snowfan Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Sure looks like this clipper blows up on down east Maine. 1"+ QPF in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Much better h5 look than 6z. Less phasing and amp in front of the vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Storm on the 12z looks less amped and less organized at hr102. and looks as if its colder as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 lol, GFS is just slightly different from that wrapped up app bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 lol, GFS is just slightly different from that wrapped up app bomb NADS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 It's really close...there is no real defined system....there is a quasi-transfer to southeastern VA....but basically we just get some light snows, and then it ambles out to sea....huge change...and for the better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 lol, GFS is just slightly different from that wrapped up app bomb haha just a tad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 to say the least. Wrapped up bomb to mess that goes to the fishes. lol, GFS is just slightly different from that wrapped up app bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Looks as if anything is still possible..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Looks like Light Rain/Snow on 12z GFS, 850s are good but BL is marginal (verbatim) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 And we walk the line. Too much phase/amp goes west. Not enough phase and amp is a strung out (but colder) very light event. Somewhere in the middle works. #complicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 The phase is much later..so the system isn't very organized or potent....we probably want the earlier phase to some extent and then hope for a proper, serviceable track.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 And we walk the line. Too much phase/amp goes west. Not enough phase and amp is a strung out (but colder) very light event. Somewhere in the middle works. #complicated. The phase is much later..so the system isn't very organized or potent....we probably want the earlier phase to some extent and then hope for a proper, serviceable track.... this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 And we walk the line. Too much phase/amp goes west. Not enough phase and amp is a strung out (but colder) very light event. Somewhere in the middle works. #complicated. Maybe that should be #goldilocks (need it "just right"). LOL! In other words, we need something like yesterday's Happy Hour run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 this Not a bad solution, I'm just glad we're trending away from a track north of us. I'd take a light/colder event over another rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 i love the models -- apps runner at 6z to very zonal zipping right off the coast at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 i love the models -- apps runner at 6z to very zonal zipping right off the coast at 12z It's that kind of year. Anytime the northern stream is active and progressive, things zip along so fast that chaos takes over fairly quickly. Confidence beyond 2-3 days has been non-existent this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Leaves a lot more energy behind for the system on the 4th-5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Leaves a lot more energy behind for the system on the 4th-5th. after we lose the barely -NAO.....sounds about right for this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 after we lose the barely -NAO.....sounds about right for this year Still looks like it might end up ok....looks like there is some pretty decent cold air a lot of moisture coming out of the gulf. Looks great out to 192, 850 low tracks south of us, lots of moisture. Too bad its in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Leaves a lot more energy behind for the system on the 4th-5th. With not kicker to screw things up on the run. Nice hit. And it's only 7-8 days away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 With not kicker to screw things up on the run. Nice hit. And it's only 7-8 days away! And a nice large arctic H comes in right after into the Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 This is a sweet run of the GFS for the next week. Legit threats all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 12z GGEM is interesting at 108... H in Quebec and copious moisture... hope the H can hold its ground Precip moves in at 114... looks like light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 This is a sweet run of the GFS for the next week. Legit threats all over the place. End of the week looks nice. Hope it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 120 barely holding on to the seat of our pants heavy wet snow Front end thump to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 GGEM is doing what we want to happen, but too far north. Primary gets up to Erie/Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Hard to call anything a trend when you are comparing determinsitic solutions...but a move toward more polar vortex in the cards today on the ensembles? We'll find out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Looks like we may build quite a negative departure the first 1/3rd of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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