AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like GFS tries to conjure something up at 114 hrs, near the Euro timeframe, but it looks like suppression city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like GFS tries to conjure something up at 114 hrs, near the Euro timeframe, but it looks like suppression city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like GFS tries to conjure something up at 114 hrs, near the Euro timeframe, but it looks like suppression city? LOL @ GFS GLL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GLL is a b**ch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS looks meh with the storm, turns into a cutter/inland runner. Temps aren't cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS looks meh with the storm, turns into a cutter/inland runner. Temps aren't cold enough. Dude, it's like 7 days away lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS looks meh with the storm, turns into a cutter/inland runner. Temps aren't cold enough. thank the GL low (caused by the trough over the Lakes, of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Dude, it's like 7 days away lol. Yeah...just wanted to see if it would catch onto what the Euro was showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah...just wanted to see if it would catch onto what the Euro was showing. its good that it has a storm. There is no way this will be a warm storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The GLL has to go, but it probably won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 its good that it has a storm. There is no way this will be a warm storm today was looking pretty cold only a couple days ago too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 its good that it has a storm. There is no way this will be a warm storm By "no way" you must mean "probably will". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 By "no way" you must mean "probably will". What's your reasoning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What's your reasoning? The persistent trough and the accompanying GLL that have been there all season. I would love to know why that will be out of there for this surge of moisture, but haven't found a reason to guess that this will be the time a high is there when we need it. The dance seems to be, with a low properly positioned to our south, we cannot buy a high to the north. That a GLL is once again being modeled seems pretty consistent with what we have seen this winter for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 No way gfs is going it time up the northern stream vort correctly from that range. Rather it show it there now then at verification time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GLL is ruining everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GGEM is 8-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lol. The models will go through their permutations. In the end, we will still be disappointed. Hence, I like the small events that still give a couple of inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 With all the harping about the GL low in the 12Z GFS, I find it almost amusing that it has 2-m temperatures below freezing through the event...so looks pretty icy going on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GGEM looks great. As we relearn over and over and over again, op runs beyond 4 days (even inside of 1 day sometimes) are volatile. The signal is there. Let it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GGEM is 8-10" It was like 12+ two days before the rainstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It was like 12+ two days before the rainstorm February is its wheelhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 February is its wheelhouse GFS had like -44C 850s not far off last night.. PDIII time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS had like -44C 850s not far off last night.. PDIII time. you called? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 GFS had like -44C 850s not far off last night.. PDIII time. If is happens... I am naming it and starting the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I think one thing we need to keep it mind regarding the global outlooks for the next 10-14 days... Many of you already noted that our current major Nor'easter may have a lot to say in terms of the modulation of the longwave pattern over the next 2 weeks, particularly (hopefully) with some downstream blocking that otherwise wouldn't have been there. Here's another thing to consider: there's going to be a widespread snowpack of 1-2+ feet of snow to our northeast. Let's see what this can do in terms of shifting the upper confluence zone, surface high, and storm track south a little. It certainly wouldn't be the first time. Side note: Looping several days of IR and WV satellite imagery would show, without extrapolation, that the energy and compact moisture shield associated with the vigorous vort over the mid MS Valley yesterday -- the very one that survived the trek overtop the east PAC ridge -- could be traced back to the typhoon in the Philippines (when the Pope was there). I found this interesting, especially since this energy led to such a vigorous wave in the Midwest yesterday, with a robust +PV anomaly and a negative tilt which obviously aided to the coastal development. Certainly more than what would otherwise been your average northern stream clipper.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone have the Euro? Im stuck at 144. Hope it doesnt hold that southern energy back in the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone have the Euro? Im stuck at 144. Hope it doesnt hold that southern energy back in the SW. very light snow in DC Metro at 156. I will post map when it develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone have the Euro? Im stuck at 144. Hope it doesnt hold that southern energy back in the SW. I'm at hour 156...it looks alright, depends it goes up the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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