Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GEFS is very supportive of a large precip producer in the deep south/se/ma/ne d8-10. Mixed bag of good snow and good rain. I'll hang my hat on the -ao/nao getting things right for us this time if something big develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Oh man, please let the gfs be onto something for the Feb 1-3 period. Mega overunning potential. Southern stream just puking moisture along an arctic boundary. We need the simple setup to get us meaningful snow without mega worries. This is a great way to get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 EPS looks very cold in the long range with a coastal storm signal around Feb 2. Looks like the Perler Vertex wants to come south in about a week. One thing we EXCEL at, is severe cold. Now, all we need to do is Improve our cold+moisture game and SCORE BIG like we're gonna do on Feb 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 0Z GFS has nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 0Z GFS has nothing. The GFS tends to lose consistency inside 200 hours for whatever reason. I wouldn't worry, if it's gonna happen, it will pick it up again once inside 100 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The GFS tends to lose consistency inside 200 hours for whatever reason. I wouldn't worry, if it's gonna happen, it will pick it up again once inside 100 hours. GFS has also "lost" the very cold look it had around that early February time frame. It's still cold, but those highs coming in look far weaker than they had been and the vortex does not drop down as far. Previously, even with the back-and-forth with the potential storm, the cold was consistently shown with a more amplified look to the flow. It's a single deterministic run, so who knows, but it's a bit disconcerting as I said in the medium/long range thread too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That's back to the solution it had a couple of days ago. Same timeframe. Just needs to disappear again for a couple of runs, then come south a tiny bit, and we're in business. As I was saying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 HM slapdown on Ji on twitter right now... I hope HM is right, as his argument seems to be that good things are coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 CMC shows a Nor'easter developing this weekend. We get screwed with temperatures though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 CMC shows a Nor'easter developing this weekend. We get screwed with temperatures though. its an inland runner....and its all frozen for us nice to see a storm in that time period come back though on one of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 its an inland runner....and its all frozen for us nice to see a storm in that time period come back though on one of the models Hmm...precipitation rates must be pretty light then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro trying to brew some shyte Feb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ji, it looks a little suppressed to me, am I reading the map wrong? The high looks pretty strong in CONUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Major snowstorm back on euro. Feb 1-3 is back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Wow...nevermind, it comes right up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ji, it looks a little suppressed to me, am I reading the map wrong? The high looks pretty strong in CONUS. It's like a 3-6" event as depicted....it will probably change some over the next 180 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ggem and euro have major storm. This is the one Ive liked forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Major snowstorm back on euro. Feb 1-3 is back congrats on your 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 It's like a 3-6" event as depicted....it will probably change some over the next 180 hours Will end up as miller b clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well, hopefully this isn't a ghost. We may have something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 When Richmond is bullseye at 186...I feel good about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 When Richmond is bullseye at 186...I feel good about it southern stream systems, Euro is deadly at day 8...lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Holy crap, seriously cold temperatures at hour 216 on Euro!!! :o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 This is insult Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This is insult Weird, it shows more on EuroWX? Whoops, that's snow depth. It should shift... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Weird, it shows more on EuroWX? Whoops, that's snow depth. It should shift... our area is jinx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 our area is jinx Richmond bullseye is good at this range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This thread is like crack addicts using a comb on a shag rug to find the last little bit of rock that might have been dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This early Feb time frame is a big reason I haven't been too negative in spite of this storm's likely screwjob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This early Feb time frame is a big reason I haven't been too negative in spite of this storm's likely screwjob. I wish I had your optimism. Age will do that to ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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