weekend. If this Mon-Tues storm pans out, it's going to became an annual homage lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 So this is the follow up clipper? A lot of people were refusing to write that one off, I think Tip was most linguistic about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 9z SREF'S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The last set of runs apparently came well west with this. How likely is it that continues with the 12z suite? (Hoping the upstate NY snow hole can see some action!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sammy6 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The last set of runs apparently came well west with this. How likely is it that continues with the 12z suite? (Hoping the upstate NY snow hole can see some action!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 9z SREF'S they look good.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 So this is the follow up clipper? A lot of people were refusing to write that one off, I think Tip was most linguistic about it.So I just looked, and no it's not.The Euro goes from a DC clipper to a New England KU in one run, and the GFS which was showing a hit, and the finally caved to the rest of guidance, still shows zip for anything outside of EMA, RI and up the coast? Color me skeptical ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Just saw the Euro and reading through the model thread. Who would've called that Euro run? Hopefully not a fluke. Definitely made model watching today a whole lot more interesting. Anyone have details on what the Ensembles looked like back here in CT? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Just saw the Euro and reading through the model thread. Who would've called that Euro run? Hopefully not a fluke. Definitely made model watching today a whole lot more interesting. Anyone have details on what the Ensembles looked like back here in CT? Sent from my iPhone It looks pretty decent for CT, esp eastern half. The mean looks a little se of the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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