MillvilleWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well, that Euro run is basically a spitting image of 1978. It's not like we're 36 hours from start time of this system. Oh wait.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Lol 1 inch qpf on my doorstep here in se york county. I will take my foot and like it! Go EURO!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Is the shift west due to the low from last night acting as a 50/50 low? Being in Harrisburg I hope this storm trends another 50 miles west. I know it has come westward a lot, but I'm not sure how much a chance this has to come further west. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Oh. Snap. Euro. Hello 8-12". I don't want to be greedy but can you imagine just 30-50 miles more west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It can still come west, not much but a little. But uh the Euro is a winter dream. Three major storms lining up on after another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Measured 4" in my driveway (northeast Cumberland County) at 930. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 It can still come west, not much but a little. But uh the Euro is a winter dream. Three major storms lining up on after another. Take the ECM verbatim, we only need a little...50 miles if that...we'd be in 18"+ amounts. (Posted by DT in the NYC forum) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Take the ECM verbatim, we only need a little...50 miles if that...we'd be in 18"+ amounts. (Posted by DT in the NYC forum) What the hell? I need to start focusing on weather lol. I really haven't paid attention since yesterday morning. I'm thinking another 2-4, now this possibility ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I so badly want to post that map to fb to freak everyone out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What the hell? I need to start focusing on weather lol. I really haven't paid attention since yesterday morning. I'm thinking another 2-4, now this possibility ?Troegs Nugget Nectar is out, I advise you go buy a case or three today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Troegs Nugget Nectar is out, I advise you go buy a case or three today. Thats good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I'd take what that Euro map shows in a heartbeat. What a nail biter for DC though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Troegs Nugget Nectar is out, I advise you go buy a case or three today.Oh man. That stuff is good. Had it once before. Mmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 West. Please come west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 West. Please come west...This. I'm not above begging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 West. Please come west... It won't take much. Hope the WPC is wrong though about the run being a product of convective feedback... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 So help me understand, the clipper is gonna come through Sunday into Monday and give us a couple inches, then hits the coast and bombs out and then we get more snow monday early evening? Amount is depends on how far west/east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Is the Euro showing what is accumulated on the ground = total accumulation? Or Accumulation from this storm only. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 This. I'm not above begging. Just as long as we don't go full Mid Atlantic and become beggars who are also choosers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I hate to be this guy, but I'm going to be this guy right now -- The Euro control was great, but looking at the GFS ensembles, there are only one or two members that show anything close to the Euro's coastal stack/retrograde. At this stage in the game, you would think that either a) the GFS members are all out to lunch and the Euro is correct or The Euro control is out of its mind, and believe your ensembles. I don't have access to the Euro ensembles, so I'll have to wait until they get posted elsewhere or someone summarizes them. I'm curious to see if the Euro ensembles agree or refute the control. NOW that I've somewhat squashed your hopes and dreams, here's some good news snow lovers: We're right in the Euro's "wheelhouse" for being accurate. Also, when I came into work this morning, our in-house model (the RPM) showed about a foot of snow widespread across central PA - including MDT/LNS/THV and up north to UNV - from tomorrow evening through early Tuesday. The RPM bombed a low hugging the coast, just like the Euro is hinting at. The RPM does have a knack for sniffing these types of things out in the day + 2 range, but until I see more ensemble agreement, I have to side with us getting most of our precip from the clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I hate to be this guy, but I'm going to be this guy right now -- The Euro control was great, but looking at the GFS ensembles, there are only one or two members that show anything close to the Euro's coastal stack/retrograde. At this stage in the game, you would think that either a) the GFS members are all out to lunch and the Euro is correct or The Euro control is out of its mind, and believe your ensembles. I don't have access to the Euro ensembles, so I'll have to wait until they get posted elsewhere or someone summarizes them. I'm curious to see if the Euro ensembles agree or refute the control. NOW that I've somewhat squashed your hopes and dreams, here's some good news snow lovers: We're right in the Euro's "wheelhouse" for being accurate. Also, when I came into work this morning, our in-house model (the RPM) showed about a foot of snow widespread across central PA - including MDT/LNS/THV and up north to UNV - from tomorrow evening through early Tuesday. The RPM bombed a low hugging the coast, just like the Euro is hinting at. The RPM does have a knack for sniffing these types of things out in the day + 2 range, but until I see more ensemble agreement, I have to side with us getting most of our precip from the clipper. Mets in the NE thread say Euro ensembles match, or surpass, original run fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 AllWeather thanks for being that guy...I think :-) Good having you back posting! Would like to thank everyone who has been sharing their thoughts on the weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 He's that guy and anti that guy in the same post. That probably required two years of education itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 18z NAM is actually a nice snowfall for many in the forum. Doesn't have the ultra cutoff of the NW extension of the precip shield like the Euro and gives a steady snowfall for all. The LSV looks like the spot for now for the best accumulation, but CPA up to State College is fair game at this point. Would like to check Bufkit once the run is done to see how the mid-upper levels are doing as far as moisture and temps for best dedritic growth. Not bad. I'd rather have the NAM than the Euro at this point. Too much bust potential for Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluestring Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The 0z NAM shows us getting more than NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I like where I sit, that .5 to .7 is going to move around more in the next 24 hours andI think we can end up with a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 Wake up everyone, we're back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Well, I guess we're back. For the sake of not being banned, I'll just keep it at that and not try to be funny lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Double post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Triple post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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