Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Weird looking but another case where the trough has that look it's close to something.. sorta like pre blizzard (cough mitch cough, lol). Sends us a run of steroid clippers after too. Long range is always better than short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Anything interesting on Day 7 into 8? Looks like a lil somthing with a 1008 MLSP in C NC and H in Quebec when I look at 168... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Anything interesting on Day 7 into 8? It's a fast moving front that dumps a whole 1-2".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 It's a fast moving front that dumps a whole 1-2".... Better than nothing I suppose... thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Day 9 and a 996 MSLP east of JAX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 awful euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 There's just enough ensemble members (looks like ~15 members) from the 00z EURO tonight that suggest a possible storm with snow late next weekend/early next week... I guess I will hold on and see what becomes of the Feb 8 to 12th time period on future runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Euro and GFS @ 168. Euro on top and GFS on the bottom euro168.JPG gfs168.JPG Perfect... Thanks bob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Euro and GFS @ 168. Euro on top and GFS on the bottom euro168.JPG gfs168.JPG So it is the closed upper level low that constitutes a blocking pattern? Not just the high heights to our north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Still not giving up on next week threat, but I feel deflated especially when a cold rain is pouring outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Why is it that only the good setups in the long range fizzle out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Why is it that only the good setups in the long range fizzle out? Cause it is post 144 hours on numerical prediction model... That range will change from run to run... 120 hours is my "I am gonna start taking this serious" threshold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 there is literally nothing to track 1st week of Feb...who would have thought that back around Thanksgiving...or even Xmas that this is where we would be at this point. I look at the GFS op and see nothing at all. No hint of anything viable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 there is literally nothing to track 1st week of Feb...who would have thought that back around Thanksgiving...or even Xmas that this is where we would be at this point. I look at the GFS op and see nothing at all. No hint of anything viable. Back in November it looked like it was going to be very very cold into at least Jan. Then we got the milder December, then a cold/dry Jan. Now we just have to will some snow out of this month's storms. If only we could get some semblance of a block...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Why is it that only the good setups in the long range fizzle out?Because it will change every run then if it comes back at day 3 people forget it was on a run or two at 200+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 We'll be seeing 60's on the extended range instead of snow storms very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 There's just enough ensemble members (looks like ~15 members) from the 00z EURO tonight that suggest a possible storm with snow late next weekend/early next week... I guess I will hold on and see what becomes of the Feb 8 to 12th time period on future runs... you don't have all three requirements foe an EC SNOW STOPRM, -NA0, -AO. isn't this correct?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Cause it is post 144 hours on numerical prediction model... That range will change from run to run... 120 hours is my "I am gonna start taking this serious" threshold. Great. Keep us posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 We'll be seeing 60's on the extended range instead of snow storms very soon. Good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Good. Seconded. End this debacle NOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Seconded. End this debacle NOW. what debacle the events now or winter as a whole, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Good.Naa our 30s and rain becomes 40s and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Naa our 30s and rain becomes 40s and rain Yeah...we'll probably go cold/wet just in time for April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Even when the MSLP passes us just to our south and the run looks good (i.e. 150-159) its rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Loling at the GFS for hours 147 - 162. We can't even catch a break with a 1040 high in the right spot. Overruning rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Loling at the GFS for hours 147 - 162. We can't even catch a break with a 1040 high in the right spot. Overruning rain! There's plenty of time for it to go further north and keep us dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 GFS is a suckfest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Even when the MSLP passes us just to our south and the run looks good (i.e. 150-159) its rain Yeah, no cold air or not enough cold (or marginal) even with a good track. Smells like that storm a couple of Fridays ago. That nice high to the north is just not doing anything down this way it seems. Set-up looks nothing like it did the other day, not sure what happened. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Nationwide sponsored this run of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Since when is a Moosonee high the perfect position? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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