stormtracker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The clipper closed off and crawled away and the ns vort was weaker. I saw it early on. Better confluence and no low in the midwest is key on this run. La la lock that sh*t up RIGHT NOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 damn. We get smoked. Happy hour is back! <Passes Robert Chill a cold beer....> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 La la lock that sh*t up RIGHT NOW. At least this one is easy to figure out. GEFS members with good hits had no lead low pushing into the midwest. The southern energy ejects either way. Too bad we won't know which way to lean for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 <Passes Robert Chill a cold beer....>Those close to him, call him big Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This would solve some emotional problems in here for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This already is a good forecasting run last 4/5 days and will continue to be. Models, already very erractic and inaccurate this season, will reall be in the multiple outcome every 6 hour mode if we continue with the clipper-phasing-coastal scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormPinsMike Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This would solve some emotional problems in here for a lot of us. happyhour!.JPG I haven't seen Ji around as much the last few days so let me channel him and say "Go purple or go home." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Oh great, another shutout for southern MD and the lower eastern shore lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This would solve some emotional problems in here for a lot of us. happyhour!.JPG Oh please let this happen... This map reminds me of 1/21/14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 another closer look from wxbell. Huzzah! (for 6 hours at least) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 18z GFS looks similar to 12z CMC. Screw the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Oh great, another shutout for southern MD and the lower eastern shore lol lol that's how we know that map will verify in some form or fashion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 18z GFS looks similar to 12z CMC. Screw the Euro. It looks a lot better. The ns vort is weaker and never pops a low. All guidance today had it in some fashion. The clipper turns into a 50/50 as well. All we can do is pray. We know precisely what to look for...the absence of the midwest low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This would solve some emotional problems in here for a lot of us. happyhour!.JPG I don't know. Close to the southern edge here and NYC in the bullseye. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This already is a good forecasting run last 4/5 days and will continue to be. Models, already very erractic and inaccurate this season, will reall be in the multiple outcome every 6 hour mode if we continue with the clipper-phasing-coastal scenarios. Well at least this time there's no clipper redevelopment BS and hopefully no damn GLL low to screw us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 another closer look from wxbell. Huzzah! (for 6 hours at least) I would take this in a heartbeat. I don't need double digits and 900mph winds. Give me this and I'd be over the moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 GFS has the d8-9 miller A. A lot of euro members had that as well. Just lock this run up and call it a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Well at least this time there's no clipper redevelopment BS and hopefully no damn GLL low to screw us. I think it want to initially plunge to the LA gulf coastline and then start moving ne which if so allows it to become pretty predictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 It looks a lot better. The ns vort is weaker and never pops a low. All guidance today had it in some fashion. The clipper turns into a 50/50 as well. All we can do is pray. We know precisely what to look for...the absence of the midwest low. Yeah the 50-50 low would work out nicely if we can get a transient, well timed block up north to trap it underneath. There are some hints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The clipper closed off and crawled away and the ns vort was weaker. I saw it early on. Better confluence and no low in the midwest is key on this run. Exactly. This is the look we need and it has appeared before among the other solutions. 18Z with the big high in western Canada extending/draping down through the Lakes and into the east rather than the GL low or narrow split in the high allowing a low to develop there Notice how in the 12Z run at 120-h (valid 12Z Sunday), the inverted trough from the low near the Gulf/south TX extends up through Michigan. At 18Z for the same time (114-h), that inverted trough is "cut off" more by the Canadian high. I sure hope this is what actually happens. La la lock that sh*t up RIGHT NOW. No kidding! If only we could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Yeah if this run verifies, I'll be good for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 interestingly, the GFS had a blizzard for NE about 5 days ago, lost it by having the vort pass to our south, then got it back, albeit in a different fashion than the original blizzard at this range, we just have to expect that the models will be somewhere in the ball park, whether it's the bleachers or box seats we'll never know until it's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The second storm is even bigger. Combined totals....oh man...we're allowed to dream and enjoy for at least 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The second storm is even bigger. Combined totals....oh man...we're allowed to dream and enjoy for at least 6 hours. boom-.JPG when they both fail I'm pulling this post back up and suing you for false advertising and intentional infliction of emotional weenie distress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Congrats Boston.. nothing like snow on deep snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 wow...take the 18z gfs run and run with it...to next spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I think it's time to start a Super Bowl storm thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Congrats Boston.. nothing like snow on deep snow. Luckily I only care about 16k square feet of earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The second storm is even bigger. Combined totals....oh man...we're allowed to dream and enjoy for at least 6 hours. That's illegal. boom-.JPG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.